Bushman's Typhoon Blog: TS DUJUAN (LABUYO)

Monday, September 07, 2009

TS DUJUAN (LABUYO) - Update #015

for Monday, 07 September 2009 [2:21 PM PST]

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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Wed September 02 2009):

Currently issuing 6-hrly advisories (except 12:00 AM) on TS DUJUAN (LABUYO).

DUJUAN (LABUYO) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 110 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 95 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 95 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 95 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 95 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 95 km/hr
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 75 km/hr

TROPICAL STORM DUJUAN [LABUYO/03W/0912]
T2K E-MAIL ADVISORY NUMBER 015
12:00 PM PST (04:00 GMT) Mon 07 September 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #015
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)

Tropical Storm DUJUAN (LABUYO) still tracking north threatening the coast of Southern Japan.

*Residents and visitors along Southern Japan should closely monitor the progress of DUJUAN (LABUYO).

*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.

+ Forecast Outlook: DUJUAN is expected accelerate NE to ENE passing to the north of Chichi Jima by tomorrow afternoon. The 2-day Short-Range Forecast shows the system accelerating ENE-ward...becoming an Extratropical Cyclone on Wednesday Sep 09.

+ Effects: DUJUAN's outer rainbands affecting the southern coast of Honshu, Japan. Light to sometimes moderate rains with winds not exceeding 60 kph can be expected along its outer bands.

+ Current SW Monsoon Intensity: MODERATE >> Light to moderate southwesterly winds not in excess of 40 kph with occasional rains or thunderstorms can be expected along the following affected areas: METRO MANILA, SOUTHERN TAGALOG PROVINCES, WESTERN & CENTRAL LUZON, MASBATE, WESTERN VISAYAS, NORTHERN PALAWAN & MINDORO. Possible landslides, mudslides, mudflows (lahars) and life-threatening flash floods are likely to occur along steep mountain/volcanic slopes, river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of the affected areas.

[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Time/Date: 12:00 PM PST Mon September 07 2009
Location of Center: 27.6º N Lat 136.2º E Lon
Distance 1: 490 km (265 nm) WNW of Chichi Jima
Distance 2: 820 km (442 nm) ENE of Okinawa, Japan
Distance 3: 960 km (520 nm) SSW of Tokyo, Japan
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 85 kph (45 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 100 kph (55 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Tropical Storm
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 1-3 feet [0.3-0.9 m]
Central Pressure: 991 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: North @ 11 kph (06 kts)
General Direction: Southern Japan
Size (in Diameter): 850 km (460 nm) / Large
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 22 ft (6.7 m)
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 8 AM PST Mon Sep 07
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 00Z Mon Sep 07
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 8 AM Mon Sep 07
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 48 hrs lead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop

JTWC 12, 24, 48 & 72 HR. FORECAST & REMARKS:

8 PM (12 GMT) 07 SEPTEMBER: 28.4N 137.1E / 65-85 KPH (Tropical Storm) / NE @ 20 KPH

8 AM (18 GMT) 08 SEPTEMBER: 29.8N 139.0E / 65-85 KPH (Tropical Storm) / NE @ 37 KPH
8 AM (18 GMT) 09 SEPTEMBER: 34.2N 148.0E / 85-100 KPH (Extratropical) / -- @ -- KPH

REMARKS: 8 AM (00 GMT) 07 SEPTEMBER POSITION: 27.1N 136.2E.
^A COMPLETE LACK OF DEEP CENTRAL CONVECTION CONTINUES TO LEAVE
A NOW BROADENING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) PARTIALLY
EXPOSED. CURRENTLY THE ONLY DEEP CONVECTION IS LIMITED IN AERIAL
EXTENT, NON-PERSISTENT, AND CONFINED TO THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OF
THE CIRCULATION. AS A RESULT DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES HAVE COME
DOWN TO A 1.5/2.0 FROM PGTW, AND A 2.0/3.0 FROM KNES. A 062052Z
QUIKSCAT IMAGE INDICATES A 35 TO 40 KNOT CIRCULATION, THOUGH NEARLY
ALL OF THE DATA ARE FLAGGED AS RAIN CONTAMINATED...(more)

>> DUJUAN, meaning: Azalea. Name contributed by: China.
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RECENT WUNDERGROUND.COM TRACKING CHART:

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RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:

> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER

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RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION:

> Image source: Wunderground.com (http://www.wunderground.com/)

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NOTE:

^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.

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>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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For the complete details on TS DUJUAN (LABUYO/13W)...go visit our website @:

> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com

> http://www.typhoon2000.ph

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