Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #06
Name: TYPHOON SAOMAI [JUAN/08W/0608]
Issued: 1:00 PM MANILA TIME (05:00 GMT) WED 09 AUGUST 2006
Next Update: 1:00 PM (05:00 GMT) THU 10 AUGUST 2006
Sources: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #011
Note: Email updates is currently issued ony once a day from Aug 9 to 13.
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Next Update: 1:00 PM (05:00 GMT) THU 10 AUGUST 2006
Sources: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #011
Note: Email updates is currently issued ony once a day from Aug 9 to 13.
____________
TYPHOON SAOMAI (JUAN) STRENGTHENED INTO A CATEGORY
THREE CYCLONE DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS...THIS TY-
PHOON ENTERED THE PHILIPPINE AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY
(PAR) YESTERDAY MORNING, BUT IS NOT A THREAT TO THE
PHILIPPINES...PASSING SOUTH OF OKINAWA...AIMING FOR
THE ORTHERN TAIWAN-SOUTHEASTERN CHINA AREA.
THREE CYCLONE DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS...THIS TY-
PHOON ENTERED THE PHILIPPINE AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY
(PAR) YESTERDAY MORNING, BUT IS NOT A THREAT TO THE
PHILIPPINES...PASSING SOUTH OF OKINAWA...AIMING FOR
THE ORTHERN TAIWAN-SOUTHEASTERN CHINA AREA.
+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: SAOMAI is expected to maintain its
fast WNW track, passing north of Yaeyama Islands tonight.
SAOMAI shall pass some 145 km. North of Taipei, Taiwan
around 10 AM local time tomorrow. It shall make landfall
to the South of Wenzhou, China or along the Zhejiang-Fu-
jian border in Southeastern China by 6 PM tomorrow, Thurs-
day (Aug 10) and rapidly dissipate over Mainland China
Aug 11.
+ EFFECTS: SAOMAI's northern circulation or its outer
bands affecting Ryukyu Islands (including Okinawa) and
shall reach Yaeyama Islands this afternoon. The core
(Eye+EyeWall) and its outer bands is forecast to reach
Northern Taiwan early tomorrow and Fujian-Zhejiang area
tomorrow afternoon. Hazardous ocean surf & waves of up
to 20 feet to 32 feet can be expected along the core of
SAOMAI. Coastal Storm Surge flooding of 9 to 12 feet
to 20 feet to 32 feet can be expected along the core of
SAOMAI. Coastal Storm Surge flooding of 9 to 12 feet
above normal tide levels...along with large and dangerous
battering waves...can be expected near and to the north
of where the center makes landfall in Southeastern
China and over the Yaeyama-Ryukyu Islands.
battering waves...can be expected near and to the north
of where the center makes landfall in Southeastern
China and over the Yaeyama-Ryukyu Islands.
+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: Moderate to Strong Southwest
(SW) Monsoon being enhanced by SAOMAI - is currently bri-
nging cloudy skies with widespread rains, gusty winds and
strong thunderstorms across Palawan, Western Visayas (in-
cluding Panay, Guimaras, Northern Negros) and Western Min-
danao. Southwesterly winds of 30 km/hr with higher gust
can be expected over the monsoon-affected areas. Take
note that the SW Monsoon has not yet reach Western Luzon.
outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, and tropical
cyclone watch changes every 06 to 12 hours!
_______________________________________________________________________
TIME/DATE: 11:00 AM MANILA TIME (03:00 GMT) 09 AUGUST
LOCATION OF EYE: LATITUDE 24.3º N...LONGITUDE 127.7º E
DISTANCE 1: 245 KM (132 NM) SSW OF OKINAWA, JAPAN
DISTANCE 2: 620 KM (335 NM) ESE OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN
DISTANCE 3: 730 KM (395 NM) NE OF BASCO, BATANES
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 195 KM/HR (105 KTS)
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 240 KM/HR (130 KTS)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 938 MILLIBARS (hPa)
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 32 FEET (9.7 METERS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: CATEGORY THREE (3)
RECENT MOVEMENT: WNW @ 31 KM/HR (17 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: YAEYAMA-SE CHINA AREA
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 480 KM (260 NM)/AVERAGE
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 9 AM PST WED AUGUST 09
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 48 HRS LEAD
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: N/A
12, 24 & 48 HR. FORECAST:
> 8 PM (12 GMT) 09 AUGUST: 25.4N 125.3E / 215-260 KPH
TIME/DATE: 11:00 AM MANILA TIME (03:00 GMT) 09 AUGUST
LOCATION OF EYE: LATITUDE 24.3º N...LONGITUDE 127.7º E
DISTANCE 1: 245 KM (132 NM) SSW OF OKINAWA, JAPAN
DISTANCE 2: 620 KM (335 NM) ESE OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN
DISTANCE 3: 730 KM (395 NM) NE OF BASCO, BATANES
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 195 KM/HR (105 KTS)
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 240 KM/HR (130 KTS)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 938 MILLIBARS (hPa)
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 32 FEET (9.7 METERS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: CATEGORY THREE (3)
RECENT MOVEMENT: WNW @ 31 KM/HR (17 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: YAEYAMA-SE CHINA AREA
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 480 KM (260 NM)/AVERAGE
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 9 AM PST WED AUGUST 09
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 48 HRS LEAD
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: N/A
12, 24 & 48 HR. FORECAST:
> 8 PM (12 GMT) 09 AUGUST: 25.4N 125.3E / 215-260 KPH
> 8 AM (00 GMT) 10 AUGUST: 26.3N 122.2E / 215-260 KPH
> 8 AM (00 GMT) 11 AUGUST: 26.7N 116.0E / 150-185 KPH
REMARKS: 8 AM (00 GMT) 09 AUGUST POSITION: 23.9N 128.5E.
^TY SAOMAI HAS DEVELOPED A CLOUD FREE EYE IN THE LAST
SIX HOURS INDICATING THE MORE RAPID INTENSIFICATION
THAN PREVIOUSLY FORECAST. OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS THE
INTENSITY IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE AS THE EYE CONTINUES
TO DEVELOP. POLEWARD OUTFLOW IS BEING ENHANCED BY THE
REMNANTS OF A TROPICAL UPPER TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH CELL
IN INITIAL HOURS OF FORECAST AND AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
CURRENTLY LOCATED OVER EASTERN CHINA BETWEEN 12 & 24
HOURS. BEYOND TAU 24 THE INTENSITY WILL BEGIN TO DE-
CREASE AS TY SAOMAI BEGINS TO APPROACH CHINA, MAKING
LANDFALL AT 36 HOURS. BEYOND 36 HRS, TY SAOMAI WILL
BEGIN TO DISSIPATE AS A TROPICAL SYSTEM AND IS
EXPECTED TO BE FULLY DISSIPATED AS A TROPICAL SYSTEM
BY 48 HRS...(more info)
>> SAOMAI {pronounced: sao~mai}, meaning: Name of planet
Venus. Name contributed by: Vietnam.
_________________________________________________________________________________
PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.):
> 8 AM (00 GMT) 11 AUGUST: 26.7N 116.0E / 150-185 KPH
REMARKS: 8 AM (00 GMT) 09 AUGUST POSITION: 23.9N 128.5E.
^TY SAOMAI HAS DEVELOPED A CLOUD FREE EYE IN THE LAST
SIX HOURS INDICATING THE MORE RAPID INTENSIFICATION
THAN PREVIOUSLY FORECAST. OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS THE
INTENSITY IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE AS THE EYE CONTINUES
TO DEVELOP. POLEWARD OUTFLOW IS BEING ENHANCED BY THE
REMNANTS OF A TROPICAL UPPER TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH CELL
IN INITIAL HOURS OF FORECAST AND AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
CURRENTLY LOCATED OVER EASTERN CHINA BETWEEN 12 & 24
HOURS. BEYOND TAU 24 THE INTENSITY WILL BEGIN TO DE-
CREASE AS TY SAOMAI BEGINS TO APPROACH CHINA, MAKING
LANDFALL AT 36 HOURS. BEYOND 36 HRS, TY SAOMAI WILL
BEGIN TO DISSIPATE AS A TROPICAL SYSTEM AND IS
EXPECTED TO BE FULLY DISSIPATED AS A TROPICAL SYSTEM
BY 48 HRS...(more info)
>> SAOMAI {pronounced: sao~mai}, meaning: Name of planet
Venus. Name contributed by: Vietnam.
____________
PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.):
> 10 AM (02 GMT) 09 AUGUST: 24.0N 128.3E / WNW @ 30 KPH / 140 kph
:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website
at: http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcupdate_juan.shtml
_________________________________________________________________________________
:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website
at: http://www.pagasa.
____________
RECENT WEATHER UNDERGROUND TRACKING CHART:
Track Source: The Weather Underground Tropical Page (http://www.wundergr
________________________
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:
> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.
NOTES:
^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their
latest warning.
latest warning.
* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals,
# 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas
being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals,
visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm
** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Sea Wave Height near
its center.
__________________________________________________________________________________________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh......noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
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__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on the TY SAOMAI (JUAN)...go visit
our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
# 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas
being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals,
visit: http://www.typhoon2
** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Sea Wave Height near
its center.
____________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.
http://www.nhc.
http://www.srh.
http://www.srh.
http://www.nhc.
____________
:: Typhoon2000.
Receive the latest storm updates directly to your mobile phones! To know more:
Send T2K HELP to: 2800 (GLOBE & TM) | 216 (SMART & TNT) | 2288 (SUN)
____________
For the complete details on the TY SAOMAI (JUAN)...go visit
our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2
> http://www.maybagyo
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