for Monday, 26 October 2009 [2:21 PM PST]
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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Mon October 26 2009):
Starting the 6-hrly web advisories (except 12:00 AM) on this new system, TD 23W.
LUPIT (RAMIL) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 45 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 45 km/hr
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W [UNNAMED]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 001 [INITIAL]
2:00 PM PST (06:00 GMT) Mon 26 October 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #001
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
The strong tropical disturbance (LPA) over Eastern Micronesia has strengthened into Tropical Depression 23W (UNNAMED)...accelerating WNW towards the Marianas...may pose a threat to the Philippines in the coming days.
*Residents and visitors along the Mariana Islands should closely monitor the progress of 23W (UNNAMED).
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
+ Forecast Outlook: 23W is expected to quickly move more to the west within the next 2 days as the High Pressure Steering Ridge north of it strengthens...pushing 23W into the Philippine Sea. It shall attain Tropical Storm status later tonight. The 3 to 5-day Long-Range Forecast shows the system entering the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) on Thursday morning Oct 29, as a Category 1 Typhoon with winds of 140 kph...will be approaching the northern coast of Bicol Region on Saturday, Oct 31 as a Category 3 Typhoon with winds of 185 kph. *Initial Impact Forecast (IIF): The latest ECMWF 7-day extended forecast shows the system crossing Northern Bicol, Southern Tagalog Provinces including Metro Manila on Friday or Saturday (Oct 30-31). Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, so a turn to the left or right of its future track and other conditions must be considered.
+ Effects: 23W's developing circulation continues to consolidate. Its rainbands expected to reach Marianas including Guam later tonight...Gale-force winds w/ rains can be expected.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Time/Date: 2:00 PM PST Mon October 26 2009
Location of Center: 13.2º N Lat 149.9º E Lon
Distance 1: 550 km (297 nm) East of Guam, CNMI
Distance 2: 1,610 km (870 nm) East of P.A.R.
Distance 3: 2,790 km (1,507 nm) East of Bicol Region, PH
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 45 kph (25 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 65 kph (35 kts)
24-hr Rain Amounts (near the center): N/A
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Tropical Depression
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0 feet [0 m]
Minimum Central Pressure: 1002 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: WNW @ 26 kph (14 kts)
Projected Area of Impact: Mariana Islands
Size (in Diameter): --- km (--- nm) / Very Large
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 10 ft (3.0 m)
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 8 AM PST Mon Oct 26
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 8 AM Mon Oct 26
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 5-days Ahead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
JTWC (US NAVY / AIR FORCE) 12, 24, 48 & 72 HR. FORECAST & REMARKS:
8 PM (12 GMT) 26 OCTOBER: 12.9N 148.5E / 65-85 KPH (TS) / WNW @ 24 KPH
<<<Typhoon2000.
Get the latest SMS Storm Alerts!
For more details: Text T2K HELP to
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powered by: Synermaxx
Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Mon October 26 2009):
Starting the 6-hrly web advisories (except 12:00 AM) on this new system, TD 23W.
LUPIT (RAMIL) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 45 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 45 km/hr
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W [UNNAMED]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 001 [INITIAL]
2:00 PM PST (06:00 GMT) Mon 26 October 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #001
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
*Residents and visitors along the Mariana Islands should closely monitor the progress of 23W (UNNAMED).
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
+ Forecast Outlook: 23W is expected to quickly move more to the west within the next 2 days as the High Pressure Steering Ridge north of it strengthens.
Time/Date: 2:00 PM PST Mon October 26 2009
Location of Center: 13.2º N Lat 149.9º E Lon
Distance 1: 550 km (297 nm) East of Guam, CNMI
Distance 2: 1,610 km (870 nm) East of P.A.R.
Distance 3: 2,790 km (1,507 nm) East of Bicol Region, PH
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 45 kph (25 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 65 kph (35 kts)
24-hr Rain Amounts (near the center): N/A
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Tropical Depression
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0 feet [0 m]
Minimum Central Pressure: 1002 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: WNW @ 26 kph (14 kts)
Projected Area of Impact: Mariana Islands
Size (in Diameter): --- km (--- nm) / Very Large
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 10 ft (3.0 m)
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 8 AM PST Mon Oct 26
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 8 AM Mon Oct 26
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 5-days Ahead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
8 PM (12 GMT) 26 OCTOBER: 12.9N 148.5E / 65-85 KPH (TS) / WNW @ 24 KPH
8 AM (00 GMT) 27 OCTOBER: 13.5N 145.8E / 85-100 KPH (TS) / W @ 24 KPH
8 AM (00 GMT) 28 OCTOBER: 14.5N 140.5E / 120-150 KPH (TY-Cat 1) / W @ 24 KPH
8 AM (00 GMT) 29 OCTOBER: 15.1N 135.3E / 140-165 KPH (TY-Cat 1) / W @ 20 KPH
8 AM (00 GMT) 28 OCTOBER: 14.5N 140.5E / 120-150 KPH (TY-Cat 1) / W @ 24 KPH
8 AM (00 GMT) 29 OCTOBER: 15.1N 135.3E / 140-165 KPH (TY-Cat 1) / W @ 20 KPH
REMARKS: 8 AM (00 GMT) MON 26 OCTOBER POSITION: 12.2N 151.3E.
*RECENT ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATES AN INCREASE
IN CONVECTIVE CONSOLIDATION NEAR A DEVELOPING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION
CENTER (LLCC) AND A 251952Z WINDSAT MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICTS MULTIPLE
LOW LEVEL BANDS CONVERGING NEAR THE AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION. UPPER
LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS THAT THE SYSTEM IS IN AN AREA OF MINIMAL
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND HAS GOOD RADIAL OUTFLOW AS IT IS TRACKING
JUST TO THE WEST OF AN UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE. ADDITIONALLY, THE
SYSTEM HAS ACCESS TO POLEWARD OUTFLOW INTO AN ESTABLISHED TROPICAL
UPPER TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH (TUTT) LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 25 DEGREES TO
THE EAST. THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON THE MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY
AND ASSOCIATED PGTW POSITION FIX WHICH IS SIGNIFICANTLY NORTH OF AN
APPARENT LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) DEPICTED IN A 251933Z
QUIKSCAT PASS. THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON INITIAL DVORAK
ESTIMATES FROM PGTW AND KNES OF 25 KNOTS...(more)
>> LUPIT, meaning: Cruel; viciousness. Name contributed by: Philippines.
____________
____________
RECENT WUNDERGROUND.
________________________
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER
RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION:
> Image source: Wunderground.com (http://www.wunderground.com/ ) ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION:
> Image source: Wunderground.
NOTE:
^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.
__________________________________________________________________________________________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on TD 23W (UNNAMED)...go visit our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.
http://www.nhc.
http://www.srh.
http://www.srh.
http://www.nhc.
____________
>
> http://www.maybagyo
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