Sunday, June 21, 2009

TS LINFA (03W) - Update #013




for Sunday, 21 June 2009 [7:06 PM PST]

click to get RSS data
LINFA (03W) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 100 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 95 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 95 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 85 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 85 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 85 km/hr

TROPICAL STORM LINFA (03W/0903)
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 013
As of 6:00 PM PST (10:00 GMT) Sun 21 June 2009
Source: JTWC WARNING #017 (US Navy/Air Force) / T2K XTRAPOLATION
  • LINFA (03W) downgraded into a Tropical Storm...now off the coast of Fujian Province, very near the City of Xiamen...Strong winds & rains lashing the area.

    *Residents and visitors along Southeastern China and Western Taiwan should closely monitor the progress of LINFA.

    *Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.


    + Forecast Outlook: LINFA is expected to turn NNE to NE within the next 12-24 hours. Its weakening core shall continue to pass over the coastline of Fujian province tonight. The 5-day Long-Range Forecast shows LINFA weakening further and shall accelerate ENE across the southern portion of the East China Sea on Monday afternoon, June 22, before zooming across the NW Pacific passing very close to the south of Kyushu, Shikoku and Honshu in Japan on Tuesday & Wednesday (June 23-24). LINFA is expected to become Extratropical on Wednesday afternoon (June 24).

    + Effects: LINFA's core remains along the coast of Fujian Province. Its inner (rain) bands continues to spread across Taiwan Strait, Eastern Guangdong, & Fujian Province. Increasing winds of up to 95 kph with light to moderate to sometimes heavy rains can be expected. Meanwhile, its Outer bands remains across Western Taiwan..where light to moderate rains with winds & squalls plus thunderstorms shall prevail. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 50 up to 150 mm can be expected along the storm's rain bands...with isolated accumulations of up to 200 mm near the center of LINFA.

    + Tropical Cyclone Watch:

    (1) Tropical Disturbance 92W (LPA)  remains disorganized as it continues to drift across Micronesia...located near lat 10.4N lon 138.5E...or about 110 km NNE of Yap Island...with 1-min maximum sustained winds of 25 kph...currently moving NW slowly.

    This system will be closely monitored for possible development into significant Tropical Cyclone within the next few days.

    [Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!] 
    Time/Date: 6:00 PM PST Sun June 21 2009
    Location of Center: 24.4º N Lat 118.3º E Lon
    Distance 1: 25 km (13 nm) SE of Xiamen, China
    Distance 2: 195 km (105 nm) ENE of Shantou, China
    Distance 3: 215 km (115 nm) SW of Fuzhou, China
    Distance 4: 285 km (153 nm) NW of Kaohsiung, Taiwan
    Distance 5: 340 km (185 nm) WSW of Taipei, Taiwan
    MaxWinds (1-min avg):
    100 kph (55 kts) near the center
    Peak Wind Gusts: 130 kph (70 kts)
    Saffir-Simpson Scale: Tropical Storm
    Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0-3 feet [0-0.9 m]
    Central Pressure: 982 millibars (hPa)
    Recent Movement: North @ 11 kph (06 kts)
    General Direction: Fujian Coastline
    Size (in Diameter): 480 km (260 nm) / Average
    Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 22 ft (6.7 m)
    Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 PM PST Sun June 21
    JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap:
    06Z Sun June 21
    Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 2 PM Sun June 21
    TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 72 hrs lead
    Zoomed Satellite Pic:
    Near Real-Time
    Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop

    12, 24, 48 & 72 HR. FORECAST:
    2 AM (18 GMT) 22 JUNE: 25.7N 120.1E / 85-100 KPH / NE @ 31 KPH
  • 2 PM (06 GMT) 22 JUNE: 27.8N 123.1E / 75-95 KPH / ENE @ 35 KPH
    2 PM (06 GMT) 23 JUNE: 30.7N 131.9E / 65-85 KPH / ENE @ 44 KPH
    2 PM (06 GMT) 24 JUNE: 33.9N 142.7E / 55-75 KPH / ... @ .. KPH

    REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) 21 JUNE POSITION: 23.8N 118.6E.
    ^TYPHOON (TY) 03W (LINFA) HAS MAINTAINED TYPHOON INTENSITY
    OVER THE PAST 18 HOURS. THE SMALL RAGGED EYE THAT WAS APPARENT
    EARLIER HAS SINCE FILLED AND THE CONVECTION ON THE NORTHERN HALF OF
    THE SYSTEM HAS BEGUN TO DETRERIORATE AS UPPER LEVEL SHEAR INCREASED
    TO 30 KNOTS. MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE DEEP
    CONVECTION HAS REDUCED TO THE EAST THROUGH SOUTH QUADRANTS OF THE
    SYSTEM. ADDITIONALLY, THE TYPHOON HAS CLOSED IN ON THE UPPER LEVEL
    LOW TO THE NORTH, INHIBITING POLEWARD OUTFLOW. THE CURRENT INTENSITY
    IS BASED ON DVORAK ESTIMATES FROM PGTW, KNES, AND RJTD. THE CURRENT
    POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY AND A RADAR LOOP
    FROM RCCG WITH A HIGH DEGREE OF CONFIDENCE
    ...(
    more)

    >> LINFA, meaning: LotusName contributed by: Macau.

    ___________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

    PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.):
     
    > 2 PM (06 GMT) 21 JUNE: N/A

    :: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website at: 
       
    http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcupdate.shtml
    ___________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

    RECENT WUNDERGROUND TRACKING CHART:


    _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

     
    RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


    > Image source:  NOAA SATELLITE CENTER 
    ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

    RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION
    :


    > Image source:  Wunderground.com (http://www.wunderground.com/)
    ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

    NOTES:
     
      ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.
     
      * - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals, # 4 being the highest. For more explanations on these 
          signals, visit:
    http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

     ** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near its center.
    __________________________________________________________________________________________

    >> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

       
    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
       
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
        http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
        http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
        http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
    __________________________________________________________________________________________

    For the complete details on TS LINFA (03W)...go visit our website @:

    >
    http://www.typhoon2000.com
    http://www.maybagyo.com

    :: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at: 
       
    http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm


    Copyright © 2009 Typhoon2000.com All Rights Reserved

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