Bushman's Typhoon Blog: TS GONI (JOLINA) dissipating over Southern China... [Update #013]

for Wednesday, 05 August 2009 [1:14 PM PST]

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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Tue August 04 2009):

Currently issuing 6-hrly advisories (except 12:00 AM) on Tropical Storm GONI (JOLINA).

GONI (JOLINA) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 85 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 45 km/hr

TROPICAL STORM GONI [JOLINA/08W/0907]
T2K EMAIL ADVISORY NUMBER 013
12:00 PM PST (04:00 GMT) Wed 05 August 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC SATFIX
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)

Tropical Storm GONI (JOLINA) drifting overland across Western Guangdong as it starts to dissipate rapidly. Winds and rains will continue across Southern China.

*Residents and visitors along Southern China should closely monitor the progress of GONI (JOLINA).

*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.

+ Forecast Outlook: GONI is expected to continue moving WNW-ward across Western Guangdong today and shall completely dissipate tomorrow morning.

+ Effects: GONI's circulation (445 km across) continues to affect most of Southern China including Hainan Island. Rainfall accumulations of up to 200-300 mm can be expected along its rain bands particularly along Western Guangdong, Leizhou Peninsula and Hainan Island. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary. Possible coastal Storm Surge flooding of up to 3 feet above normal tide levels...accompanied by large and dangerous battering waves...is possible along the coastal areas of Western Guangdong. Very minimal damage is likely on this type of storm surge. Danger from Rip Currents or Rip Tides can be expected along the beach-front areas of SW China and Hainan Island, including the monsoon affected areas.

[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Time/Date: 12:00 PM PST Wed August 05 2009
Location of Center: 21.9º N Lat 112.4º E Lon
Distance 1: 120 km (65 nm) WSW of Macau
Distance 2: 190 km (102 nm) WSW of Hong Kong
Distance 3: 215 km (115 nm) ENE of Zhanjiang, China
Distance 4: 1,010 km (545 nm) WNW of Basco, Batanes
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 65 kph (35 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 85 kph (45 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Tropical Storm
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0-3 feet [0-0.9 m]
Central Pressure: 996 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: West @ 07 kph (04 kts)
General Direction: Western Guangdong
Size (in Diameter): 445 km (240 nm) / Average
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 12 ft (3.6 m)
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 8 AM PST Wed Aug 05
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 00Z Wed Aug 05
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 11 AM Wed Aug 05
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 24 hrs lead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop

JTWC 12 & 24 HR. FORECAST:

8 PM (12 GMT) 05 AUGUST: 22.1N 111.7E / 45-65 KPH / W @ 11 KPH

8 AM (00 GMT) 06 AUGUST: 22.3N 110.4E / 35-55 KPH / ......... @ .... KPH

REMARKS: 8 AM (00 GMT) 05 AUGUST POSITION: 21.9N 112.5E.
^ANIMATED RADAR IMAGERY INDICATES THAT TD 08W HAS MOVED
OVER LAND IN THE LAST 3 HOURS AND WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY
TRACK INLAND OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. LIMITED COASTAL OB-
SERVATIONS SUPPORT THE CURRENT INTENSITY OF 25 KNOTS.
MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES THE TRACK WILL REMAIN OVER LAND
AND WILL DISSIPATE IN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. THIS IS THE FINAL
WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING
CENTER (NAVMARFCSTCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY
MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION....(more)

>> GONI, meaning: Swan. Name contributed by: Republic of Korea.

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RECENT WUNDERGROUND.COM TRACKING CHART:

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RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:

> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER

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NOTE:

^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.

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>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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For the complete details on TS GONI (JOLINA)...go visit our website @:

> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com

> http://www.typhoon2000.ph

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