Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #009
Name: TYPHOON UTOR [SENIANG/25W/0622]
Issued: 7:00 PM MANILA TIME (11:00 GMT) MON 11 DECEMBER 2006
Next Update: 7:00 AM (23:00 GMT) TUE 12 DECEMBER 2006
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #018
Next Update: 7:00 AM (23:00 GMT) TUE 12 DECEMBER 2006
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #018
_______________________________________________________________________
TYPHOON UTOR (SENIANG) SLOWLY MOVING AWAY FROM THE PHILI-
PPINES...ACROSS THE SOUTH CHINA SEA...MAY THREATEN VIET-
PPINES...ACROSS THE SOUTH CHINA SEA...MAY THREATEN VIET-
NAM OR HAINAN ISLAND FRIDAY.
...All interests in the Vietnam and Hainan Island should
closely monitor the progress of Typhoon UTOR.
...All interests in the Vietnam and Hainan Island should
closely monitor the progress of Typhoon UTOR.
+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: UTOR is expected to continue moving
WNW across the South China Sea regaining Category 3
strength (165 kph) within the next 36 hours. The 3 to
5-day long range forecast (Dec 14 to 16) shows UTOR re-
curving towards the ENE before it reach Hainan Island on
the morning of Dec 15 (Fri) and shall weaken rapidly due
to cool dry air intrusion and strong upper level winds
(Wind Shear).
+ EFFECTS: UTOR's circulation remains over the South
China Sea with its Eastern Outer Bands slightly affecting
the Western Coast of Mindoro & Lubang Is. Improving weather
conditions can be expected today across much of Mindoro and
Visayas.
+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: Light to moderate Northeast
Monsoon enhanced by UTOR (SENIANG) will continue to bring
cloudy skies with occasional rains and 30-km/hr NE winds
across the whole of Luzon including Metro Manila, becoming
more frequent along the northern and eastern seaboards
of Luzon.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast
outlook, effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical
cyclone watch changes every 06 to 12 hours!
_______________________________________________________________________
TIME/DATE: 5:00 PM MANILA TIME (09:00 GMT) 11 DECEMBER
LOCATION OF EYE: LATITUDE 13.7º N...LONGITUDE 117.4º E
DISTANCE 1: 335 KM (180 NM) WSW OF SUBIC BAY
(Wind Shear).
+ EFFECTS: UTOR's circulation remains over the South
China Sea with its Eastern Outer Bands slightly affecting
the Western Coast of Mindoro & Lubang Is. Improving weather
conditions can be expected today across much of Mindoro and
Visayas.
+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: Light to moderate Northeast
Monsoon enhanced by UTOR (SENIANG) will continue to bring
cloudy skies with occasional rains and 30-km/hr NE winds
across the whole of Luzon including Metro Manila, becoming
more frequent along the northern and eastern seaboards
of Luzon.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast
outlook, effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical
cyclone watch changes every 06 to 12 hours!
____________
TIME/DATE: 5:00 PM MANILA TIME (09:00 GMT) 11 DECEMBER
LOCATION OF EYE: LATITUDE 13.7º N...LONGITUDE 117.4º E
DISTANCE 1: 335 KM (180 NM) WSW OF SUBIC BAY
DISTANCE 2: 380 KM (205 NM) WEST OF PUERTO GALERA
DISTANCE 3: 410 KM (220 NM) WSW OF METRO MANILA
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 165 KM/HR (90 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: CATEGORY ONE (1)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 967 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: WNW @ 13 KM/HR (07 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: SOUTH CHINA SEA
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 555 KM (300 NM)/AVERAGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 29 FEET (8.8 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 5 PM PST MON DECEMBER 11
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 120 HRS LEAD
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*:
#01 - CALAMIAN GROUP & LUBANG ISLAND.
12, 24 & 48 HR. FORECAST:
2 AM (18 GMT) 12 DEC: 14.0N 116.3E / 160-195 KPH / WNW @ 13 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 12 DEC: 14.4N 114.9E / 165-205 KPH / WNW @ 11 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 13 DEC: 15.4N 112.9E / 160-195 KPH / NW @ 04 KPH
REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) 11 DECEMBER POSITION: 13.6N 117.7E.
^TY Utor has weakened at a greater than climatological rate
over the previous 24 hours due to terrain interaction and
decreased equatorward outflow. TY Utor will continue to
track west-northwestward along the southwestern periphery
of a subtropical ridge (str) located north of Luzon. From
48 hrs, TY Utor will begin to track poleward towards a weak-
ness in the str located southeast of Hainan Island. This weak-
ness will be enhanced by a developing midlatitude trough that
is currently over western China...(more info)
>> UTOR {pronounced: oo-TORE}, meaning: Marshallese word
for "squall line". Name contributed by: U.S.A.
____________
PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.):
> 4 PM (08 GMT) 11 DECEMBER: 13.6N 117.4E / WNW @ 13 KPH / 120 kph
:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website
at: http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcupdate.shtml
:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website
at: http://www.pagasa.
_______________________________________________________________________
RECENT T2K TRACKING CHART:
________________________
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:
> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org )
__________________________________________________________________________________________
NOTES:
> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.
^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their
latest warning.
latest warning.
* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals,
# 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas
being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals,
visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm
** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
its center.
__________________________________________________________________________________________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
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__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on TY UTOR (SENIANG)...go visit
our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
# 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas
being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals,
visit: http://www.typhoon2
** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
its center.
____________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.
http://www.nhc.
http://www.srh.
http://www.srh.
http://www.nhc.
____________
:: Typhoon2000.
Receive the latest storm updates directly to your mobile phones! To know more:
Send T2K HELP to: 2800 (GLOBE & TM) | 216 (SMART & TNT) | 2288 (SUN)
Note: Globe & Smart charges P2.50 per message, while Sun at P2.00.
For the complete details on TY UTOR (SENIANG)...
our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2
> http://www.maybagyo
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