for Wednesday, 16 September 2009 [11:55 AM PST]
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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Sun September 13 2009):
Currently issuing 6-hrly advisories (except 12:00 AM) on STY CHOI-WAN (15W).
CHOI-WAN (15W) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 260 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 230 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 195 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 195 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 185 km/hr
SUPER TYPHOON CHOI-WAN [15W/0914]
T2K E-MAIL ADVISORY NUMBER 012
12:00 PM PST (04:00 GMT) Wed 16 September 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #017
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
Super Typhoon CHOI-WAN (15W) maintained its Category 5 status as it continues moving farther away from the Marianas.
*Residents and visitors along the Iwo To and Chichi Jima Islands should closely monitor the progress of CHOI-WAN.
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
+ Forecast Outlook: CHOI-WAN is expected to begin turning to the NW within the next 12 to 24 hours and may reach its peak wind speed of 270 kph before starting to lose strength. The 2 to 5-day Long-Range Forecast shows the howler recurving Northward to NNE-ward, passing about 110 km to the west of Iwo To on early Friday morning Sep 18 and about 170 km to the west of Chichi Jima on late Friday afternoon. CHOI-WAN shall continue to weaken as it accelerate further to the NE across a slightly cooler Northwestern Pacific Ocean.
+ Effects: CHOI-WAN's dangerous main core (eye & eyewall) remains over warm open seas...its inner bands no longer affecting Agrihan and Alamagan Islands...Outer bands still hovering across the rest of Northern Marianas - bringing rains and winds not in excess of 60 kph. Typhoon conditions w/ winds of more than 200 kph can be felt along the path of CHOI-WAN. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 50 up to 250 mm can be expected along CHOI-WAN's rainbands...with isolated accumulations of up to 400 mm near the center of CHOI-WAN or along its Eyewall. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary. Possible coastal Storm Surge flooding of more than 18 feet above normal tide levels...accompanied by large and dangerous battering waves...is possible along the coastal areas of Northern Marianas. Catastrophic damage is likely on this type of storm surge.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Time/Date: 12:00 PM PST Wed September 16 2009
Location of Eye: 18.9º N Lat 142.9º E Lon
Distance 1: 510 km (275 nm) NNW of Saipan, CNMI
Distance 2: 675 km (365 nm) SSE of Iwo To
Distance 3: 830 km (450 nm) East of P.A.R.
Distance 4: 865 km (468 nm) SE of Chichi Jima
Distance 5: 2,195 km (1,185 nm) ESE of Batanes, PH
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 260 kph (140 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 315 kph (170 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Category 5
Coastal Storm Surge Height: >18 feet [>5.5 m]
Central Pressure: 918 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: WNW @ 17 kph (09 kts)
General Direction: Iwo To-Chichi Jima Islands
Size (in Diameter): 1,155 km (625 nm) / Very Large
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 39 ft (11.8 m)
NWS-Guam TrackMap (for Public): 1 PM PST Wed Sep 16
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 00Z Wed Sep 16
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 8 AM Wed Sep 16
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 5-days Ahead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
JTWC 12, 24, 48 & 72 HR. FORECAST & REMARKS:
8 PM (12 GMT) 16 SEPTEMBER: 19.4N 142.0E / 270-325 KPH (Typhoon-Cat 5) / NW @ 19 KPH
<<<Typhoon2000.
Get the latest SMS Storm Alerts!
For more details: Text T2K HELP to
2800 (Globe/TM) | 216 (Smart/TNT) | 2288 (Sun)
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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Sun September 13 2009):
Currently issuing 6-hrly advisories (except 12:00 AM) on STY CHOI-WAN (15W).
CHOI-WAN (15W) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 260 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 230 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 195 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 195 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 185 km/hr
SUPER TYPHOON CHOI-WAN [15W/0914]
T2K E-MAIL ADVISORY NUMBER 012
12:00 PM PST (04:00 GMT) Wed 16 September 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #017
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
*Residents and visitors along the Iwo To and Chichi Jima Islands should closely monitor the progress of CHOI-WAN.
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
+ Forecast Outlook: CHOI-WAN is expected to begin turning to the NW within the next 12 to 24 hours and may reach its peak wind speed of 270 kph before starting to lose strength. The 2 to 5-day Long-Range Forecast shows the howler recurving Northward to NNE-ward, passing about 110 km to the west of Iwo To on early Friday morning Sep 18 and about 170 km to the west of Chichi Jima on late Friday afternoon. CHOI-WAN shall continue to weaken as it accelerate further to the NE across a slightly cooler Northwestern Pacific Ocean.
+ Effects: CHOI-WAN's dangerous main core (eye & eyewall) remains over warm open seas...its inner bands no longer affecting Agrihan and Alamagan Islands...Outer bands still hovering across the rest of Northern Marianas - bringing rains and winds not in excess of 60 kph. Typhoon conditions w/ winds of more than 200 kph can be felt along the path of CHOI-WAN. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 50 up to 250 mm can be expected along CHOI-WAN's rainbands...
Time/Date: 12:00 PM PST Wed September 16 2009
Location of Eye: 18.9º N Lat 142.9º E Lon
Distance 1: 510 km (275 nm) NNW of Saipan, CNMI
Distance 2: 675 km (365 nm) SSE of Iwo To
Distance 3: 830 km (450 nm) East of P.A.R.
Distance 4: 865 km (468 nm) SE of Chichi Jima
Distance 5: 2,195 km (1,185 nm) ESE of Batanes, PH
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 260 kph (140 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 315 kph (170 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Category 5
Coastal Storm Surge Height: >18 feet [>5.5 m]
Central Pressure: 918 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: WNW @ 17 kph (09 kts)
General Direction: Iwo To-Chichi Jima Islands
Size (in Diameter): 1,155 km (625 nm) / Very Large
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 39 ft (11.8 m)
NWS-Guam TrackMap (for Public): 1 PM PST Wed Sep 16
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 00Z Wed Sep 16
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 8 AM Wed Sep 16
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 5-days Ahead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
8 PM (12 GMT) 16 SEPTEMBER: 19.4N 142.0E / 270-325 KPH (Typhoon-Cat 5) / NW @ 19 KPH
8 AM (00 GMT) 17 SEPTEMBER: 21.0N 140.6E / 270-325 KPH (Typhoon-Cat 5) / NNW @ 22 KPH
8 AM (00 GMT) 18 SEPTEMBER: 25.7N 140.4E / 250-305 KPH (Typhoon-Cat 5) / NNE @ 30 KPH
8 AM (00 GMT) 19 SEPTEMBER: 31.5N 143.0E / 215-260 KPH (Typhoon-Cat 4) / NE @ 37 KPH
8 AM (00 GMT) 18 SEPTEMBER: 25.7N 140.4E / 250-305 KPH (Typhoon-Cat 5) / NNE @ 30 KPH
8 AM (00 GMT) 19 SEPTEMBER: 31.5N 143.0E / 215-260 KPH (Typhoon-Cat 4) / NE @ 37 KPH
REMARKS: 8 AM (00 GMT) 16 SEPTEMBER POSITION: 18.6N 143.4E.
^RECENT SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN IMPRESSIVE SYSTEM WITH DEEP CONVECTIVE
BANDING WRAPPING INTO A CENTER WITH A WELL DEFINED EYE. INTENSITY IS
BASED ON ESTIMATES FROM PGTW, KNES AND RJTD. STY 15W HAS TRACKED
ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE
(STR) THAT EXTENDS FROM NORTHEAST OF STY 15W INTO THE VICINITY OF
IWO TO. TRACK SPEEDS HAVE REMAINED FAIRLY CONSISTENT OVER THE PAST
12 HOURS, RANGING FROM 08 TO 10 KNOTS. AN TROPICAL UPPER
TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH (TUTT) TO THE NORTHEAST HAS CONTINUED TO PROVIDE
GOOD EASTWARD OUTFLOW, IN ADDITION TO AN UPPER LEVEL POINT SOURCE
ANTICYCLONE OVER STY 15W THAT HAS BEEN PROVIDING STRONG RADIAL
OUTFLOW OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE MULTIPLE OUTFLOW MECHANISMS IN
CONCERT WITH HIGH VALUES OF OCEAN HEAT CONTENT (OHC) AND SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES (SST) HAVE ALLOWED FOR STY 15W TO INTENSIFY FURTHER
OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS...(more)
>> CHOI-WAN, meaning: Colorful Cloud. Name contributed by: Hong Kong, China.
____________
RECENT WUNDERGROUND.
________________________
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER
RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION:
> Image source: Wunderground.com (http://www.wunderground.com/ ) ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION:
> Image source: Wunderground.
NOTE:
^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.
__________________________________________________________________________________________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on STY CHOI-WAN (15W)...go visit our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.
http://www.nhc.
http://www.srh.
http://www.srh.
http://www.nhc.
____________
> http://www.typhoon2
> http://www.maybagyo
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