Bushman's Typhoon Blog: TS KAMMURI (JULIAN)

Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #007 **FINAL**

Name: TROPICAL STORM KAMMURI [JULIAN/10W/0809]

Issued: 6:00 AM MANILA TIME (22:00 GMT) THU 07 AUGUST 2008
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING NUMBER 012 (FINAL)
Note: Kindly refer to your country's official warnings or bulletins. This update is for additional information purposes only.

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TROPICAL STORM KAMMURI (JULIAN) HAS MADE LANDFALL ALONG THE COAST OF

SOUTHWESTERN GUANGDONG...SHALL TRACK INTO NORTHERN VIETNAM LATER TODAY.
THIS SYSTEM SHALL DISSIPATE INTO A DISTURBANCE TOMORROW.

*THIS IS THE FINAL EMAIL UPDATE ON THIS SYSTEM.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: KAMMURI is expected to continue heading Westward for

the next 24 hours and dissipate over Northern Vietnam.

+ EFFECTS: KAMMURI's strong circulation has become more concentrated

along the coast and Gulf of Tonkin and is currently covering Hainan

Island and the coastal areas of SW China. Widespread rains of up to

200-300 mm. and winds not in excess of 75 km/hr can be expected along

the above areas. Residents in low-lying areas must seek higher grounds

for possible flooding & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains

brought about by this disturbance. Precautionary measures must be

initiated if necessary.

+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: The Southwest (SW) Monsoon continues to be

enhanced by TS KAMMURI (JULIAN) affecting the whole South China Sea and

the western coastal area of Luzon in the Philippines. This wind system

is currently bringing cloudy skies with "on-&-off" to sometimes conti-

nuous moderate to heavy rains & winds not exceeding 50 km/hr. Land-

slides, mudflows (lahars) and flooding is likely to occur along steep

mountain/volcano slopes, river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of

the affected areas. Strong ITCZ (aka. Monsoon Trough) affecting the

whole Philippines. It will continue to bring widespread scattered rains

and thunderstorms - most especially in the afternoon or evening.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook,
effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical cyclone watch changes
every 06 to 12 hours!
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TIME/DATE: 5:00 AM MANILA TIME (21:00 GMT) 07 AUGUST
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 21.7º N...LONGITUDE 109.4º E
DISTANCE 1: 115 KM (62 NM) NW OF ZHANJIANG, CHINA

DISTANCE 2: 380 KM (205 NM) ENE OF HANOI, VIETNAM

DISTANCE 3: 435 KM (233 NM) WEST OF MACAU, CHINA

DISTANCE 4: 500 KM (270 NM) WEST OF HONG KONG, CHINA

MAX WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 75 KM/HR (40 KTS) NEAR THE CENTER
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 95 KM/HR (50 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: N/A
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 993 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: WEST @ 30 KM/HR (16 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: NORTHERN VIETNAM
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 665 KM (360 NM)/AVG/LARGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 10 FEET (3.0 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 2 AM MANILA TIME THU AUGUST 07
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 24 HRS LEAD

PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: NONE.

12, 24 HR. FORECAST:
2 PM (06 GMT) 07 AUGUST: 21.9N 109.6E / 35-55 KPH / W @ 19 KPH

2 AM (18 GMT) 08 AUGUST: 21.9N 107.4E / 35-55 KPH / - @ -- KPH

REMARKS: 2 AM (18 GMT) 07 AUGUST POSITION: 21.7N 111.7E.
^RECENT RADAR AND INFRARED SATELLITE POSITION ESTIMATES INDIC-
ATE THAT TS 10W (KAMMURI) HAS MADE LANDFALL ALONG THE SOUTH COAST
OF CHINA APPROXIMATELY 140 NM WEST OF HONG KONG. RECENT INFRARED
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT INCREASING LAND INTERACTION HAS
INITIATED A BREAK DOWN IN THE CONVECTIVE STRUCTURE...(more)

>> KAMMURI {pronounced: ka~moo~ree}, meaning: Corona Borealis; crown.
Name contributed by: Japan.
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RECENT WUNDERGROUND.COM TRACKING CHART:

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RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:

> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.Org (http://www.digital-typhoon.org/)
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NOTES:

^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their
latest warning.

* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals,
      # 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas
      being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals,
      visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
      its center.
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>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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For the complete details on TS KAMMURI (JULIAN/10W)...go visit
our website @:

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> http://www.maybagyo.com

> http://www.typhoon2000.ph

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