Bushman's Typhoon Blog: Super Typhoon SAOMAI (JUAN)

Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #07 **FINAL**

Name: SUPER TYPHOON SAOMAI [JUAN/08W/0608]

Issued: 7:00 PM MANILA TIME (11:00 GMT) THU 10 AUGUST 2006
Sources: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #023

Note: Email updates is currently issued ony once a day from Aug 9 to 13.
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SAOMAI (JUAN) EXITS PAR AND BECOMES THE THIRD SUPER
TYPHOON OF 2006...NOW MAKING LANDFALL ALONG SOUTHEASTERN
CHINA.

...SINCE THIS SYSTEM WILL RAPIDLY DISSIPATE TOMORROW,
THIS IS THE FINAL UPDATE ON THIS SYSTEM.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: SAOMAI is expected to move across
Zhejiang Province into Mainland China overnight and di-
ssipate rapidly tomorrow.

+ EFFECTS: SAOMAI's Core (Eye and Eyewall) has just star-
ted to move overland across Southern Zhejiang. Heavy rains
with very strong winds of more than 200 km/hr can be expec-
ted along areas affected by the core. Inner & Outer Bands
spreading across Fujian and the rest of Zhejiang Provin-
ces. These bands can produce moderate to heavy rains with
strong winds in excess of 100 km/hr tonight. Residents li-
ving along the river banks, steep mountain slopes and low-
lying areas are advised to stay alert and foresee evacua-
tion in case of possible flashfloods and mudslides. Hazar-
dous ocean surf & waves of up to 25 feet to 35 feet can be
expected along the core of SAOMAI. Coastal Storm Surge
flooding of more than 18 feet above normal tide levels...
along with large and dangerous battering waves...can be
expected near and to the north of where the center makes
landfall in Southeastern China.

+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: Moderate Southwest (SW) Mon-
soon being enhanced by SAOMAI - is currently bringing
cloudy skies with widespread rains, gusty winds and strong
thunderstorms across Palawan, Western Visayas (including
Panay, Guimaras, Northern Negros) and Western Mindanao.
Southwesterly winds of 30 km/hr with higher gust can be
expected over the monsoon-affected areas.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast
outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, and tropical
cyclone watch changes every 06 to 12 hours!

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TIME/DATE: 5:00 PM MANILA TIME (09:00 GMT) 10 AUGUST
LOCATION OF EYE: LATITUDE 27.3º N...LONGITUDE 120.6º E
DISTANCE 1: 80 KM (43 NM) SOUTH OF WENZHOU, CHINA
DISTANCE 2: 185 KM (100 NM) NE OF FUZHOU, CHINA
DISTANCE 3: 275 KM (149 NM) NW OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 240 KM/HR (130 KTS)
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 295 KM/HR (160 KTS)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 910 MILLIBARS (hPa)
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 36 FEET (10.9 METERS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: CATEGORY FOUR (4)
RECENT MOVEMENT: WNW @ 24 KM/HR (13 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: ZHEJIANG-FUJIAN AREA
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 480 KM (260 NM)/AVERAGE
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 2 PM PST THU AUGUST 10
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 24 HRS LEAD
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: N/A

12 & 24 HR. FORECAST:
> 2 AM (18 GMT) 11 AUGUST: 28.1N 118.6E / 160-195 KPH

> 2 PM (06 GMT) 11 AUGUST: 29.2N 116.1E / 65-85 KPH

REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) 10 AUGUST POSITION: 27.3N 120.6E.
^STY SAOMAI CONTINUES TO TRACK RAPIDLY TO THE WEST-NORTH-
WEST ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF A SUBTROPICAL
RIDGE CENTERED SOUTH OF HONSHU. STY SAOMAI WILL MAKE

LANDFALL NORTH OF FUZHOU, CHINA BY 12 HRS...(more info)

>> SAOMAI {pronounced: sao~mai}, meaning: Name of planet
Venus. Name contributed by: Vietnam.
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RECENT WEATHER UNDERGROUND TRACKING CHART:

Track Source: The Weather Underground Tropical Page (http://www.wunderground.com/tropical)
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RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:

> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics, Japan) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org)
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NOTES:

^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their
latest warning.

* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals,
      # 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas
      being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals,
      visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Sea Wave Height near
      its center.
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>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh......noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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