Tuesday, September 29, 2009

TD 18W (UNNAMED) - Update #006

 


for Tuesday, 29 September 2009 [1:55 PM PST]

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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Mon September 28 2009):

Currently issuing 6-hrly (except 12 AM) advisories on TD 18W (UNNAMED).


18W (UNNAMED) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W [UNNAMED]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 006

11:00 AM PST (03:00 GMT) Tue 29 September 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #008
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)

  • Tropical Depression 18W (UNNAMED) has accelerated NW-ward while being disorganized.

    *Residents and visitors along the Marianas should closely monitor the progress of 18W (UNNAMED).

    *Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.


    + Forecast Outlook: 18W is expected to remain a weak storm throughout the forecast outlook...this due to TS PARMA (located to the WSW) which is expected to inhibit further development. The 2 to 5-day Long-Range forecast shows the system just reaching minimal tropical storm and passing very close to Guam tomorrow evening. 18W shall enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) on early Friday evening (Oct 2) as a downgraded Depression. Later in the forecast, on Oct 4 - 18W might be absorbed into the circulation of TS PARMA, which is a much stronger system.

    + Effects: 18W's circulation has become obscurred and disorganized. This system may just bring light to moderate rainfall across the Marianas beginning tomorrow.

    [Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
     

    Time/Date: 11:00 AM PST Tue September 29 2009
    Location of Center: 10.8º N Lat 151.3º E Lon
    Distance 1: 765 km (413 nm) ESE of Guam, CNMI
    Distance 2: 770 km (415 nm) SE of Saipan, CNMI
    MaxWinds (1-min avg):
    55 kph (30 kts) near the center
    Peak Wind Gusts: 75 kph (40 kts)
    Saffir-Simpson Scale: Tropical Depression
    Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0 feet [0 m]
    Central Pressure: 1000 millibars (hPa)
    Recent Movement: NW @ 24 kph (13 kts)
    General Direction: Southern Marianas
    Size (in Diameter): -- km (--- nm) / N/A
    Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 15 ft (4.5 m)
    NWS-Guam TrackMap (for Public): 11 AM PST Tue Sep 29
    JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap:
    00 GMT Tue Sep 29
    TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 5-days Ahead
    Zoomed Satellite Pic:
    Near Real-Time
    Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop


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    RECENT WUNDERGROUND.COM TRACKING CHART
    :


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    RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


    > Image source:  NOAA SATELLITE CENTER 
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    RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION:


    > Image source:  Wunderground.com (http://www.wunderground.com/)
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    NOTE:
     
      ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.
    __________________________________________________________________________________________

    >> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

       
    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
       
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
        http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
        http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
        http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
    __________________________________________________________________________________________

    For the complete details on TD 18W (UNNAMED)...go visit our website @:

    >
    http://www.typhoon2000.com
    http://www.maybagyo.com

    :: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at: 
       
    http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm


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