Tuesday, September 08, 2009

TS DUJUAN (LABUYO) - Update #017

 


for Monday, 07 September 2009 [6:34 PM PST]

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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Wed September 02 2009):

Currently issuing 6-hrly advisories (except 12:00 AM) on TS DUJUAN (LABUYO).


DUJUAN (LABUYO) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 95 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 95 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 95 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 95 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 75 km/hr

TROPICAL STORM DUJUAN [LABUYO/03W/0912]
T2K E-MAIL ADVISORY NUMBER 017

12:00 PM PST (06:00 GMT) Tue 08 September 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #019A
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)

  • Tropical Storm DUJUAN (LABUYO) moving quickly Northeastward across the NW Pacific Ocean.

    *Residents and visitors along the southern coast of Honshu, Japan should closely monitor the progress of DUJUAN (LABUYO).

    *Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.


    + Forecast Outlook: DUJUAN is expected accelerate NE to ENE passing to the north of Chichi Jima this afternoon. The 2-day Short-Range Forecast shows the system accelerating ENE-ward...becoming an Extratropical Cyclone tomorrow.

    + Effects: None.

    + Current SW Monsoon Intensity: STRONG >> Moderate to strong southwesterly winds not in excess of 50 kph with widespread occasional rains or thunderstorms can be expected along the following affected areas: METRO MANILA, SOUTHERN TAGALOG PROVINCES, CENTRAL LUZON, MASBATE, VISAYAS, NORTHERN PALAWAN, BICOL REGION & MINDORO. Possible landslides, mudslides, mudflows (lahars) and life-threatening flash floods are likely to occur along steep mountain/volcanic slopes, river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of the affected areas.

    + Tropical Cyclone Watch:

    (1) Tropical Disturbance 90W (LPA) a new one forming west of Pangasinan or over the South China Sea
    ...currently located near lat 16.5N lon 117.4E...or about 315 km WNW of Dagupan City...with 1-min maximum sustained winds of 30 kph...moving NW slowly.

    [Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!] 
    Time/Date: 12:00 PM PST Tue September 08 2009
    Location of Center: 30.9º N Lat 139.4º E Lon
    Distance 1: 535 km (290 nm) South of Tokyo, Japan
    Distance 2: 530 km (287 nm) SSE of Nagoya, Japan
    MaxWinds (1-min avg):
    85 kph (45 kts) near the center
    Peak Wind Gusts: 100 kph (55 kts)
    Saffir-Simpson Scale: Tropical Storm
    Coastal Storm Surge Height: 1-3 feet [0.3-0.9 m]
    Central Pressure: 992 millibars (hPa)
    Recent Movement: NE @ 20 kph (11 kts)
    General Direction: Southern Japan
    Size (in Diameter): 740 km (400 nm) / Large
    Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 23 ft (7.0 m)
    Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 8 AM PST Tue Sep 08
    JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap:
    00Z Tue Sep 08
    Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 8 AM Tue Sep 08
    TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 36 hrs lead
    Zoomed Satellite Pic:
    Near Real-Time
    Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop

  • JTWC 12, 24, & 36 HR. FORECAST & REMARKS:

    8 PM (12 GMT) 08 SEPTEMBER: 32.3N 142.6E / 75-95 KPH (Tropical Storm) / ENE @ 44 KPH
  • 8 AM (00 GMT) 09 SEPTEMBER: 34.5N 147.8E / 85-100 KPH (Extratropical) / ENE @ 57 KPH
    8 PM (12 GMT) 09 SEPTEMBER: 37.4N 154.3E / 85-100 KPH (Extratropical) / -- @ -- KPH

    REMARKS: 8 AM (00 GMT) 08 SEPTEMBER POSITION: 30.4N 138.6E.
    ^ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY SHOWS THAT DEEP CONVECTION HAS
    REGENERATED OVER THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IN THE LAST
    SIX HOURS. IN ADDITION, A 072204Z 37GHZ SSMIS MICROWAVE IMAGE
    INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM IS STILL WELL ORGANIZED. FINALLY, A
    072026Z AND A 070913Z QUIKSCAT PASS, ESPECIALLY THE HIGHER
    RESOLUTION 12.5 KM SOLUTION, DEPICT UNFLAGGED WINDS IN THE VICINITY
    OF 40 KNOTS, REVEALING THAT TS 13W HAS MAINTAINED A STRONG LLCC OVER
    THE LAST 12 HOURS. AS SUCH, THE 072330Z PGTW DVORAK ESTIMATE HAS
    INCREASED TO T2.5 AND THE 080000Z FORECAST HAS BEEN AMENDED TO
    INCREASE THE SYSTEM'S INTENSITY TO TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH AS IT NOW
    APPEARS THAT THE LLCC HAS HELD TOGETHER DESPITE A RESPITE IN DEEP
    CONVECTION...
    (
    more)

    >> DUJUAN, meaning: AzaleaName contributed by: China.
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    RECENT WUNDERGROUND.COM TRACKING CHART
    :


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    RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


    > Image source:  NOAA SATELLITE CENTER 
    ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

    RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION:


    > Image source:  Wunderground.com (http://www.wunderground.com/)
    ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

    NOTE:
     
      ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.
    __________________________________________________________________________________________

    >> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

       
    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
       
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
        http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
        http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
        http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
    __________________________________________________________________________________________

    For the complete details on TS DUJUAN (LABUYO/13W)...go visit our website @:

    >
    http://www.typhoon2000.com
    http://www.maybagyo.com

    :: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at: 
       
    http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm


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