Monday, September 03, 2007

Typhoon FITOW (10W) - Update #005


Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #005
Name: TYPHOON FITOW [10W/0709] 
Issued: 7:00 AM MANILA TIME (23:00 GMT) MON 03 SEPTEMBER 2007
Next Update: 7:00 AM (23:00 GMT) TUE 04 SEPTEMBER
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #021
_______________________________________________________________________
 
 
TYPHOON FITOW (10W) APPROACHING CATEGORY TWO STATUS...MOVING
SLOWLY WESTWARD ACROSS THE WARM WATERS OF THE NORTHERN PART
OF THE WESTERN PACIFIC...MAY STRIKE SOUTHERN HONSHU (JAPAN)
THREE DAYS FROM NOW.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: FITOW is expected to continue moving West-
ward for the next 12 hours before turning WNW, reaching peak
intensity of 165 km/hr (Cat 2) by early morning Wednesday (Sept
5). The 3 to 5-day forecast shows the system moving poleward
(north) early morning Thursday (Sept 6) as it approaches the
coast of Southern Honshu. The core (eye & eyewall) of the ty-
phoon shall make landfall just to the southeast of Tokyo Bay
or over Numazu Thursday afternoon (Sept 6) - passing close to
to the west of Metropolitan Tokyo around 6 or 7 PM Japan Stan-
dard Time (JST). FITOW shall weaken abruptly as it crosses the
Central part of Honshu during the early morning hours of Friday,
Sept 7, becoming an Extratropical Cyclone Saturday, Sept 8 while
over the southeastern coast of Hokkaido

+ EFFECTS: FITOW is currently not affecting any Pacific Islands
at this time, however, its outer rain bands is now approaching
the tiny island of Iwo To.

+ TROPICAL STORM WATCH: The Tropical Disturbance (LPA/1006 MB)
over the South China Sea has dissipated.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast
outlook, effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical
cyclone watch changes every 06 to 12 hours!

_______________________________________________________________________

TIME/DATE: 5:00 AM MANILA TIME (21:00 GMT) 03 SEPTEMBER
LOCATION OF EYE: LATITUDE 27.0º N...LONGITUDE 147.2º E
DISTANCE 1: 640 KM (345
NM) ENE OF IWO TO
DISTANCE 2: 1,200 KM (648 NM) SE OF TOKYO
DISTANCE 3: 1,905 KM (1,030 NM) EAST OF OKINAWA
DISTANCE 4: 2,750 KM (1,485 NM) NE OF NORTHERN LUZON, PH
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 150 KM/HR (80 KTS)
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 185 KM/HR (100 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: CATEGORY ONE (1)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 963 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: WEST @ 11 KM/HR (06 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: JAPAN
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 590 KM (320 NM)/AVERAGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 28 FEET (8.5 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 3 AM JAPAN TIME MON SEPTEMBER 03
TSR WIND PROBABILITIESCURRENT TO 120 HRS LEAD
  
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: N/A
           
12, 24 & 48 HR. FORECAST:
2 PM (06 GMT) 03 SEPTEMBER: 27.0N 145.9E / 150-185 KPH / W @ 17 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 04 SEPTEMBER: 27.2N 144.0E / 160-195 KPH / WNW @ 15 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 05 SEPTEMBER: 28.7N 141.0E / 175-215 KPH / NNW @ 15 KPH

REMARKS: 2 AM (18 GMT) 03 SEPTEMBER POSITION: 27.0N 147.6E.
^TYPHOON (TY) 10W (FITOW) HAS TRACKED TO THE SOUTHWEST
OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS, ON THE SOUTHEASTERN PERIPHERY OF A
RIDGE LOCATED SOUTH OF JAPAN. DEEP CONVECTION HAS INCREASED ON
THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER OVER
THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE INCREASED CONVECTION IS LIKELY BEING
AIDED BY A DEVELOPING TUTT CELL NORTHEAST OF TY 10W, WHICH IS
INCREASING POLEWARD OUTFLOW
...(more)

>> FITOW {pronounced: fee~tow}, meaning: Yapese name for a
   beautiful fragrant flower. Name contributed by: Micronesia.
_______________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________

RECENT TRACKING CHART:


_______________________________________________________________________________________

 
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


> Image source:  Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org)
__________________________________________________________________________________________

NOTES:
 
  ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their 
      latest warning.
 
  * - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals, 
      # 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas 
      being hoisted.
For more explanations on these signals, 
      visit:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

 ** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near 
      its center.

__________________________________________________________________________________________

>>
To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms 
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

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For the complete details on TY FITOW (10W)...go visit
our website @:

>
http://www.typhoon2000.com
http://www.maybagyo.com

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