Thursday, May 15, 2008

TD 04W (NONAME) - Update #003


Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #003
Name: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W [NONAME] 
Issued: 7:00 PM MANILA TIME (11:00 GMT) THU 15 MAY 2008
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING NUMBER 005
Note: Kindly refer to your country's official warnings or bulletins. This update is for additional information purposes only.
_____________________________________________________________________________
 
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W (NONAME) ACCELERATING NORTHEASTWARD AWAY FROM
THE COAST OF NORTHERN LUZON

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: 04W is expected to become a minimal Tropical Storm
tonight and accelerate further towards the northeast. The 2-day medium
range forecast shows the system, becoming Extratropical tomorrow. 

+ EFFECTS: N/A.

+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: Intensified Southwest (SW) Monsoon
which is locally induced by 04W & TD COSME continues to affect Western
Visayas, Mindoro, Rest of Luzon including Metro Manila and Bicol Region.
The monsoon-affected areas will have cloudy skies with moderate to heavy
rains, thunderstorms & SW'ly winds not exceeding 40 km/hr today. Land-
slides, mudflows (lahars) and flooding is likely to occur along steep
mountain/volcano slopes, river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of
the affected areas. Meanwhile, big sea waves or surges generated by this
monsoon can affect the coastal and beach-front areas of the abovemen-
tioned areas. Meanwhile, the rest of the Philippines is under the active
ITCZ (Monsoon Trough), which will bring scattered rains and thunderstorms
most especially in the afternoon or evening.
 
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook,
effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical cyclone watch changes 
every 06 to 12 hours!

_____________________________________________________________________________

TIME/DATE: 5:00 PM MANILA TIME (09:00 GMT) 15 MAY
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 19.6º N...LONGITUDE 125.5º E
DISTANCE 1: 380 KM (205
NM) ESE OF BASCO, BATANES, PH 
DISTANCE 2: 420 KM (225 NM) ENE OF APARRI, CAGAYAN, PH 
MAX WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 55 KM/HR (30 KTS) NEAR THE CENTER
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 75 KM/HR (40 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: N/A 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 1000 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: NE @ 22 KM/HR (12 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: PHILIPPINE SEA
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): ... KM (... NM)/N/A
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 17 FEET (5.1 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 2 PM MANILA TIME THU MAY 15
TSR WIND PROBABILITIESCURRENT TO 48 HRS LEAD  
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: N/A

12, 24, & 48 HR. FORECAST:
2 AM (18 GMT) 16 MAY: 21.1N 127.1E / 65-85 KPH / NE @ 35 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 16 MAY: 23.2N 130.4E / 65-85 KPH / ENE @ 42 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 17 MAY: 27.2N 141.2E / 55-75 KPH / ENE @ 55 KPH
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________

RECENT WUNDERGROUND.COM TRACKING CHART:


_______________________________________________________________________________________

 
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


> Image source:  Digital-Typhoon.Org (http://www.digital-typhoon.org/)
__________________________________________________________________________________________

NOTES:
 
  ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their 
      latest warning.
 
  * - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals, 
      # 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas 
      being hoisted.
For more explanations on these signals, 
      visit:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

 ** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near 
      its center.

__________________________________________________________________________________________

>>
To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms 
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

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For the complete details on TD 04W (NONAME)...go visit
our website @:

>
http://www.typhoon2000.com
http://www.maybagyo.com

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