Thursday, November 26, 2009

Super Typhoon NIDA (26W) - Update #013

 


for Thursday, 26 November 2009 [1:06 PM PST]

click to get RSS data
<<<Typhoon2000.com Mobile >>>
Get the latest SMS Storm Alerts!
For more details: Text T2K HELP to

2800 (Globe/TM) | 216 (Smart/TNT) | 2288 (Sun)
*only P2.50 (Smart/Globe) / P2.00 (Sun) per msg received.
powered by: Synermaxx
Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Wed November 25 2009):

We would like to inform our constant viewers of this website, that the T2K StormTrack (activetrack.gif) will only be created once the system poses a threat to the Philippines or is within the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR). Currently issuing 6-hrly Advisories (except 12:00 AM) on STY NIDA (27W).


NIDA (26W) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 280 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 215 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 205 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 210 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 215 kph

SUPER TYPHOON NIDA [26W/0922]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 013

12:00 PM PST (04:00 GMT) Thu 26 November 2009
Source: T2K Analysis/JTWC Warning #017 & SatFix
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)

  • Extremely Catastrophic Super Typhoon NIDA (26W) has reached its peak and is now slowly weakening...still moving northwesterly across the warm seas of the Western Pacific.

    *Residents and visitors along the Eastern Coast of the Philippines should closely monitor the progress of NIDA.

    *Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.


    Current Storm Information

    Time/Date: 12:00 PM PST Thu Nov 26 2009
    Location of Eye: 15.1º N Lat 140.1º E Lon
    Distance 1: 540 km (290 nm) WNW of Guam, CNMI
    Distance 2: 545 km (295 nm) East of P.A.R.
    Distance 3: 1,700 km (917 nm) ENE of Bicol Region, PH
    MaxWinds (1-min avg):
    280 kph (150 kts) near the center
    Peak Wind Gusts: 335 kph (180 kts)
    6-hr Rain Amounts (near the center): 220 mm [Heavy]
    Minimum Central Pressure: 911 millibars (hPa)
    Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Category 5
    Present Movement: NW @ 20 kph (11 kts)
    Towards: Northern Philippine Sea
    Size (in Diameter): 665 km (360 nm) / Large
    Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 44 ft (13.3 m)
    Coastal Storm Surge Height: >18 feet [5.5 m]
    Wunder TrackMap (for Public):
    8 AM PST Thu Nov 26

    + Forecast Outlook: NIDA remains a very intense system and is expected to continue losing strength while moving NW to NNW for the next 24 to 48 hours. The 3 to 5-day Long-Range Forecast shows the system slowing down as it weakens to Category 2 and will begin to recurve sharply towards the NE beginning Sunday morning (8AM Nov 29: 19.9N 138.4E)...about 1,710 km East of Batanes Group of Islands. NIDA will continue too accelerate NE-ward on Monday through Tuesday...will be downgraded into a Tropical Storm as increasing upper-level winds (aka. Vertical Wind Shear) and lower sea surface temperatures (SSTs) affects its circulation (8AM Nov 30: 22.8N 140.5E...8AM Dec 01: 27.9N 147.2E). Based on this forecast, this system is not a threat to the Philippine Islands. *Alternate Forecast Scenario (AFS): Less than half of its cluster of forecast models are showing NIDA to turn towards the left...tracking it towards the Philippines on a West to WSW motion due to an approaching High Pressure Ridge off China. This scenario remains poor at this time. Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, so a turn to the left or right of its future track and other possibilities must be considered.

    + Effects & Hazards: NIDA's southeastern outer rainbands still spreading across Marianas including Guam & Saipan, bringing passing rains with squalls across the area. 6-hr total rainfall amounts of 5 up to 100 mm (light to moderate rain) can be expected along the outer and inner bands...with isolated amounts of 220 mm (heavy rain) near the center of Nida. Click here to view the latest NOAA's eTRaP graphic on the storm's rainfall amount. Possible coastal Storm Surge flooding of 9 to 12 feet above normal tide levels...accompanied by large and dangerous battering waves...is possible along the coastal areas of Marianas including Guam & Saipan. Extensive damage is likely on this type of storm surge.

    [Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!] 
    External Links for STY NIDA (27W)

    View NOAA-CIRA's
    Latest Wind Analysis
    JTWC Latest Tracking Chart:
    wp2609.gif
    TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 5-days Ahead
    NASA-JAXA TMI Page: Latest Rainrate 01
    EORC-JAXA TRMM Page: Latest Rainrate 02
    Zoomed Satellite Pic:
    NOAA's Near Real-Time
    Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop


  • JTWC (US NAVY / AIR FORCE) 12, 24, 48 & 72 HR. FORECAST & REMARKS:

    8 PM (12 GMT) 26 NOVEMBER: 16.2N 139.5E / 260-315 KPH (STY-Cat 5) / NNW @ 13 KPH 
    8 AM (00 GMT) 27 NOVEMBER: 17.4N 138.8E / 240-295 KPH (STY-Cat 4) / NNW @ 07 KPH 
    8 AM (00 GMT) 28 NOVEMBER: 18.8N 138.2E / 205-250 KPH (TY-Cat 3) / N @ 05 KPH
  • 8 AM (00 GMT) 29 NOVEMBER: 19.9N 138.4E / 165-205 KPH (TY-Cat 2) / NE @ 17 KPH

    REMARKS: 8 AM (00 GMT) THU 26 NOVEMBER POSITION: 14.5N 140.7E.

    *
    SUPER TYPHOON (STY) 26W (NIDA) HAS MAINTAINED A SYMMETRICAL
    STRUCTURE OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY
    SHOWS MULTIPLE SPIRAL BANDS WRAPPING VERY TIGHTLY INTO THE LOW LEVEL
    CIRCULATION CENTER. THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON THE ABOVE
    ANIMATION SHOWING A WELL-DEFINED 20-NM EYE. THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS
    DERIVED FROM THE DVORAK ESTIMATES OF T7.0 FROM PGTW AND KNES, AND A
    T7.5 FROM RJTD. THE SYSTEM IS TRACKING ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
    PERIPHERY OF A DEEP-LAYERED SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST.
    ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS GOOD RADIAL OUTFLOW ENHANCED BY A
    MESOSCALE ANTICYCLONE OVERHEAD..
    (
    more)

    >> NIDA, meaning: Name of womanName contributed by: Thailand.
    __________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
      
    _______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________


    RECENT WUNDERGROUND.COM TRACKING CHART
    :


    _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

     
    RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


    > Image source:  NOAA SATELLITE CENTER 
    ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

    RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION


    > Image source:  Wunderground.com (http://www.wunderground.com/)
    ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
    LATEST 6 HR. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS / ENSEMBLE TROPICAL RAINFALL POTENTIAL (eTRaP) 



    > Image source:  NOAA Satellite & Information Service (http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/etrap.html)
    ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
    NOTE:
     
      ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.
    __________________________________________________________________________________________

    >> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

       
    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
       
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
        http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
        http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
        http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
    __________________________________________________________________________________________

    For the complete details on STY NIDA (26W)...go visit our website @:

    >
    http://www.typhoon2000.com
    http://www.maybagyo.com

    :: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at: 
       
    http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm


    Copyright © 2009 Typhoon2000.com     All Rights Reserved

    __._,_.___
    .

    __,_._,___

    No comments: