Sunday, August 02, 2009

TD 93W (JOLINA) exits RP...heads for Southern China... [Update #005]

 


for Sunday, 02 August 2009 [11:27 AM PST]

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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Sun August 02 2009):

Just ended the 6-hrly SMS Storm Updates on JOLINA. Still issuing 6-hrly advisories (except 12:00 AM) on Tropical Depression 93W (JOLINA).


93W (JOLINA) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 45 km/hr

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 93W [JOLINA]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 005

12:00 PM PST (06:00 GMT) Sun 02 August 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JMA & JTWC SATFIX
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)

  • Tropical Depression 93W (JOLINA) accelerating rapidly towards the west...exits the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR)...threatens Southern China.

    *Residents and visitors along Southern China should closely monitor the progress of 93W.

    *Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.


    + Forecast Outlook: 93W is expected to continue moving West to WNW across the South China Sea and shall strike Southern China either tomorrow or Tuesday, depending on its forward speed of movement.

    + Effects: 93W's broad circulation remains over the South China Sea. Rainfall accumulations of up to 200-300 mm can be expected within its circulation.

    + Current SW Monsoon Intensity: STRONG >> Moderate to strong southwesterly winds not in excess of 65 kph with occasional showers or rains, and passing squalls can be expected along the following affected areas: VISAYAS, PALAWAN, MINDORO, METRO MANILA, SOUTHERN & WESTERN LUZON, AND PARTS OF BICOL REGION. Possible landslides, mudslides, mudflows (lahars) and life-threatening flash floods are likely to occur along steep mountain/volcanic slopes, river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of the affected areas.

    + Tropical Cyclone Watch:

    (1) New Tropical Disturbance 98W (LPA) has been spotted forming off the Philippine Sea...currently located near lat 19.0N lon 131.0E...or about 955 km ESE of Basco, Batanes...with 1-min maximum sustained winds of 30 kph...almost stationary while embedded within the active and broad Monsoon Trough (ITCZ).

    This system will be closely monitored for possible development into a Significant Tropical Cyclone within the next 06 to 24 hours.

    [Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!] 
    Time/Date: 12:00 PM PST Sun August 02 2009
    Location of Center: 17.6º N Lat 116.7º E Lon
    Distance 1: 390 km (210 nm) West of Vigan City
    Distance 2: 420 km (227 nm) WSW of Laoag City
    Distance 3: 575 km (310 nm) SSE of Hong Kong
    Distance 4: 680 km (367 nm) ESE of Hainan Island
    MaxWinds (1-min avg):
    55 kph (30 kts) near the center
    Peak Wind Gusts: 75 kph (40 kts)
    Saffir-Simpson Scale: Tropical Depression
    Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0 feet [0 m]
    Central Pressure: 994 millibars (hPa)
    Recent Movement: West @ 37 kph (20 kts)
    General Direction: Southern China
    Size (in Diameter): 600 km (325 nm) / Average
    Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 12 ft (3.6 m)
    T2K Final TrackMap (for Public): 12 PM PST Sun Aug 02
    JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap:
    00Z Sun Aug 02
    Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time

    PHILIPPINE STORM WARNING SIGNAL # ONE (1) click to know meaning
    Now lowered: ILOCOS NORTE, ILOCOS SUR, ABRA, LA UNION & PANGASINAN.

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    RECENT T2K TRACKING CHART
    :


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    RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


    > Image source:  NOAA SATELLITE CENTER 
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    NOTE:
     
      ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.
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    >> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

       
    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
       
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
        http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
        http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
        http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
    __________________________________________________________________________________________

    For the complete details on TD 93W (JOLINA)...go visit our website @:

    >
    http://www.typhoon2000.com
    http://www.maybagyo.com

    :: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at: 
       
    http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm


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