Tuesday, April 03, 2007

Typhoon KONG-REY (01W) - Update #06


Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #006 
Name: TYPHOON KONG-REY [01W/0701] 
Issued: 7:00 PM MANILA TIME (11:00 GMT) TUE 03 APRIL 2007
Next Update: 7:00 AM (23:00 GMT) TUE 03 APRIL 2007
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #012
_______________________________________________________________________
 
 
TYPHOON KONG-REY (01W) CONTINUES TO MOVE FARTHER AWAY FROM
THE NORTHERN MARIANA ISLANDS
.

*THIS SYSTEM SHOWS A CIRCULAR, RAGGED EYE MEASURING 45-KM
IN DIAMETER.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: KONG-REY is expected to turn Northward
within the next 12 to 24 hours and recurve towards the NE.
The 2 to 3-day medium-range forecast (Apr 05-06) still
shows the system accelerating NE'ly and rapidly dissipating
over the open waters of the Western Pacific due to increasing
unfavorable environment (wind shear)


+ EFFECTS: KONG-REY's Eastern, SE & Southern outer bands
continues to affect Agrihan, Tinian and Saipan islands,
bringing scattered rains & winds not in excess of 60 km/hr
today. The inner (rain) bands is no longer affecting the Nor-
thern Mariana Islands. The core of Kong-Rey (eye+eyewall) had
passed to the north of Saipan, between 7-8 AM HK time this
morning. Coastal Storm Surge flooding of 4 to 5 feet above
normal tide levels...along with large and dangerous battering
waves can be expected near and to the north of Kong-Rey's pro-
jected path. Improving weather conditions can be expected to-
morrow as the typhoon moves northward
.

+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: N/A.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast
outlook, effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical
cyclone watch changes every 06 to 12 hours!

_______________________________________________________________________

TIME/DATE: 5:00 PM MANILA TIME (09:00 GMT) 03 APRIL
LOCATION OF EYE: LATITUDE 17.5º N...LONGITUDE 144.5º E
DISTANCE 1: 285 KM (183 NM) NNW OF SAIPAN, CNMI
DISTANCE 2: 445 KM (240 NM) NNW OF HAGATNA, GUAM
DISTANCE 3: 2,360 KM (1,275 NM) EAST OF NORTHERN LUZON, PH
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 130 KM/HR (70 KTS)
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 160 KM/HR (85 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: CATEGORY 1
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 972 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: NW @ 24 KM/HR (13 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: IWO JIMA AREA
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 555 KM (300 NM)/AVERAGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 24 FEET (7.3 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 2 PM PST TUE APRIL 03
TSR WIND PROBABILITIESCURRENT TO 72 HRS LEAD
  
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: N/A
           
12 & 24 HR. FORECAST:
2 AM (18 GMT) 04 APR: 19.4N 143.8E / 120-150 KPH / NNE @ 26 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 04 APR: 22.0N 144.8E / 120-150 KPH / NE @ 33 KPH

REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) 03 APRIL POSITION: 16.9N 144.7E.
^CURRENT DVORAK ESTIMATES RANGE FROM 120 KPH TO 165 KPH
AND AMSU INTENSITY ESTIMATES REMAIN LOW NEAR 95-100 KPH.
CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON AN AVERAGE OF THE MORE
REPRESENTATIVE DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 120 TO 145
KPH. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES
THAT CENTRAL CONVECTION HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS WITH A RAGGED 30-KM EYE NOW EVIDENT IN
IMAGERY. A SSMIS IMAGE ALSO SHOWS THE EYE AS WELL AS IM-
PROVED CONVECTIVE BANDING OVER ALL QUADRANTS..
.(more info)

>> KONG-REY {pronounced: tra~mee}, meaning: Pretty girl in Khmer 
   legend / The name of mountain. Name contributed by: Cambodia.


_______________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________


RECENT TRACKING CHART:


_______________________________________________________________________________________

 
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


> Image source:  Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org)
__________________________________________________________________________________________

NOTES:
 
  ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their 
      latest warning.
 
  * - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals, 
      # 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas 
      being hoisted.
For more explanations on these signals, 
      visit:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

 ** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near 
      its center.

__________________________________________________________________________________________

>>
To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms 
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

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For the complete details on TY KONG-REY (01W)...go visit
our website @:

>
http://www.typhoon2000.com
http://www.maybagyo.com

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