Sunday, August 19, 2007

SEPAT (EGAY) now over SE China..just barely a Typhoon [Update #013]


Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #013
Name: TYPHOON SEPAT [EGAY/09W/0708] 
Issued: 7:00 AM MANILA TIME (23:00 GMT) SUN 19 AUGUST 2007
Next Update: 7:00 PM (11:00 GMT) SUN 19 AUGUST
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #027
_______________________________________________________________________
 
 
TYPHOON SEPAT (EGAY) IS NOW MAKING LANDFALL OVER SOUTH-
EASTERN CHINA...JUST A CATEGORY 1 SYSTEM...RAPID WEA-
KENING EXPECTED TODAY. STRONG WINDS AND LIGHT RAINS
LASHING THE CITIES OF FUZHOU AND XIAMEN. 

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: SEPAT will continue moving across the
SE part of China and dissipate in 24 hours

+ EFFECTS: SEPAT's core (eyewall & eye) almost gone as its
now well over SE China...Typhoon-force winds with moderate
rains continues to be felt across the area. Meanwhile, its
inner rainbands remains over the Western Coast of Taiwan
and over Taiwan Strait - stormy conditions will continue
to prevail through the day. SEPAT's outer rainbands on
the other hand, continues to spread across Taiwan, Batanes
Group, parts of Eastern & Southern China. Cloudy skies
with occasionally light & moderate to sometimes heavy
rainfall and strong winds of up to 60 km/hr can be expec-
ted along these bands. Coastal Storm Surge flooding of 04
to 05 feet above normal tide levels...along with large and
dangerous battering waves can be expected near and to the
north of SEPAT's projected path particularly along the
coastal areas of Taiwan and Southeastern China. Flash
floods and mudslides are imminent along river banks,
low-lying and mountainous regions of the affected areas.
Precautionary measures must be initiated as the powerful
system moves inland.

+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: The Southwest (SW) Monsoon
remains strong as it continues to be enhanced (pulled) by
SEPAT. Cloudy skies with light to moderate & sometimes heavy
rainfall & SW'ly winds of 20 km/hr or higher can be expected
today along Western Luzon - becoming more frequent over
Ilocos Provinces, La Union, Pangasinan, Zambales, Benguet,
Tarlac, Pampanga & Metro Manila. Mudslides and flooding is
likely along river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of
the affected areas.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast
outlook, effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical
cyclone watch changes every 06 to 12 hours!

_______________________________________________________________________

TIME/DATE: 5:00 AM MANILA TIME (21:00 GMT) 19 AUGUST
LOCATION OF EYE: LATITUDE 25.2º N...LONGITUDE 118.6º E
DISTANCE 1: 620 KM (337
NM) NNW OF BASCO, BATANES, PH
DISTANCE 2: 95 KM (50 NM) NE OF XIAMEN, CHINA
DISTANCE 3: 120 KM (65 NM) SW OF FUZHOU, CHINA 
DISTANCE 4: 305 KM (165 NM) WEST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 120 KM/HR (65 KTS)
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 150 KM/HR (80 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: CATEGORY ONE (1)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 974 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: NW @ 13 KM/HR (07 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: SOUTHEASTERN CHINA
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 685 KM (370 NM)/LARGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 14 FEET (4.2 METERS)
VIEW T2K TRACKING MAP: 5 AM MANILA TIME SUN AUGUST 19
TSR WIND PROBABILITIESCURRENT TO 24 HRS LEAD
  

PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*:
#01 - NOW LOWERED. 
           
12 & 24 HR. FORECAST:
2 PM (06 GMT) 19 AUGUST: 26.0N 117.9E / 85-100 KPH / NW @ 11 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 20 AUGUST: 26.8N 116.8E / 35-55 KPH / .. @ .. KPH

REMARKS: 2 AM (18 GMT) 19 AUGUST POSITION: 24.9N 118.9E.
^
...(more)

>> SEPAT {pronounced: se~pa~t}, meaning: A fresh water fish 
   with small climbing perch, is often found in rivers, swampy
   areas with a lot of weeds and paddy fields. Name contributed 
   by:
Malaysia.

_______________________________________________________________________
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RECENT T2K TRACKING CHART:


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RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


> Image source:  Digital-Typhoon.org (http://www.digital-typhoon.org)
__________________________________________________________________________________________

NOTES:
 
  ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their 
      latest warning.
 
  * - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals, 
      # 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas 
      being hoisted.
For more explanations on these signals, 
      visit:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

 ** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near 
      its center.

__________________________________________________________________________________________

>>
To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms 
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

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For the complete details on TY SEPAT (EGAY)...go visit
our website @:

>
http://www.typhoon2000.com
http://www.maybagyo.com

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