Bushman's Typhoon Blog: TS BOPHA (INDAY)

Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #03

Name: TROPICAL STORM BOPHA [INDAY/10W/0609]

Issued: 1:00 AM MANILA TIME (17:00 GMT) MON 07 AUGUST 2006
Next Update: 7:00 PM (11:00 GMT) MON 07 AUGUST 2006
Sources: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #002
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INDAY (10W) IS NOW INTERNATIONALLY KNOWN AS "BOPHA"
- DRIFTING WEST-NORTHWEST TOWARDS TAIWAN.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: BOPHA is expected to track Westerly
and shall reach typhoon strength before landfalling over
Eastern Taiwan Wednesday morning (Aug 9).

+ EFFECTS: Northernmost Rain bands of BOPHA currently
affecting Okinawa-Ryukyu Islands. Deteriorating weather
conditions expected Tuesday or Wednesday over Taiwan

as BOPHA approaches.

+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: This storm is not enhancing
the SW Monsoon...refer to Typhoon SAOMAI (08W) for monsoon
updates.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast
outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, and tropical
cyclone watch changes every 06 to 12 hours!

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TIME/DATE: 11:00 PM MANILA TIME (15:00 GMT) 06 AUGUST
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 22.6º N...LONGITUDE 122.9º E
DISTANCE 1: 880 KM (265 NM) ESE OF OKINAWA, JAPAN
DISTANCE 2: 885 KM (480 NM) ESE OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN
DISTANCE 3: 860 KM (465 NM) ENE OF BASCO, BATANES
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 75 KM/HR (40 KTS)
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 95 KM/HR (50 KTS)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 994 MILLIBARS (hPa)
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 13 FEET (3.9 METERS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: N/A
RECENT MOVEMENT: WNW @ 15 KM/HR (08 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: TAIWAN
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 665 KM (360 NM)/AVERAGE
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 8 PM PHT SUN AUGUST 06
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: N/A

12, 24 & 48 HR. FORECAST:
> 8 AM (00 GMT) 07 AUGUST: 23.0N 128.8E / 95-120 KPH

> 8 PM (12 GMT) 07 AUGUST: 23.6N 127.2E / 110-140 KPH

> 8 PM (12 GMT) 08 AUGUST: 24.3N 123.7E / 150-185 KPH

REMARKS: 8 PM (12 GMT) 06 AUGUST POSITION: 22.4N 130.3E.
^ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY DEPICTS A TIGHTLY
CURVED BAND OF DEEP CONVECTION NORTH OF THE SYSTEM
CENTER. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS TWO MAJOR SYNOPTIC
FEATURES INFLUENCING THE STORM TRACK. THE FIRST IS A
DEEP-LAYER, BROAD SUBTROPICAL RIDGE EXTENDING FROM EAST
OF JAPAN INTO WESTERN JAPAN. THE SECOND IS A BROAD MID-
LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION (GYRE) ENTRENCHED EAST OF
THE PHILIPPINES. TS BOPHA IS CURRENTLY TRACKING SLOWLY
WESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THESE TWO
FEATURES. TS BOPHA IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING
WESTWARD ALONG THE NORTHERN TO NORTHWESTERN PERIPHERY
OF THE GYRE THROUGH THE PERIOD. THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE
IS EXPECTED TO BUILD BACK INTO THE EAST CHINA SEA BY
36 HOURS AS TS MARIA MOVES INTO A WEAKNESS IN THE
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE OVER WESTERN JAPAN...(more info)

>> BOPHA {pronounced: bo~fa}, meaning: Flower/The
name of little girl. Name contributed by: Cambodia.
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RECENT WEATHER UNDERGROUND TRACKING CHART:

Track Source: The Weather Underground Tropical Page (http://www.wunderground.com/tropical)_______________________________________________________________________________________

RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:

> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics, Japan) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org)
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NOTES:

^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their
latest warning.

* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals,
      # 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas
      being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals,
      visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Sea Wave Height near
      its center.
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>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh....noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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