Thursday, September 06, 2007

Typhoon FITOW (10W) - Update #008


Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #008
Name: TYPHOON FITOW [10W/0709] 
Issued: 7:00 AM MANILA TIME (23:00 GMT) THU 06 SEPTEMBER 2007
Next Update: 7:00 PM (11:00 GMT) THU 06 SEPTEMBER
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #033
_______________________________________________________________________
 
 
TYPHOON FITOW (10W) HAS SLIGHTLY GAINED STRENGTH AS IT APPROACHES
THE SOUTHERN COAST OF HONSHU...LANDFALL EXPECTED WITHIN 24 HOURS.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: FITOW is expected to turn north for the next
24 hours before it starts transitioning into an Extratropical
Cyclone. This typhoon shall reach peak intensity of 160 km/hr
(Cat 2) just before landfall late this afternoon. The core of
FITOW shall make landfall near or just to the East of Shizuoka
City around 11 PM Japan Time (JST) tonight and shall pass near
or over Mt. Fuji, passing to the west of Metropolitan Tokyo
afterwards by midnight. The 2-day forecast calls for the system
becoming Extratropical upon moving in across the mountainous
region of Central Honshu tomorrow Friday afternoon (Sept 7)
and shall exit Honshu via Hokkaido early morning Saturday.
Sept. 8

+ EFFECTS: FITOW's outer rain bands spreading across Southern
Honshu and the eastern part of Shikoku. Cloudy conditions with
winds and passing rains can be expected along these bands.
Inner rain bands forecast to reach Southern Honshu this after-
noon. Coastal Storm Surge flooding of 04 to 05 feet above normal
tide levels...along with large and dangerous battering waves can
be expected near and to the north of FITOW's projected path.
Flash floods and mudslides are imminent along river banks,
low-lying and mountainous regions of the affected areas.
Precautionary measures must be initiated as the powerful
system approaches.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast
outlook, effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical
cyclone watch changes every 06 to 12 hours!

_______________________________________________________________________

TIME/DATE: 5:00 AM MANILA TIME (21:00 GMT) 06 SEPTEMBER
LOCATION OF EYE: LATITUDE 31.4º N...LONGITUDE 131.5º E
DISTANCE 1: 490 KM (265
NM) SSW OF TOKYO, JAPAN
DISTANCE 2: 450 KM (243 NM) SSE OF NAGOYA, JAPAN
DISTANCE 3: 1,155 KM (624 NM) NE OF OKINAWA
DISTANCE 4: 2,040 KM (1,102 NM) NE OF BATANES, PH
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 150 KM/HR (80 KTS)
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 185 KM/HR (100 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: CATEGORY ONE (1)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 963 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: NNW @ 15 KM/HR (08 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: SOUTHERN HONSHU, JAPAN
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 740 KM (400 NM)/LARGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 33 FEET (10.0 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 3 AM JAPAN TIME THU SEPTEMBER 06
TSR WIND PROBABILITIESCURRENT TO 48 HRS LEAD
  
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: N/A
           
12, 24 & 48 HR. FORECAST:
2 PM (06 GMT) 06 SEPTEMBER: 33.0N 138.4E / 160-195 KPH / N @ 28 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 07 SEPTEMBER: 35.9N 139.1E / 110-140 KPH / NNE @ 31 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 08 SEPTEMBER: 42.7N 143.1E / 55-75 KPH / NE @ 37 KPH

REMARKS: 2 AM (18 GMT) 06 SEPTEMBER POSITION: 30.9N 138.5E.
^TYPHOON (TY) 10W (FITOW) HAS INTENSIFIED SLIGHTLY OVER THE
PAST 12 HOURS DUE TO BOTH IMPROVING POLEWARD OUTFLOW AHEAD OF A
MID- LATITUDE TROUGH EXTENDING ACROSS THE SEA OF JAPAN AND WARM
SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ASSOCIATED WITH THE KUROSHIO CURRENT.
DEEP CONVECTION HAS INCREASED AROUND THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION
CENTER, AND A RAGGED BANDING EYE FEATURE HAS MADE A TRANSIENT
APPEARANCE IN RECENT INFRARED AND MICROWAVE SATELLITE
IMAGERY
...(more)

>> FITOW {pronounced: fee~tow}, meaning: Yapese name for a
   beautiful fragrant flower. Name contributed by: Micronesia.
_______________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________

RECENT TRACKING CHART:


_______________________________________________________________________________________

 
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


> Image source:  Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org)
__________________________________________________________________________________________

NOTES:
 
  ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their 
      latest warning.
 
  * - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals, 
      # 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas 
      being hoisted.
For more explanations on these signals, 
      visit:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

 ** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near 
      its center.

__________________________________________________________________________________________

>>
To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms 
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

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For the complete details on TY FITOW (10W)...go visit
our website @:

>
http://www.typhoon2000.com
http://www.maybagyo.com

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