for Wednesday, 16 September 2009 [7:14 AM PST]
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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Sun September 13 2009):
Currently issuing 6-hrly advisories (except 12:00 AM) on STY CHOI-WAN (15W).
CHOI-WAN (15W) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 260 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 230 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 195 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 195 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 185 km/hr
SUPER TYPHOON CHOI-WAN [15W/0914]
T2K E-MAIL ADVISORY NUMBER 011
6:00 AM PST (22:00 GMT) Wed 16 September 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #016
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
Extremely Catastrophic Super Typhoon CHOI-WAN (15W) reaches Category 5 strength w/ winds of 260 kph...continues to move away from the Marianas.
*Residents and visitors along the Iwo To and Chichi Jima Islands should closely monitor the progress of CHOI-WAN.
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
+ Forecast Outlook: CHOI-WAN is expected to continue moving on NW for the next 12 to 24 hours and still intensify, reaching Category 5 strength of 270 kph this afternoon. The 2 to 5-day Long-Range Forecast shows the howler recurving northward to NNE-ward w/ its wind intensity starting to weaken. CHOI-WAN shall pass about 120 km to the west of Iwo To on early Friday morning Sep 18 and about 165 km to the west of Chichi Jima on Friday afternoon. This strong tropical cyclone shall continue to decay as it accelerate further NE across the cooler part of the Northwestern Pacific Ocean.
+ Effects: CHOI-WAN's dangerous main core (eye & eyewall) is now over open waters...with its inner rainbands moving away from Agrihan and Alamagan Islands. Moderate to heavy rains with winds of more than 100 kph w/ passing heavy squalls can be expected within the inner bands. Typhoon conditions w/ winds of more than 200 kph can be felt along the path of CHOI-WAN. The outer rainbands of this typhoon will continue to affect the western and northwestern part of Northern Marianas. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 50 up to 250 mm can be expected along CHOI-WAN's rainbands...with isolated accumulations of up to 400 mm near the center of CHOI-WAN or along its Eyewall. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary. Possible coastal Storm Surge flooding of more than 18 feet above normal tide levels...accompanied by large and dangerous battering waves...is possible along the coastal areas of Northern Marianas. Catastrophic damage is likely on this type of storm surge.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Time/Date: 6:00 AM PST Wed September 16 2009
Location of Eye: 18.5º N Lat 143.7º E Lon
Distance 1: 420 km (227 nm) NNW of Saipan, CNMI
Distance 2: 580 km (315 nm) NNW of Guam, CNMI
Distance 3: 745 km (402 nm) SSE of Iwo To
Distance 4: 915 km (495 nm) East of P.A.R.
Distance 5: 2,295 km (1,240 nm) ESE of Batanes, PH
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 260 kph (140 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 315 kph (170 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Category 5
Coastal Storm Surge Height: >18 feet [>5.5 m]
Central Pressure: 918 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: WNW @ 15 kph (08 kts)
General Direction: Iwo To-Chichi Jima Islands
Size (in Diameter): 1,150 km (620 nm) / Very Large
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 35 ft (10.6 m)
NWS-Guam TrackMap (for Public): 7 AM PST Wed Sep 16
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 18Z Tue Sep 15
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 2 AM Wed Sep 16
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 5-days Ahead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
JTWC 12, 24, 48 & 72 HR. FORECAST & REMARKS:
2 PM (06 GMT) 16 SEPTEMBER: 19.4N 142.8E / 270-325 KPH (Typhoon-Cat 5) / NW @ 19 KPH
<<<Typhoon2000.
Get the latest SMS Storm Alerts!
For more details: Text T2K HELP to
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powered by: Synermaxx
Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Sun September 13 2009):
Currently issuing 6-hrly advisories (except 12:00 AM) on STY CHOI-WAN (15W).
CHOI-WAN (15W) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 260 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 230 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 195 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 195 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 185 km/hr
SUPER TYPHOON CHOI-WAN [15W/0914]
T2K E-MAIL ADVISORY NUMBER 011
6:00 AM PST (22:00 GMT) Wed 16 September 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #016
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
*Residents and visitors along the Iwo To and Chichi Jima Islands should closely monitor the progress of CHOI-WAN.
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
+ Forecast Outlook: CHOI-WAN is expected to continue moving on NW for the next 12 to 24 hours and still intensify, reaching Category 5 strength of 270 kph this afternoon. The 2 to 5-day Long-Range Forecast shows the howler recurving northward to NNE-ward w/ its wind intensity starting to weaken. CHOI-WAN shall pass about 120 km to the west of Iwo To on early Friday morning Sep 18 and about 165 km to the west of Chichi Jima on Friday afternoon. This strong tropical cyclone shall continue to decay as it accelerate further NE across the cooler part of the Northwestern Pacific Ocean.
+ Effects: CHOI-WAN's dangerous main core (eye & eyewall) is now over open waters...with its inner rainbands moving away from Agrihan and Alamagan Islands. Moderate to heavy rains with winds of more than 100 kph w/ passing heavy squalls can be expected within the inner bands. Typhoon conditions w/ winds of more than 200 kph can be felt along the path of CHOI-WAN. The outer rainbands of this typhoon will continue to affect the western and northwestern part of Northern Marianas. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 50 up to 250 mm can be expected along CHOI-WAN's rainbands...
Time/Date: 6:00 AM PST Wed September 16 2009
Location of Eye: 18.5º N Lat 143.7º E Lon
Distance 1: 420 km (227 nm) NNW of Saipan, CNMI
Distance 2: 580 km (315 nm) NNW of Guam, CNMI
Distance 3: 745 km (402 nm) SSE of Iwo To
Distance 4: 915 km (495 nm) East of P.A.R.
Distance 5: 2,295 km (1,240 nm) ESE of Batanes, PH
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 260 kph (140 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 315 kph (170 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Category 5
Coastal Storm Surge Height: >18 feet [>5.5 m]
Central Pressure: 918 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: WNW @ 15 kph (08 kts)
General Direction: Iwo To-Chichi Jima Islands
Size (in Diameter): 1,150 km (620 nm) / Very Large
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 35 ft (10.6 m)
NWS-Guam TrackMap (for Public): 7 AM PST Wed Sep 16
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 18Z Tue Sep 15
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 2 AM Wed Sep 16
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 5-days Ahead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
2 PM (06 GMT) 16 SEPTEMBER: 19.4N 142.8E / 270-325 KPH (Typhoon-Cat 5) / NW @ 19 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 17 SEPTEMBER: 20.9N 141.4E / 270-325 KPH (Typhoon-Cat 5) / NNW @ 19 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 18 SEPTEMBER: 24.6N 140.1E / 260-315 KPH (Typhoon-Cat 5) / NNE @ 24 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 19 SEPTEMBER: 29.6N 141.5E / 220-270 KPH (Typhoon-Cat 4) / NE @ 30 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 18 SEPTEMBER: 24.6N 140.1E / 260-315 KPH (Typhoon-Cat 5) / NNE @ 24 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 19 SEPTEMBER: 29.6N 141.5E / 220-270 KPH (Typhoon-Cat 4) / NE @ 30 KPH
REMARKS: 2 AM (18 GMT) 16 SEPTEMBER POSITION: 18.2N 144.2E.
^RECENT ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS AN IMPRESSIVE, WELL ORGANIZED
SYSTEM WITH MULTIPLE DEEP CONVECTIVE BANDS WRAPPING AROUND A DEFINED
EYE. A 151602Z AQUA IMAGE SHOWS A DEEP CONVECTIVE EYE-WALL WITH
BANDING EXTENDING RADIALLY FROM THE CENTER. THE SYSTEM REMAINS IN A
VERY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH HIGH OCEAN HEAT CONTENT, LOW
VERTICAL WINDSHEAR, AND DUAL OUTFLOW CHANNELS INTO A TROPICAL UPPER
TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH TO THE EAST AND EQUATORWARD. THE SYSTEM
CONTINUES TO TRACK WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY
OF THE LOW- TO MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) TO THE NORTH. STY
15W WILL START TO RECURVE AROUND THE WESTERN EXTENT OF THE STR
AROUND TAU 48 AND WILL START TO ACCELERATE TO THE NORTHEAST IN THE
GRADIENT FLOW BETWEEN THE STR AND AN APPROACHING MID-LATITUDE
TROUGH. ALONG TRACK SPEED AFTER TAU 72 HAS BEEN INCREASED SINCE THE
LAST FORECAST...(more)
>> CHOI-WAN, meaning: Colorful Cloud. Name contributed by: Hong Kong, China.
____________
RECENT WUNDERGROUND.
________________________
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER
RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION:
> Image source: Wunderground.com (http://www.wunderground.com/ ) ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION:
> Image source: Wunderground.
NOTE:
^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.
__________________________________________________________________________________________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on TY CHOI-WAN (15W)...go visit our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.
http://www.nhc.
http://www.srh.
http://www.srh.
http://www.nhc.
____________
> http://www.typhoon2
> http://www.maybagyo
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