Bushman's Typhoon Blog: TS DOLPHIN (ULYSSES)

Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #014 **FINAL**

Name: TROPICAL STORM DOLPHIN [ULYSSES/27W/0822]

Issued: 7:00 AM MANILA TIME (23:00 GMT) THU 18 DECEMBER 2008
Source: US JTWC WARNING #030 / T2K XTRAPOLATION
Note: Kindly refer to your country's official warnings or bulletins. This update is for additional information purposes only.

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DOLPHIN (ULYSSES) DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM AS IT ACCELERATES

RAPIDLY TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST...EXITS THE PHILIPPINE AREA OF

RESPONSIBILITY (PAR).

*THIS IS THE FINAL EMAIL STORM UPDATE ON THE PROBABLY LAST TROPICAL

CYCLONE OF 2008.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: DOLPHIN is expected to continue weakening and shall

dissipate in 24 to 36 hours.

+ EFFECTS: DOLPHIN's weakening circulation continues to become

disorganized and is not affecting any land areas.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook,
effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical cyclone watch changes
every 06 to 12 hours!
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TIME/DATE: 6:00 AM MANILA TIME (22:00 GMT) THU 18 DEC 2008
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 21.9º N...LONGITUDE 136.8º E
DISTANCE 1: 560 KM (302 NM) SW OF IWO TO
DISTANCE 2: 665 KM (360 NM) SW OF CHICHI JIMA
DISTANCE 3: 1,545 KM (835 NM) ENE OF BASCO, BATANES, PH

MAX WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 95 KM/HR (50 KTS) NEAR THE CENTER
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 120 KM/HR (65 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: TROPICAL STORM
COASTAL STORM SURGE HEIGHT: 0-3 FEET (0-0.9 METERS)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 985 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: NE @ 31 KM/HR (17 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: IWO TO AREA
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 520 KM (280 NM)/AVERAGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 17 FEET (5.1 METERS)
VIEW T2K TRACKMAP (FOR PUBLIC): 12 PM PST WED DEC 17 (FINAL)
VIEW JTWC TRACKMAP (FOR SHIPPING): 18Z TUE DEC 16
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 72 HRS LEAD
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: NONE

12, 24, & 36 HR. FORECAST:
2 PM (06 GMT) 18 DECEMBER: 22.3N 138.0E / 85-100 KPH / ENE @ 17 KPH

2 AM (18 GMT) 19 DECEMBER: 22.7N 139.9E / 65-85 KPH / EAST @ 13 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 19 DECEMBER: 22.8N 141.4E / 35-55 KPH / -- @ -- KPH

REMARKS: 2 AM (18 GMT) 18 DECEMBER POSITION: 21.1N 135.3E.
^OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS TROPICAL STORM (TS) 27W (DOLPHIN)
HAS PROGRESSIVELY WEAKENED IN RESPONSE TO HEIGHTENED VERTICAL
WIND SHEAR AHEAD OF A DEEPING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH APPROACHING
FROM THE NORTHWEST. OVERALL CONVECTION HAS SHALLOWED CONSIDERABLY
WITH ALL BUT A SMALL CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST FEATURE REMAINING,
IN ADDITION TO WEAKENED BANDING...(more)

>> DOLPHIN, meaning: A Chinese white dolphin which lives in HK
waters, and also a mascot of HK. Name contributed by:
Hong Kong, China.
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PAGASA FINAL POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.):

> 2 AM (18 GMT) 18 DECEMBER: 20.7N 135.2E / ENE @ 24 KPH / 85 kph

:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website at:
http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcupdate.shtml

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FINAL T2K TRACKING CHART:

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RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:

> Image source: NOAA Satellite Service (http://www.noaa.gov/)

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RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION:

> Image source: Wunderground.com (http://www.wunderground.com/)

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NOTES:

^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their
latest warning.

* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals,
      # 4 being the highest. For more explanations on these
      signals, visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
      its center.
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>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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For the complete details on TS DOLPHIN (ULYSSES/27W)...go visit
our website @:

> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com

> http://www.typhoon2000.ph

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