for Tuesday, 29 September 2009 [4:45 AM PST]
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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Mon September 28 2009):
Currently issuing 6-hrly (except 12 AM) advisories on TD 18W (UNNAMED).
18W (UNNAMED) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W [UNNAMED]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 005
6:00 AM PST (22:00 GMT) Tue 29 September 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #007
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
Tropical Depression 18W (UNNAMED) turning WNW..now on its closest approach to Chuuk Island.
*Residents and visitors along the Marianas and Western Micronesia should closely monitor the progress of 18W (UNNAMED).
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
+ Forecast Outlook: 18W is expected to continue tracking WNW and intensify into a Tropical Storm. The 2 to 5-day Long-Range forecast shows the system maintaining its WNW track, passing very close to the south of Guam by early Thursday morning Oct 01. 18W shall enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) on early Saturday morning (Oct 3) across the Northern Philippine Sea on Sunday Oct 04, threatening Okinawa Area. Please be aware that long-range forecast changes every now and then. Continued monitoring on this potential typhoon is a must for disaster preparedness agencies.
+ Effects: 18W's circulation continues to consolidate. This system is not yet affecting any major Western Pacific Islands as of this time.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Time/Date: 6:00 AM PST Tue September 29 2009
Location of Center: 9.8º N Lat 152.6º E Lon
Distance 1: 940 km (507 nm) SE of Guam, CNMI
Distance 2: 960 km (518 nm) SE of Saipan, CNMI
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 55 kph (30 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 75 kph (40 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Tropical Depression
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0 feet [0 m]
Central Pressure: 1000 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: WNW @ 17 kph (09 kts)
General Direction: Southern Marianas
Size (in Diameter): -- km (--- nm) / N/A
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 15 ft (4.5 m)
NWS-Guam TrackMap (for Public): 5 AM PST Tue Sep 29
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 18 GMT Tue Sep 29
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 5-days Ahead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
JTWC (US NAVY/AIR FORCE) 12, 24, 48 & 72 HR. FORECAST & REMARKS:
2 PM (06 GMT) 29 SEPTEMBER: 10.4N 151.4E / 65-85 KPH (TS) / WNW @ 20 KPH
<<<Typhoon2000.
Get the latest SMS Storm Alerts!
For more details: Text T2K HELP to
2800 (Globe/TM) | 216 (Smart/TNT) | 2288 (Sun)
*only P2.50 (Smart/Globe) / P2.00 (Sun) per msg received.
powered by: Synermaxx
Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Mon September 28 2009):
Currently issuing 6-hrly (except 12 AM) advisories on TD 18W (UNNAMED).
18W (UNNAMED) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W [UNNAMED]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 005
6:00 AM PST (22:00 GMT) Tue 29 September 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #007
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
*Residents and visitors along the Marianas and Western Micronesia should closely monitor the progress of 18W (UNNAMED).
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
+ Forecast Outlook: 18W is expected to continue tracking WNW and intensify into a Tropical Storm. The 2 to 5-day Long-Range forecast shows the system maintaining its WNW track, passing very close to the south of Guam by early Thursday morning Oct 01. 18W shall enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) on early Saturday morning (Oct 3) across the Northern Philippine Sea on Sunday Oct 04, threatening Okinawa Area. Please be aware that long-range forecast changes every now and then. Continued monitoring on this potential typhoon is a must for disaster preparedness agencies.
+ Effects: 18W's circulation continues to consolidate. This system is not yet affecting any major Western Pacific Islands as of this time.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Time/Date: 6:00 AM PST Tue September 29 2009
Location of Center: 9.8º N Lat 152.6º E Lon
Distance 1: 940 km (507 nm) SE of Guam, CNMI
Distance 2: 960 km (518 nm) SE of Saipan, CNMI
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 55 kph (30 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 75 kph (40 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Tropical Depression
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0 feet [0 m]
Central Pressure: 1000 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: WNW @ 17 kph (09 kts)
General Direction: Southern Marianas
Size (in Diameter): -- km (--- nm) / N/A
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 15 ft (4.5 m)
NWS-Guam TrackMap (for Public): 5 AM PST Tue Sep 29
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 18 GMT Tue Sep 29
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 5-days Ahead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
2 PM (06 GMT) 29 SEPTEMBER: 10.4N 151.4E / 65-85 KPH (TS) / WNW @ 20 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 30 SEPTEMBER: 11.2N 149.3E / 65-85 KPH (TS) / WNW @ 22 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 01 OCTOBER: 12.8N 144.7E / 85-100 KPH (TS) / WNW @ 22 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 01 OCTOBER: 14.4N 140.1E / 100-130 KPH (TS) / WNW @ 22 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 01 OCTOBER: 12.8N 144.7E / 85-100 KPH (TS) / WNW @ 22 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 01 OCTOBER: 14.4N 140.1E / 100-130 KPH (TS) / WNW @ 22 KPH
REMARKS: 2 AM (18 GMT) 29 SEPTEMBER POSITION: 9.7N 153.2E.
*RECENT ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS A
PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH DEEP
CONVECTION LOCATED JUST TO THE WEST OF THE LLCC. A 281533Z AMSR-E
IMAGE SHOWS CURVED INFLOW THAT IS DEVOID OF CONVECTION WRAPPING INTO
THE LLCC. DEEP CONVECTION IS SEEN JUST TO THE WEST OF THE LLCC WITH
SLIGHT EVIDENCE OF CURVATURE IN THE CONVECTIVE SIGNATURE. UPPER
LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS THE SYSTEM IS JUST SOUTH OF THE UPPER-LEVEL
NEAR-EQUATORIAL RIDGE AXIS UNDER DIFFLUENT EASTERLY FLOW THAT IS
PROVIDING MODERATE WESTWARD VENTING. THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY
STEERING ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE LOW- TO MID-LEVEL
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR). THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH TAU 72, AFTER WHICH IT WILL SEE A SLIGHTLY
MORE NORTHWARD TRACK AS IT MOVES TOWARDS A WEAKNESS IN THE STR.
CURRENT MODEL GUIDANCE IS FAIR THROUGH TAU 72, AFTER WHICH THERE IS
CONCERN THAT INTERACTION WITH TS 19W, STRENGTHENING TO THE WEST,
COULD RESULT IN ACCELERATION OR AN ERRATIC TRACK WITH REGARDS TO
18W...(more)
____________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
RECENT WUNDERGROUND.
________________________
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER
RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION: (EXPERIENCING TECHNICAL PROBLEMS)
> Image source: Wunderground.com (http://www.wunderground.com/ ) ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION: (EXPERIENCING TECHNICAL PROBLEMS)
> Image source: Wunderground.
NOTE:
^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.
__________________________________________________________________________________________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on TD 18W (UNNAMED)...go visit our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.
http://www.nhc.
http://www.srh.
http://www.srh.
http://www.nhc.
____________
>
> http://www.maybagyo
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