Tuesday, October 02, 2007

TS INENG (17W) - Update #001


Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #001
Name: TROPICAL STORM INENG [17W] 
Issued: 7:00 AM MANILA TIME (23:00 GMT) TUE 02 OCTOBER 2007
Next Update: 7:00 PM (11:00 GMT) TUE 02 OCTOBER
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING NUMBER 002-A
Note: Kindly refer to your country's official warnings or bulletins. This update is for additional information purposes only.
_____________________________________________________________________________
 
 
TROPICAL STORM INENG (17W) NEWLY-FORMED OVER THE PHILIPPINE SEA...
BARELY MOVING FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS...MAY POSE A THREAT TO BATANES-
TAIWAN AREA IN THE COMING DAYS...INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY.

Note: Position has been relocated to the east based on latest 5:00 AM
Microwave Pass.


+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: INENG is expected to undergo a clockwise loop be-
fore turning and moving slowly WNW within the next 12 to 24 hours and
rapidly intensify, due to continued decrease of wind shear along the
area. The 3 to 5-day forecast shows INENG becoming a Typhoon on Friday
morning Oct 5 and shall accelerate NW'ly in the direction of Northern
Taiwan area. If wind shear continues to relax, INENG may reach Cat 2
status, with projected wind speeds of 175 km/hr as it approaches the
Northern Coast of Taiwan on Sunday morning Oct 07

+ EFFECTS: INENG's developing rain bands continues to improve and re-
mains over the Philippine Sea - affecting only the shipping lanes.

+ CURRENT ITCZ/MONSOON INTENSITY: Moderate to strong Southwest (SW)
Monsoon enhanced by TS INENG located over the Philippine Sea - will
continue to bring mostly cloudy skies with intermittent rainfall &
SW'ly winds of 10 km/hr or higher across Western Philippines beco-
ming more frequent over Mindoro, Lubang Island, Western Visayas &
Northern Palawan. Landslides and flooding is likely to occur along
steep mountain slopes, river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas
of the affected areas.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook,
effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical cyclone watch changes 
every 06 to 12 hours!

_____________________________________________________________________________

TIME/DATE: 5:00 AM MANILA TIME (21:00 GMT) 02 OCTOBER
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 16.7º N...LONGITUDE 131.3º E {MW Fix}
DISTANCE 1: 1,025 KM (553
NM) ESE OF TUGUEGARAO CITY, PH
DISTANCE 2: 1,035 KM (560 NM) ESE OF APARRI, CAGAYAN, PH
DISTANCE 3: 1,065 KM (575 NM) SE OF BASCO, BATANES, PH
DISTANCE 4: 980 KM (528 NM) ENE OF CASIGURAN, AURORA, PH
DISTANCE 5: 1,115 KM (602 NM) ENE OF METRO MANILA, PH
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 65 KM/HR (35 KTS)
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 85 KM/HR (45 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: N/A 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 996 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: SE @ 07 KM/HR (04 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: PHILIPPINE SEA
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 500 KM (270 NM)/AVERAGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 12 FEET (3.6 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 2 AM MANILA TIME TUE OCTOBER 02
TSR WIND PROBABILITIESCURRENT TO 120 HRS LEAD  
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: N/A

12, 24 & 48 HR. FORECAST:
2 PM (06 GMT) 02 OCTOBER: 16.5N 130.2E / 75-95 KPH / WNW @ 05 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 03 OCTOBER: 16.7N 129.7E / 85-100 KPH / NNW @ 07 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 04 OCTOBER: 18.4N 128.9E / 110-140 KPH / NW @ 13 KPH

REMARKS: 2 AM (18 GMT) 02 OCTOBER POSITION: 16.6N 130.5E.
^
TROPICAL STORM (TS) 17W HAS RAPIDLY CONSOLIDATED IN THE LOW LEVELS
OVER THE PAST 12 TO 18 HOURS. A STRONG BAND OF WESTERLIES SOUTH OF
THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) LIKELY CONTRIBUTED TO THE
SPIN-UP OF CYCLONIC VORTICITY. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT
THE 200 MB ANTICYCLONE HAS BEGUN TO DEVELOP OVER THE LLCC, LOWERING
THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR VALUES...(more)
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________

RECENT TRACKING CHART:


_______________________________________________________________________________________

 
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


> Image source:  Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org)
__________________________________________________________________________________________

NOTES:
 
  ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their 
      latest warning.
 
  * - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals, 
      # 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas 
      being hoisted.
For more explanations on these signals, 
      visit:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

 ** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near 
      its center.

__________________________________________________________________________________________

>>
To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms 
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

:: Typhoon2000.com (T2K) Mobile >> Powered by: Synermaxx
Receive the latest storm updates directly to your mobile phones! To know more:
Send T2K HELP to: 2800
(GLOBE & TM) | 216 (SMART & TNT) | 2288 (SUN) 
Note: Globe & Smart charges P2.50 per message, while Sun at P2.00.
__________________________________________________________________________________________

For the complete details on TS INENG (17W)...go visit
our website @:

>
http://www.typhoon2000.com
http://www.maybagyo.com

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at: 
   
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm


__._,_.___
Recent Activity
Visit Your Group
Yahoo! Groups

Beauty & Fashion

Connect & share

tips and advice.

Cat Zone

on Yahoo! Groups

Join a Group

all about cats.

Yoga Groups

Exchange insights

with members of

the yoga community.

.

__,_._,___

No comments: