Bushman's Typhoon Blog: Tropical Disturbance 92W (LPA) threatens Samar-Bicol...[Update #002]

for Monday, 22 June 2009 [6:36 PM PST]

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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Mon June 22 2009):

Now issuing 6-hrly advisories on Tropical Disturbance 92W (LPA) as it heads towards Samar-Bicol Area.

92W (LPA) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 30 km/hr
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 30 km/hr

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 92W (LPA)
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 002
As of 6:00 PM PST (10:00 GMT) Mon 22 June 2009
Source: JTWC/NOAA SATELLITE ANALYSIS / T2K XTRAPOLATION

Tropical Disturbance 92W (LPA) has speed up its WNW track as it continues to consolidate over the Philippine Sea...may likely become a Tropical Depression within the next 6 to 12 hours. The threat to Eastern Visayas and Bicol Peninsula remains.

*Residents and visitors along Eastern Visayas and Bicol Region should closely monitor the progress of 92W.

*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.

+ Forecast Outlook: Early forecast from various computer models shows 92W passing across the Bicol Region on Wednesday (June 24). More forecast information will be posted once fresh data arrives.

+ Effects: 92W's circulation continues to develop with its outer rain bands expected to reach Samar & Eastern Visayas later tonight and then over Bicol Region tomorrow afternoon. Winds of up to 40 kph with light to moderate to sometimes heavy rains can be expected along these bands. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 50 up to 150 mm can be expected along the disturbance's rain bands...with isolated accumulations of up to 200 mm near the center. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary.

[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Time/Date: 6:00 PM PST Mon June 22 2009
Location of Center: 10.9º N Lat 129.9º E Lon
Distance 1: 495 km (267 nm) ESE of Borongan, E.Samar
Distance 2: 535 km (290 nm) ESE of Tacloban City
Distance 3: 680 km (367 nm) SE of Virac, Catanduanes
Distance 4: 715 km (385 nm) ESE of Legazpi City
Distance 5: 760 km (410 nm) SE of Iriga City
Distance 6: 735 km (397 nm) SE of Gota Beach
Distance 7: 785 km (424 nm) SE of Metro Naga/CWC
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 40 kph (20 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 55 kph (30 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Tropical Disturbance
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0-0 feet [0-0.0 m]
Central Pressure: 1005 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: WNW @ 37 kph (20 kts)
General Direction: Samar & Bicol Region
Size (in Diameter): --- km (--- nm) / N/A
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 6 ft (1.8 m)
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.):

> 2 PM (06 GMT) 22 JUNE: 10.5N 131.2E / --- @ --- kph / --- kph [Within PAR]

:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website at:
http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcupdate.shtml

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RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:

> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER

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NOTES:

^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.

* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals, # 4 being the highest. For more explanations on these
      signals, visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near its center.
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>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com

> http://www.typhoon2000.ph

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