Monday, September 25, 2006

TD 17W starts to make landfall... [Update #004]


Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #004
Name: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W [UNNAMED] 
Issued: 7:00 AM MANILA TIME (23:00 GMT) MON 25 SEPTEMBER 2006
Next Update: 7:00 PM (11:00 GMT) MON 25 SEPTEMBER 2006
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #008
_______________________________________________________________________
 
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W (UNNAMED) MOVES ONSHORE ALONG
CENTRAL VIETNAM...DISSIPATION EXPECTED
.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: 17W is expected to move Westward to
a more WSW dip across Central Vietnam and Southern Cam-
bodia this afternoon and dissipate along Thailand early
tomorrow


+ EFFECTS: 17W's circulation continues to spread across
Central Vietnam, Southern Cambodia & portions of Thailand
including Western Hainan Is, China. Moderate to heavy
rains and winds not in excess of 55 km/hr can be expected
along the path of 17W
.

+ TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCH: The Tropical Disturbance (LPA/
99W/1004 mb) over the Philippine Sea has strengthened and
is likely to become a Tropical Depression within the next
24 hours. It was located about 315 km ESE of Borongan,
Eastern Samar (11.4N 128.3E)...almost stationary with
winds of 35 km/hr. Watch for a separate page on this
system once it becomes a Tropical Depression.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast
outlook, effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical
cyclone watch changes every 06 to 12 hours!

_______________________________________________________________________

TIME/DATE: 5:00 AM MANILA TIME (21:00 GMT) 25 SEPTEMBER
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 16.8º N...LONGITUDE 107.6º E
DISTANCE 1: 35 KM (20 NM) NORTH OF HUE, VIETNAM
DISTANCE 2: 100 KM (55 NM) NW OF DA NANG, VIETNAM
DISTANCE 3: 245 KM (132 NM) SW OF SANYA, HAINAN IS., CHINA
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 55 KM/HR (30 KTS)
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 75 KM/HR (40 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: N/A
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 1000 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: WEST @ 15 KM/HR (08 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: CENTRAL VIETNAM
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): ... KM (... NM)/N/A
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 12 FEET (3.6 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 2 AM HKT TIME MON SEPTEMBER 25
TSR WIND PROBABILITIESCURRENT TO 24 HRS LEAD
  
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: N/A
           
12, 24 HR. FORECAST:
2 PM (06 GMT) 25 SEP: 16.9N 106.3E / 45-65 KPH / WEST @ 15 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 26 SEP: 16.6N 104.6E / 35-55 KPH / WSW @ 15 KPH

REMARKS: 2 APM (18 GMT) 25 SEPTEMBER POSITION: 16.8N 108.0E.
^RIDGING TO THE NORTH OF TD 17W HAS BUILT AS EXPECTED, FORCING
THE SYSTEM ON A MORE WESTWARD TRACK OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS.
THIS TRACK WILL CONTINUE UNTIL THE SYSTEM MAKES LANDFALL PRIOR
TO 12 HOURS. FORECAST MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN POOR AGREEMENT WITH
TRACK, MAINLY DUE TO THE WEAKNESS OF THE SYSTEM. THIS FORECAST
IS BASED ON SATELITTE ANALYSIS OF THE SYNOPTIC PATTERN..
.
(more info)

_______________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________

RECENT WEATHER UNDERGROUND TRACKING CHART:


Track Source: The Weather Underground Tropical Page (http://www.wunderground.com/tropical)

_______________________________________________________________________________________

 
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


> Image source:  Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org)
__________________________________________________________________________________________

NOTES:
 
  ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their 
      latest warning.
 
  * - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals, 
      # 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas 
      being hoisted.
For more explanations on these signals, 
      visit:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

 ** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near 
      its center.

__________________________________________________________________________________________

>>
To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms 
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

:: Typhoon2000.com (T2K) Mobile >> Powered by: Synermaxx
Receive the latest storm updates directly to your mobile phones! To know more:
Send T2K HELP to: 2800
(GLOBE & TM) | 216 (SMART & TNT) | 2288 (SUN) 
Note: Globe & Smart charges P2.50 per message, while Sun at P2.00.
__________________________________________________________________________________________

For the complete details on TD 17W (UNNAMED)...go visit
our website @:

>
http://www.typhoon2000.com
http://www.maybagyo.com

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at: 
   
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm


__._,_.___
Recent Activity
Visit Your Group
SPONSORED LINKS
Yahoo! Travel

Find Great Deals

Flights, Hotels,

Cars, Cruises...

Y! Toolbar

Get it Free!

easy 1-click access

to your groups.

Yahoo! Groups

Start a group

in 3 easy steps.

Connect with others.

.

__,_._,___

No comments: