Bushman's Typhoon Blog: Tropical Storm (TS) NAKRI

Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #001

Name: TROPICAL STORM NAKRI [06W/0805]

Issued: 7:00 PM MANILA TIME (11:00 GMT) TUE 27 MAY 2008
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING NUMBER 002
Note: Kindly refer to your country's official warnings or bulletins. This update is for additional information purposes only.

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TROPICAL STORM NAKRI (06W) NEWLY-FORMED TO THE NORTH OF YAP ISLAND...

TRACKING NORTHWESTERLY NEAR THE EASTERN BORDER OF THE PHILIPPINE

AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY (PAR)...NOT YET A THREAT TO THE PHILIPPINE

ISLANDS.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: NAKRI is expected to resume its NNW track across
the Western Pacific. It may reach Typhoon status Thursday afternoon

(May 29) and starts recurving Friday evening on its way to Iwo To

(formerly Iwo Jima) on Sunday, June 1.

+ EFFECTS: NAKRI's spiral cloud bands remains at sea...not affecting
any small or large islands.

+ TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCH: Meanwhile, Tropical Disturbance 92W (LPA/1010),
slowly organizing with mid-level cyclonic turning, but remains weak...

located about 260 km. ENE of Casiguran, Aurora (16.6N 124.5E)...packing

winds of 30 km/hr, this disturbance will be observed closely for possible

development into a Tropical Cyclone in hours or days. Click here to view

the near real-time satellite photo (courtesy of NOAA/MTSAT-1R).

+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: Weak Southwest (SW) Monsoon which is locally
induced by Tropical Disturbance 92W (LPA) is bringing scattered rainshowers
and isolated thunderstorms across portions of Southern Luzon, Bicol Region
and Northern Visayas today. Elsewhere, ITCZ (aka. Monsoon Trough) affecting
Central Luzon, Rest of Visayas and Mindanao - will continue to bring sca-

ttered rains and thunderstorms - most especially in the afternoon or
evening.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook,
effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical cyclone watch changes
every 06 to 12 hours!
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TIME/DATE: 5:00 PM MANILA TIME (09:00 GMT) 27 MAY
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 14.3º N...LONGITUDE 137.5º E
DISTANCE 1: 270 KM (145 NM) EAST OF PAR

DISTANCE 2: 540 KM (290 NM) NNW OF COLONIA, YAP

DISTANCE 3: 1,235 KM (667 NM) SSW OF IWO TO (FORMERLY IWO JIMA)

DISTANCE 4: 1,415 KM (765 NM) EAST OF BICOL REGION, PH

DISTANCE 5: 1,665 KM (900 NM) ESE OF CASIGURAN, AURORA, PH
MAX WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 65 KM/HR (35 KTS) NEAR THE CENTER
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 85 KM/HR (45 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: N/A
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 996 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: NW @ 15 KM/HR (08 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: NORTHERN PHILIPPINE SEA
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 370 KM (200 NM)/AVERAGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 12 FEET (3.6 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 2 PM MANILA TIME TUE MAY 27
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 120 HRS LEAD
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: N/A

12, 24, 48 & 72 HR. FORECAST:
2 AM (18 GMT) 28 MAY: 15.0N 137.1E / 85-100 KPH / NNW @ 09 KPH

2 PM (06 GMT) 28 MAY: 16.0N 136.8E / 100-130 KPH / NNW @ 07 KPH

2 PM (06 GMT) 29 MAY: 17.6N 136.2E / 120-150 KPH / N @ 09 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 30 MAY: 19.6N 135.8E / 130-160 KPH / NNE @ 13 KPH

REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) 27 MAY POSITION: 14.1N 137.6E.
^A STRONG MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH A WESTWARD-
PROPAGATING TROPICAL WAVE HAS EXTENDED TO THE SURFACE, FORMING
TROPICAL STORM (TS) NAKRI TO THE NORTH OF YAP. MULTIPLE CONVECTIVE
BANDS DEVELOPING AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF THE CYCLONE AND PERSISTENT
CONVECTION OVER THE CIRCULATION CENTER DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS
SUGGEST THAT LOW-LEVEL INFLOW HAS SUBSTANTIALLY INCREASED. RECENT
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY ALSO INDICATES A MARKED INCREASE IN FAVORABLE
OUTFLOW ALOFT...(more)

>> NAKRI {pronounced: na~kree}, meaning: A kind of flower.
Name contributed by: Cambodia.
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RECENT WUNDERGROUND.COM TRACKING CHART:

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RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:

> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.Org (http://www.digital-typhoon.org/)
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NOTES:

^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their
latest warning.

* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals,
      # 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas
      being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals,
      visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
      its center.
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>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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> http://www.typhoon2000.ph

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