for Friday, 18 September 2009 [8:59 AM PST]
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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Sun September 13 2009):
Currently issuing 6-hrly advisories (except 12:00 AM) on TY CHOI-WAN (15W).
CHOI-WAN (15W) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 215 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 180 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 170 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 160 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 160 km/hr
TYPHOON CHOI-WAN [15W/0914]
T2K E-MAIL ADVISORY NUMBER 017
6:00 AM PST (22:00 GMT) Fri 18 September 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #024
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
Super Typhoon CHOI-WAN (15W) weakens as it moves NNW...exhibiting Concentric Eyewall.
*Residents and visitors along the Iwo To and Chichi Jima Island Group should closely monitor the progress of CHOI-WAN.
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
+ Forecast Outlook: CHOI-WAN is expected to turn Northward within the next 12 to 24 hours and weaken further. The 2 to 4-day Long-Range Forecast shows the howler moving NNE to NE, passing about 250 km to the west of Iwo To tonight and about 200 km to the west of Chichi Jima tomorrow morning, Sep 19. CHOI-WAN shall maintain its waning phase as it accelerates further to the NNE to NE across cooler seas of the Northwestern Pacific Ocean, just south of Kuril Islands and shall become Extratropical on Tuesday Sep 22.
+ Effects: CHOI-WAN's dangerous main core (eye & eyewall) remains over warm open seas of the NW Pacific...with its outer bands continues to spread across Iwo To...and across Chichi Jima this afternoon. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 50 up to 250 mm can be expected along CHOI-WAN's rainbands...with isolated accumulations of up to 400 mm near the center of CHOI-WAN or along its Eyewall. Possible coastal Storm Surge flooding of 13 to 18 feet above normal tide levels...accompanied by large and dangerous battering waves...is possible along the coastal areas of Iwo To and Chichi Jima Island Group. Extreme damage is likely on this type of storm surge.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Time/Date: 6:00 AM PST Fri September 18 2009
Location of Eye: 23.5º N Lat 138.8º E Lon
Distance 1: 290 km (157 nm) WSW of Iwo To
Distance 2: 385 km (208 nm) East of P.A.R.
Distance 3: 505 km (273 nm) SW of Chichi Jima
Distance 4: 1,760 km (950 nm) ENE of Batanes, PH
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 215 kph (115 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 260 kph (140 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Category 4
Coastal Storm Surge Height: >13-18 feet [4.0-5.5 m]
Central Pressure: 937 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: NNW @ 24 kph (13 kts)
General Direction: Iwo To-Chichi Jima Islands
Size (in Diameter): 1,000 km (540 nm) / Very Large
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 39 ft (11.8 m)
NWS-Guam TrackMap (for Public): 5 AM PST Fri Sep 18
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 18Z Thu Sep 17
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 2 AM Fri Sep 18
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 4-days Ahead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
JTWC 12, 24, 48 & 72 HR. FORECAST & REMARKS:
2 PM (06 GMT) 18 SEPTEMBER: 24.4N 138.7E / 215-260 KPH (Typhoon-Cat 4) / NNE @ 20 KPH
<<<Typhoon2000.
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For more details: Text T2K HELP to
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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Sun September 13 2009):
Currently issuing 6-hrly advisories (except 12:00 AM) on TY CHOI-WAN (15W).
CHOI-WAN (15W) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 215 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 180 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 170 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 160 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 160 km/hr
TYPHOON CHOI-WAN [15W/0914]
T2K E-MAIL ADVISORY NUMBER 017
6:00 AM PST (22:00 GMT) Fri 18 September 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #024
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
*Residents and visitors along the Iwo To and Chichi Jima Island Group should closely monitor the progress of CHOI-WAN.
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
+ Forecast Outlook: CHOI-WAN is expected to turn Northward within the next 12 to 24 hours and weaken further. The 2 to 4-day Long-Range Forecast shows the howler moving NNE to NE, passing about 250 km to the west of Iwo To tonight and about 200 km to the west of Chichi Jima tomorrow morning, Sep 19. CHOI-WAN shall maintain its waning phase as it accelerates further to the NNE to NE across cooler seas of the Northwestern Pacific Ocean, just south of Kuril Islands and shall become Extratropical on Tuesday Sep 22.
+ Effects: CHOI-WAN's dangerous main core (eye & eyewall) remains over warm open seas of the NW Pacific...with its outer bands continues to spread across Iwo To...and across Chichi Jima this afternoon. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 50 up to 250 mm can be expected along CHOI-WAN's rainbands...
Time/Date: 6:00 AM PST Fri September 18 2009
Location of Eye: 23.5º N Lat 138.8º E Lon
Distance 1: 290 km (157 nm) WSW of Iwo To
Distance 2: 385 km (208 nm) East of P.A.R.
Distance 3: 505 km (273 nm) SW of Chichi Jima
Distance 4: 1,760 km (950 nm) ENE of Batanes, PH
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 215 kph (115 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 260 kph (140 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Category 4
Coastal Storm Surge Height: >13-18 feet [4.0-5.5 m]
Central Pressure: 937 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: NNW @ 24 kph (13 kts)
General Direction: Iwo To-Chichi Jima Islands
Size (in Diameter): 1,000 km (540 nm) / Very Large
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 39 ft (11.8 m)
NWS-Guam TrackMap (for Public): 5 AM PST Fri Sep 18
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 18Z Thu Sep 17
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 2 AM Fri Sep 18
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 4-days Ahead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
2 PM (06 GMT) 18 SEPTEMBER: 24.4N 138.7E / 215-260 KPH (Typhoon-Cat 4) / NNE @ 20 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 19 SEPTEMBER: 26.5N 139.4E / 195-240 KPH (Typhoon-Cat 3) / NE @ 28 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 20 SEPTEMBER: 32.2N 144.8E / 160-195 KPH (Typhoon-Cat 2) / NE @ 41 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 21 SEPTEMBER: 37.7N 153.4E / 100-130 KPH (Tropical Storm) / ENE @ 48 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 20 SEPTEMBER: 32.2N 144.8E / 160-195 KPH (Typhoon-Cat 2) / NE @ 41 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 21 SEPTEMBER: 37.7N 153.4E / 100-130 KPH (Tropical Storm) / ENE @ 48 KPH
REMARKS: 2 AM (18 GMT) 18 SEPTEMBER POSITION: 22.5N 139.3E.
^ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW A WELL-
DEFINED EYE WITH MULTIPLE SPIRAL BANDS WRAPPING TIGHTLY INTO THE
CENTER. HOWEVER, THE DEEP CONVECTION IN THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT HAS
FURTHER ERODED, LEADING TO DVORAK ESTIMATES RANGING FROM T5.5 TO
T6.0 FROM PGTW, RJTD AND KNES. TY 15W HAS ALSO MAINTAINED A NORTH-
WESTWARD COURSE UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL STEERING
RIDGE TO THE EAST. THERE IS STILL HIGH CONFIDENCE THAT CHOI-WAN WILL
CREST THE RIDGE AXIS OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND START TO ACCELERATE
INTO THE MID-LATITUDES, WELL EAST OF TOKYO, JAPAN. BY TAU 48 THE
SYSTEM WILL START TO ENGAGE WITH THE BAROCLINIC ZONE AND WILL
COMPLETE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION AFTER TAU 72...(more)
>> CHOI-WAN, meaning: Colorful Cloud. Name contributed by: Hong Kong, China.
____________
RECENT WUNDERGROUND.
________________________
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER
RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION:
> Image source: Wunderground.com (http://www.wunderground.com/ ) ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION:
> Image source: Wunderground.
NOTE:
^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.
__________________________________________________________________________________________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on TY CHOI-WAN (15W)...go visit our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.
http://www.nhc.
http://www.srh.
http://www.srh.
http://www.nhc.
____________
> http://www.typhoon2
> http://www.maybagyo
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