Bushman's Typhoon Blog: TS LEKIMA (HANNA)

Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #010

Name: TROPICAL STORM LEKIMA [HANNA/16W/0714]

Issued: 7:00 AM MANILA TIME (23:00 GMT) TUE 02 OCTOBER 2007
Next Update: 7:00 PM (11:00 GMT) TUE 02 OCTOBER
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING NUMBER 008
Note: Kindly refer to your country's official warnings or bulletins. This update is for additional information purposes only.

_____________________________________________________________________________

TROPICAL STORM LEKIMA (HANNA) CONTINUES TO MOVE CLOSER TO SOUTHERN

HAINAN...RAINBANDS APPROACHES.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: LEKIMA is expected to continue moving WNW for the

next 24 hours and is likely to become a Typhoon early tomorrow upon

passing to the South of Hainan. The 2 to 3-day forecast shows LEKIMA

making landfall over North-Central Vietnam late tomorrow afternoon,

Oct 03 as a downgraded Tropical Storm. It shall continue dissipating

on Thursday Oct 04 as it moves across Laos. Complete dissipation ex-

pected on Friday, Oct 05 after passing north of Vientaine City.

+ EFFECTS: LEKIMA's inner rain bands is now near the SE coast of

Hainan Island. The SW outer bands continues to spread across Central

Vietnam, Hainan and portions of Laos. Cloudy skies with passing light

to moderate and sometimes heavy downpour can be expected along Lekima's

outer bands...becoming more intense and windy as the inner bands moves

through. Flash floods and mudslides are imminent along river banks,

low-lying and mountainous regions of the affected areas.

+ CURRENT ITCZ/MONSOON INTENSITY: Moderate to strong Southwest (SW)

Monsoon enhanced by TS LEKIMA (HANNA) located over the South China Sea

- will continue to bring cloudy skies with intermittent rains & South

to SW'ly winds of 20 km/hr or higher across IndoChina becoming more

frequent over Southern Malaysia, Southern Thailand, Cambodia, & Sou-

thern Vietnam. Landslides and flooding is likely to occur along steep

mountain slopes, river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of the

affected areas.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook,
effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical cyclone watch changes
every 06 to 12 hours!
_____________________________________________________________________________

TIME/DATE: 5:00 AM MANILA TIME (21:00 GMT) 02 OCTOBER
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 16.5º N...LONGITUDE 111.4º E
DISTANCE 1: 345 KM (185 NM) ENE OF DA NANG, VIETNAM

DISTANCE 2: 405 KM (220 NM) EAST OF HUE, VIETNAM

DISTANCE 3: 275 KM (150 NM) SE OF SANYA, HAINAN IS.

DISTANCE 4: 315 KM (170 NM) SSE OF QIONGHAI, HAINAN IS.

DISTANCE 5: 1,050 KM (567 NM) NW OF METRO MANILA, PH

MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 100 KM/HR (55 KTS)
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 130 KM/HR (70 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: N/A
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 982 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: WNW @ 11 KM/HR (06 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: HAINAN-GULF OF TONKIN AREA
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 835 KM (450 NM)/LARGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 25 FEET (7.6 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 2 AM HONG KONG TIME TUE OCTOBER 02
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 72 HRS LEAD
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: N/A

12, 24 & 48 HR. FORECAST:
2 PM (06 GMT) 02 OCTOBER: 17.0N 110.4E / 110-140 KPH / WNW @ 15 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 03 OCTOBER: 17.5N 108.9E / 120-150 KPH / WNW @ 17 KPH

2 AM (18 GMT) 04 OCTOBER: 18.2N 105.3E / 85-100 KPH / W @ 11 KPH

REMARKS: 2 AM (18 GMT) 02 OCTOBER POSITION: 16.3N 111.1E.
^TROPICAL STORM (TS) 16W (LEKIMA) HAS MAINTAINED INTENSITY, BUT
CONVECTION HAS MOVED CLOSER TO THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC),
WHICH WAS FULLY EXPOSED 12 HOURS EARLIER. THE STORM HAD TEMPORARILY
STALLED IN A REGION OF WEAK STEERING, BUT NOW A MID LEVEL RIDGE OVER
SOUTHEASTERN CHINA HAS BUILT IN NORTH OF THE STORM, ALLOWING FOR
INCREASED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION...(more)

>> LEKIMA {pronounced: le~kee~mah}, meaning: A kind of tree whose fruit

has only one seed surrounded by yellow pulp which looks like a yolk.
Name contributed by: Vietnam.
_____________________________________________________________________________

_____________________________________________________________________________

RECENT TRACKING CHART:

_______________________________________________________________________________________

RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:

> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org)
__________________________________________________________________________________________

NOTES:

^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their
latest warning.

* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals,
      # 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas
      being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals,
      visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
      its center.
__________________________________________________________________________________________

>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

:: Typhoon2000.com (T2K) Mobile >> Powered by: Synermaxx
Receive the latest storm updates directly to your mobile phones! To know more:
Send T2K HELP to: 2800 (GLOBE & TM) | 216 (SMART & TNT) | 2288 (SUN)
Note: Globe & Smart charges P2.50 per message, while Sun at P2.00.
__________________________________________________________________________________________

For the complete details on TS LEKIMA (HANNA)...go visit
our website @:

> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com

> http://www.typhoon2000.ph

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm