Saturday, September 01, 2007

Typhoon FITOW (10W) - Update #003


Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #003
Name: TYPHOON FITOW [10W/0709] 
Issued: 7:00 AM MANILA TIME (23:00 GMT) SAT 01 SEPTEMBER 2007
Next Update: 7:00 AM (23:00 GMT) SUN 02 SEPTEMBER
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #013
_______________________________________________________________________
 
 
TYPHOON FITOW (10W) WEAKENED TO 130 KM/HR DUE TO DRY
AIR ENTRAINMENT...STILL HEADING WEST-NORTHWEST SLOWLY.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: FITOW is expected to continue on a
slow WNW track with a slight West or WSW motion for the
next 2 days. The 3 to 5-day forecast shows the system
turning NW'ly in the direction of Japan, reaching forecast
wind speed of 175 km/hr (Cat 2) early Thursday morning
Sep 6. Initial Impact Forecast (IIF) still calls for a
Southern Honshu landfall on Sep 6 or 7
.

+ EFFECTS: FITOW is currently not affecting any Pacific
Islands at this time
.

+ TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCH: The Tropical Disturbance
(LPA/1008 MB) over the South China Sea has been reloca-
ted to the North, now to the West of Pangasinan. It was
estimated about 245 km West of Dagupan City (16.0N
118.0E). With sustained winds of 30 km/hr...barely
moving (stationary). This disturbance will be closely
monitored for further development. Provinces of Zambales,
Tarlac, Pampanga, Pangasinan & La Union can expect rains
and thunderstorms today due to its elongated rain bands.
More updates soon. Kindly check out the latest zoomed
satellite pic here.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast
outlook, effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical
cyclone watch changes every 06 to 12 hours!

_______________________________________________________________________

TIME/DATE: 5:00 AM MANILA TIME (21:00 GMT) 01 SEPTEMBER
LOCATION OF EYE: LATITUDE 27.8º N...LONGITUDE 152.7º E
DISTANCE 1: 1,185 KM (640
NM) ENE OF IWO TO
DISTANCE 2: 1,510 KM (815 NM) SE OF TOKYO
DISTANCE 3: 2,445 KM (1,320 NM) ENE OF OKINAWA
DISTANCE 4: 3,310 KM (1,787 NM) NE OF LUZON, PH
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 130 KM/HR (70 KTS)
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 160 KM/HR (85 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: CATEGORY ONE (1)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 970 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: WNW @ 15 KM/HR (08 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: JAPAN
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 590 KM (320 NM)/AVERAGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 24 FEET (7.3 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 3 AM JAPAN TIME SAT SEPTEMBER 01
TSR WIND PROBABILITIESCURRENT TO 120 HRS LEAD
  
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: N/A
           
12, 24 & 48 HR. FORECAST:
2 PM (06 GMT) 01 SEPTEMBER: 28.0N 151.5E / 130-160 KPH / W @ 13 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 02 SEPTEMBER: 28.2N 150.0E / 140-165 KPH / W @ 11 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 03 SEPTEMBER: 28.1N 147.1E / 150-185 KPH / WNW @ 11 KPH

REMARKS: 2 AM (18 GMT) 01 SEPTEMBER POSITION: 27.7N 153.1E.
^ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND AN SSMI MICROWAVE VAPOR IMAGE 
INDICATE THAT INTRUSION OF DRIER, SUBSIDENT AIR FROM A TROPICAL
UPPER TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH (TUTT) TEMPORARILY DISSIPATED NEARLY
ALL DEEP CONVECTION AROUND THE CORE OF THE STORM. HOWEVER, THE
STORM HAS MAINTAINED A STRONG LOW LEVEL SIGNATURE OVER WARM
WATER, AND UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW HAS IMPROVED TO BOTH THE SOUTH-
WEST AND NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM, ALLOWING DEEP CONVECTION TO
REDEVELOP NEAR THE STORM CENTER
...(more)

>> FITOW {pronounced: fee~tow}, meaning: Yapese name for a
   beautiful fragrant flower. Name contributed by: Micronesia.
_______________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________

RECENT TRACKING CHART:


_______________________________________________________________________________________

 
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


> Image source:  Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org)
__________________________________________________________________________________________

NOTES:
 
  ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their 
      latest warning.
 
  * - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals, 
      # 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas 
      being hoisted.
For more explanations on these signals, 
      visit:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

 ** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near 
      its center.

__________________________________________________________________________________________

>>
To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms 
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

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For the complete details on TY FITOW (10W)...go visit
our website @:

>
http://www.typhoon2000.com
http://www.maybagyo.com

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