Bushman's Typhoon Blog: Typhoon PRAPIROON (HENRY)

Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #10

Name: TYPHOON PRAPIROON [HENRY/07W/0606]

Issued: 7:00 PM MANILA TIME (11:00 GMT) WED 02 AUGUST 2006
Next Update: 7:00 AM (23:00 GMT) THU 03 AUGUST 2006
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #010
_______________________________________________________________________

PRAPIROON (HENRY) BECOMES THE FOURTH TYPHOON OF THE
2006 SEASON...SHIFTING ITS TRACK A LITTLE BIT TO THE
NORTH...NOW AIMS FOR ZHANJIANG DISTRICT IN WESTERN
GUANGDONG.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: PRAPIROON is expected to continue
intensifying and move WNW for the next 3 to 5 days.
The eye shall make landfall over Western Guangdong
passing very close to Zhanjiang, China early Friday

morning (Aug 4) and shall move across the coastal
towns of Western Guangdong in the afternoon (Fri Aug 4).
PRAPIROON shall weaken further & dissipate while moving
inland across the Vietnam-China border around Saturday
and Sunday (Aug 5 & 6).

+ EFFECTS: PRAPIROON's Inner bands just beginning to
approach the coastal beach front areas of Western
Guangdong and Hainan Island, while its Outer Bands con-
tinues to spread across the whole Guangdong Province
including Hong Kong & Macau. The typhoon's circulation
continues to cover the northern half of South China Sea
with its eastern outer bands still spreading over the
coast of Western Luzon. These bands may bring cloudy
skies with passing moderate to heavy rains accompanied
with winds reaching 75 kph or more. Residents living
along the river banks, steep mountain slopes and low-
lying areas are advised to stay alert and foresee eva-
cuation in case of possible flashfloods and mudslides.
Coastal Storm Surge flooding of 4 to 5 feet above
normal tide levels...along with large and dangerous
battering waves...can be expected near and to the
north of where the center makes landfall in Zhangjiang
District, Western Guangdong. Increasing strong winds

accompanied with moderate to very heavy rains can be
experience over the Western-most Guangdong Province
beginning tomorrow as PRAPIROON's core (Eye+EyeWall)
approaches.

+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: The enhanced Southwest (SW)
Monsoon continues to recede away from Western Luzon into
the South China Sea but it's still affecting the provinces
of Bataan, Zambales, Pangasinan, La Union & Ilocos. Cloudy
weather conditions with light to moderate or sometimes
heavy rainfall can still be experienced today with impro-
ving conditions by tomorrow. Southwesterly winds of 40
km/hr with higher gusts may be expected along the
affected areas.

+ TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCH: The Tropical Disturbance (LPA/
98W/1006 mb) near the Island of Yap in the Carolines has
once again becoming better organized. The disturbance was
last located about 1,370 km East of Surigao City (10.0N
138.0E)...almost stationary with max sustained winds of
30 km/hr. Kindly click here to view the latest satellite
image on this system. Watch for more updates soon...
please stay tuned.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast
outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, and tropical
cyclone watch changes every 06 to 12 hours!

_______________________________________________________________________

TIME/DATE: 5:00 PM MANILA TIME (09:00 GMT) 02 AUGUST
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 19.1º N...LONGITUDE 114.4º E
DISTANCE 1: 270 KM (145 NM) SOUTH OF HONG KONG, CHINA
DISTANCE 2: 430 KM (232 NM) EAST OF HAIKOU, HAINAN
DISTANCE 3: 440 KM (238 NM) ESE OF ZHANJIANG, CHINA
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 120 KM/HR (65 KTS)
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 150 KM/HR (80 KTS)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 976 MILLIBARS (hPa)
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 23 FEET (7.0 METERS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: N/A
RECENT MOVEMENT: NW @ 15 KM/HR (08 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: WESTERN GUANGDONG
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 740 KM (400 NM)/LARGE
VIEW T2K TRACKING MAP: 5 PM WED AUGUST 02
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: N/A

12, 24 & 48 HR. FORECAST:
> 2 AM (18 GMT) 03 AUGUST: 19.7N 113.3E / 140-165 KPH

> 2 PM (06 GMT) 03 AUGUST: 20.3N 111.8E / 165-205 KPH
> 2 PM (06 GMT) 04 AUGUST: 21.4N 109.5E / 140-165 KPH

REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) 02 AUGUST POSITION: 18.9N 114.7E.
^UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES MID-LEVEL RIDGING REMAINS IN
PLACE TO THE NORTH OF TS PRAPIRRON. THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE
TO TRACK WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS. THE
WEAKNESS CURRENTLY OVER EASTERN CHINA IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY
LIFT ALLOWING THE RIDGE TO RE-ESTABLISH ITSELF AND CAUSE TS
PRAPIROON TO TRACK MORE WESTERLY NEAR 72 HOURS..(more info)

>> PRAPIROON {pronounced: gae~mi}, meaning: God of rain.
Name contributed by: Thailand.
_________________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________________

LATEST T2K TRACKING CHART:

_______________________________________________________________________________________

RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:

> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics, Japan) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org)
__________________________________________________________________________________________

NOTES:

^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their
latest warning.

* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals,
      # 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas
      being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals,
      visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Sea Wave Height near
      its center.
__________________________________________________________________________________________

>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh...............noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

:: Typhoon2000.com (T2K) Mobile >> Powered by: Synermaxx
Receive the latest storm updates directly to your mobile phones! To know more:
Send T2K HELP to: 2800 (GLOBE & TM) | 216 (SMART & TNT) | 2288 (SUN)
__________________________________________________________________________________________

For the complete details on the TY PRAPIROON (HENRY)...go visit
our website @:

> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com

> http://www.typhoon2000.ph

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm