Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #001
Name: TROPICAL STORM YAGI [16W/0614]
Issued: 7:00 PM MANILA TIME (11:00 GMT) SUN 17 SEPTEMBER 2006
Next Update: 7:00 AM (23:00 GMT) MON 18 SEPTEMBER 2006
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #002
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Next Update: 7:00 AM (23:00 GMT) MON 18 SEPTEMBER 2006
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #002
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THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE MARIANAS HAS
STRENGTHENED INTO A DEPRESSION THIS MORNING AND LATER INTO
A TROPICAL STORM NAMED YAGI (16W)...TRACKING SLOWLY NORTH-
EASTWARD.
STRENGTHENED INTO A DEPRESSION THIS MORNING AND LATER INTO
A TROPICAL STORM NAMED YAGI (16W)...TRACKING SLOWLY NORTH-
EASTWARD.
+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: YAGI is expected to drift SE for the next
12 to 24 hours before heading South tomorrow evening. By Tues-
day morning (Sep 19), YAGI shall take a SW turn and become a
Typhoon before eventually accelerating Westward by Wednesday
afternoon (Sep 20). The 6 to 7-day (Sep 21-22) Long Range
Forecast shows the storm pursuing a straight Westward to a
slight WNW direction towards the Northern tip of Marianas.
All interests in Marianas and Micronesia should closely
monitor the progress of this developing tropical cyclone.
+ EFFECTS: At the moment, this storm is not yet affecting
any Western Pacific islands.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast
outlook, effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical
cyclone watch changes every 06 to 12 hours!
____________
TIME/DATE: 5:00 PM MANILA TIME (09:00 GMT) 17 SEPTEMBER
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 21.1º N...LONGITUDE 157.8º E
DISTANCE 1: 530 KM (285 NM) SE OF MARCUS ISLAND
DISTANCE 2: 1,435 KM (775 NM) NE OF SAIPAN, CNMI
DISTANCE 3: 1,625 KM (877 NM) NE OF HAGATNA, GUAM, CNMI
DISTANCE 4: 940 KM (507 NM) WNW OF WAKE ISLAND
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 65 KM/HR (35 KTS)
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 85 KM/HR (45 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: N/A
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 997 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: NE @ 13 KM/HR (07 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: WESTERN PACIFIC
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 260 KM (140 NM)/SMALL
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 09 FEET (2.7 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 3 PM JST TIME SUN SEPTEMBER 17
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 120 HRS LEAD
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: N/A
12, 24 & 48 HR. FORECAST:
> 2 AM (18 GMT) 18 SEPTEMBER: 21.5N 158.5E / 85-100 KPH
> 2 PM (06 GMT) 18 SEPTEMBER: 21.1N 159.1E / 95-120 KPH
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 85 KM/HR (45 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: N/A
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 997 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: NE @ 13 KM/HR (07 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: WESTERN PACIFIC
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 260 KM (140 NM)/SMALL
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 09 FEET (2.7 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 3 PM JST TIME SUN SEPTEMBER 17
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 120 HRS LEAD
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: N/A
12, 24 & 48 HR. FORECAST:
> 2 AM (18 GMT) 18 SEPTEMBER: 21.5N 158.5E / 85-100 KPH
> 2 PM (06 GMT) 18 SEPTEMBER: 21.1N 159.1E / 95-120 KPH
> 2 PM (06 GMT) 19 SEPTEMBER: 19.6N 158.8E / 110-140 KPH
REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) 17 SEPTEMBER POSITION: 21.0N 157.6E.
^TS YAGI IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY TRACK EAST-NORTHEASTWARD
UNDER THE WEAK STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL
NEAR-EQUATORIAL HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE (NEHPR) SITUATED SOUTH-
EAST OF THE SYSTEM THROUGH 12 HOURS. AFTERWARDS, THE SYSTEM
IS EXPECTED TO TRACK ALONG THE EASTERN PERIPHERY OF THE
NEHPR, TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST THEN SOUTH BY 36 HOURS. BY 72
HOURS, TS YAGI IS FORECAST TO TURN TO A MORE WESTWARD TRACK
SOUTH OF THE RIDGE...(more info)
>> YAGI {pronounced: ya~gi}, meaning: Capricornus (goat).
Name contributed by: Japan
____________
____________
RECENT WEATHER UNDERGROUND TRACKING CHART:
Track Source: The Weather Underground Tropical Page (http://www.wundergr
________________________
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:
> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org )
__________________________________________________________________________________________
NOTES:
> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.
^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their
latest warning.
latest warning.
* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals,
# 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas
being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals,
visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm
** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
its center.
__________________________________________________________________________________________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
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__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on TS YAGI (16W)...go visit
our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
# 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas
being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals,
visit: http://www.typhoon2
** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
its center.
____________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.
http://www.nhc.
http://www.srh.
http://www.srh.
http://www.nhc.
____________
:: Typhoon2000.
Receive the latest storm updates directly to your mobile phones! To know more:
Send T2K HELP to: 2800 (GLOBE & TM) | OFFLINE (SMART & TNT) | 2288 (SUN)
Note: Globe & Smart charges P2.50 per message, while Sun at P2.00.
For the complete details on TS YAGI (16W)...go visit
our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2
> http://www.maybagyo
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