Bushman's Typhoon Blog: Tropical Disturbance 92W (LPA)

for Monday, 22 June 2009 [12:35 PM PST]

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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Mon June 22 2009):

Now issuing 6-hrly advisories on Tropical Disturbance 92W (LPA) as it heads towards Samar-Bicol Area.

92W (LPA) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 30 km/hr
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 30 km/hr

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 92W (LPA)
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 001
As of 12:00 PM PST (04:00 GMT) Mon 22 June 2009
Source: JTWC/NOAA SATELLITE ANALYSIS / T2K XTRAPOLATION

The Tropical Disturbance tagged as 92W (LPA) has started to consolidate during the past 12 hours and is now likely to become a significant Tropical Cyclone within the next 24 to 36 hours. If it does intensify, it will be named by PAGASA as FERIA.

*Residents and visitors along Eastern Visayas and Bicol Region should closely monitor the progress of 92W.

*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.

+ Forecast Outlook: Early forecast from various computer models shows 92W passing across the Bicol Region on Wednesday or Early Thursday (June 24-25). More forecast information will be posted once fresh data arrives.

+ Effects: 92W's circulation continues to develop with its outer rain bands expected to reach Samar late tonight and then over Bicol Region tomorrow. Winds of up to 35 kph with light to moderate to sometimes heavy rains can be expected along these bands. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 50 up to 150 mm can be expected along the disturbance's rain bands...with isolated accumulations of up to 200 mm near the center. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary.

[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Time/Date: 12:00 PM PST Mon June 22 2009
Location of Center: 10.0º N Lat 131.8º E Lon
Distance 1: 690 km (373 nm) East of Surigao City
Distance 2: 725 km (392 nm) ESE of Borongan, E.Samar
Distance 3: 760 km (410 nm) ESE of Tacloban City
Distance 4: 915 km (495 nm) SE of Virac, Catanduanes
Distance 5: 955 km (515 nm) SE of Legazpi City
Distance 6: 970 km (525 nm) SE of Gota Beach
Distance 7: 1,020 km (550 nm) SE of Metro Naga/CWC
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 30 kph (15 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 45 kph (25 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Tropical Disturbance
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0-0 feet [0-0.0 m]
Central Pressure: 1006 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: WNW @ 20 kph (11 kts)
General Direction: Samar & Bicol Region
Size (in Diameter): --- km (--- nm) / N/A
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 6 ft (1.8 m)
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time

RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:

> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER

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NOTES:

^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.

* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals, # 4 being the highest. For more explanations on these
      signals, visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near its center.
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>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com

> http://www.typhoon2000.ph

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