Tuesday, August 26, 2008

TD LAWIN - Update #001


Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #001
Name: TROPICAL DEPRESSION LAWIN [98W] 
Issued: 1:00 AM MANILA TIME (17:00 GMT) TUE 26 AUGUST 2008
Source: PAGASA SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN NUMBER 002
Note: Kindly refer to your country's official warnings or bulletins. This update is for additional information purposes only.
_____________________________________________________________________________
 
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION LAWIN (98W) NEWLY-FORMED TO THE EAST OF BICOL
REGION...THREATENS NORTHERN BICOL REGION AND QUEZON PROVINCES...STORM
WARNING SIGNAL NUMBER ONE NOW HOISTED.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: LAWIN is expected to continue moving WNW for the next
24 hours and shall pass across the northern tip of Catanduanes Wednesday
afternoon, Aug 27 and be over Caramoan Peninsula in Camarines Sur Wednes-
day evening. It shall be over or very close to Metro Manila on Thursday
evening, Aug 28. 

+ EFFECTS: LAWIN's developing outer bands may start to affect the Bicol
Region & Northern Visayas starting tomorrow, as its circulation has begun
to consolidate and improve on its organization. Scattered rains and gusty
winds not exceeding 55 km/hr can be expected along these bands over the
affected areas. People living around the slopes of Mayon Volcano in Albay
& of Bulusan Volcano in Sorsogon - especially along the areas where possi-
ble MUDFLOWS (LAHAR) FLOWS (mixture of volcanic mud and water) are located
must stay alert as moderate to heavy rains associated by this depression
are likely to affect the area beginning tomorrow. Residents in low-lying
areas must seek higher grounds for possible flooding & landslides due to
the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this depression. Precautio-
nary measures must be initiated if necessary.

+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY
The Southwest (SW) Monsoon is likely to be
enhanced by LAWIN beginning tomorrow or Wednesday and affect the Western
sections of Visayas. This wind system is expected to bring mostly cloudy
skies with possible "on-&-off" light to moderate to sometimes heavy rains
& winds not exceeding 40 km/hr. Landslides, mudflows (lahars) and flooding
is likely to occur along steep mountain/volcano slopes, river banks, low-
lying & flood-prone areas of the affected areas.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook,
effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical cyclone watch changes 
every 06 to 12 hours!

_____________________________________________________________________________

TIME/DATE: 10:00 PM MANILA TIME (14:00 GMT) 25 AUGUST
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 13.5º N...LONGITUDE 128.3º
DISTANCE 1: 445 KM (240
NM) EAST OF VIRAC, CATANDUANES, PH 
DISTANCE 2: 500 KM (270 NM) ENE OF LEGAZPI CITY, PH  
DISTANCE 3: 530 KM (285 NM) EAST OF IRIGA CITY, PH
DISTANCE 4: 550 KM (298 NM) EAST OF NAGA CITY, PH
DISTANCE 5: 585 KM (315 NM) ESE OF DAET, CAMARINES NORTE, PH
MAX WINDS [10-MIN AVG]: 55 KM/HR (30 KTS) NEAR THE CENTER
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 70 KM/HR (38 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: N/A 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 1000 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: WNW @ 11 KM/HR (03 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: NORTHERN BICOL-QUEZON AREA
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 320 KM (170 NM)/SMALL
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 09 FEET (2.7 METERS)
VIEW PAGASA TRACKING MAP: 8 PM MANILA TIME MON AUGUST 25

PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*:
#01 - CATANDUANES AND NORTHERN SAMAR.

24, 48 & 72 HR. FORECAST:
8 PM (12 GMT) 26 AUGUST: 13.7N 125.9E
8 PM (12 GMT) 27 AUGUST: 14.2N 123.4E
8 PM (12 GMT) 28 AUGUST: 14.8N 121.0E

REMARKS: 8 PM (12 GMT) 25 AUGUST POSITION: 13.5N 128.5E.
^...(more)

_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________


RECENT PAGASA TRACKING CHART:


_______________________________________________________________________________________

 
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


> Image source:  NOAA Satellite Service (http://www.noaa.gov/)
__________________________________________________________________________________________

NOTES:
 
  ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their 
      latest warning.
 
  * - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals, 
      # 4 being the highest. For more explanations on these 
      signals, visit:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

 ** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near 
      its center.

__________________________________________________________________________________________

>>
To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms 
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

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For the complete details on TD LAWIN (98W)...go visit
our website @:

>
http://www.typhoon2000.com
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