Tuesday, November 03, 2009

TD TINO (24W) - Update #005

 


for Tuesday, 03 November 2009 [12:09 PM PST]

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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Tue November 03 2009):

Yesterday, Typhoon2000.com celebrated its 12th year Anniversary...Thank you for all your support. Meanwhile, T2K is currently issuing 6-hrly Advisories (except 12:00 AM) on TD TINO (24W), which may threaten Eastern & Central Luzon.


TINO (24W) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 45 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 45 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 55 kph

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TINO [24W]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 006

12:00 PM PST (04:00 GMT) Tue 03 November 2009
Sources: T2K Analysis/JTWC SatFix
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)

  • Tropical Depression TINO (24W) dissipating off Northern Camarines Sur...now in the vicinity of San Miguel Bay or 25 km. NNW of Typhoon2000.com Weather Station. Click here to view image of Tino's weak center. Windy conditions w/ drizzle to light rains can be expected.

    *All Philippine Storm Warning Signals elsewhere has already been lifted, as PAGASA dissipates TINO into a Low Pressure Area (LPA)..

    *Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.


    + Forecast Outlook: TINO is expected to continue moving SW within the next 12 to 24 hours and is expected to weaken into a tropical disturbance (LPA) later and may dissipate along the mountains of Camarines Norte and Southern Quezon.

    + Effects: TINO's circulation has been shattered by the strong surge of cold NE Monsoon. This system will dissipate along the mountains of Camarines Norte and Southern Quezon. Only drizzle to light rains w/ strong winds not exceeding 60 kph can be expected today across Northern Bicol Region and Southern Quezon...Sunlight conditions can also be expected as the depression's clouds are currently thin especially near its low-level circulation center (LLCC). 6-hr total rainfall amounts of 5 up to 25 mm (light rain) can be expected along the outer and inner bands...with isolated amounts of 50 mm (moderate rain) near the center of TINO. Possible coastal Storm Surge flooding of 1 to 3 feet above normal tide levels...accompanied by large and dangerous battering waves...is possible along the coastal areas of Bicol Region, Quezon, Northern Visayas and Aurora. Very minimal damage is likely on this type of storm surge.

    + Current NE Monsoon Intensity: STRONG >> Moderate to strong northeasterly winds not in excess of 70 kph with occasional widespread showers, rains, squalls (subasko) and low temperatures can be expected along the following affected areas: BATANES GROUP, NORTHERN AND CENTRAL LUZON including METRO MANILA, BICOL REGION & NORTHERN VISAYAS. Possible landslides, mudslides, mudflows (lahars) and life-threatening flash floods are likely to occur along steep mountain/volcanic slopes, river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of the affected areas.

    [Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!] 
    Time/Date: 12:00 PM PST Tue November 03 2009
    Location of Center: 13.8º N Lat 123.1º E Lon
    Distance 1: 10 km (5 nm) East of Sipocot, Cam Sur
    Distance 2: 11 km (6 nm) NW of Calabanga, Cam Sur
    Distance 3: 22 km (12 nm) West of Tinambac, Cam Sur
    Distance 4: 25 km (13 nm) NNW of Metro Naga/CWC
    Distance 5: 40 km (22 nm) SE of Daet, Cam Norte
    Distance 6: 75 km (40 nm) West of Gota Beach, Caramoan
    Distance 7: 175 km (95 nm) East of Lucena City
    Distance 8: 235 km (127 nm) ESE of Metro Manila
    MaxWinds (1-min avg):
    45 kph (25 kts) near the center
    Peak Wind Gusts: 65 kph (35 kts)
    Click to view:
    TINO's Latest Wind Analysis new!
    6-hr Rain Amounts (near the center): 50 mm.
    Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Tropical Depression
    Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0 feet [0 m]
    Minimum Central Pressure: 1002 millibars (hPa)
    Recent Movement: SW @ 13 kph (07 kts)
    Projected Area of Impact: Camarines Provinces
    Size (in Diameter): --- km (--- nm) / N/A
    Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 12 ft (3.6 m)
    T2K TrackMap #04a (for Public): 12 PM PST Tue Nov 03
    JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap:
    8 AM Tue Nov 03
    TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 1-day Ahead
    NASA-JAXA TMI Page: Latest Rainrate 01
    EORC-JAXA TRMM Page: Latest Rainrate 02
    Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time

  • JTWC  12 & 24 HR. FORECAST & REMARKS:

    8 PM (12 GMT) 03 NOVEMBER: 12.3N 122.6E / 35-55 KPH (LPA) / SW @ 17 KPH
    8 AM (00 GMT) 04 NOVEMBER: 11.1N 121.2E / 35-55 KPH (LPA) / ... 
    __________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
  • PAGASA FINAL CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.): 
    > 10 AM (02 GMT) 03 NOVEMBER: 17.5N 122.6E / --- @ -- kph / -- kph

    :: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website at: 
       
    http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcupdate.shtml   
    _______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________


    RECENT TYPHOON2000.COM TRACKING CHART
    :


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    RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


    > Image source:  NOAA SATELLITE CENTER 
    ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

    RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION


    > Image source:  Wunderground.com (http://www.wunderground.com/)
    ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
    LATEST 6-12 HR. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS / ENSEMBLE TROPICAL RAINFALL POTENTIAL (eTRaP): N/A 


    > Image source:  NOAA Satellite & Information Service (http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/etrap.html?storm=TWENTYTHRE)
    ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
    NOTE:
     
      ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.
    __________________________________________________________________________________________

    >> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

       
    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
       
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
        http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
        http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
        http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
    __________________________________________________________________________________________

    For the complete details on TD TINO (24W)...go visit our website @:

    >
    http://www.typhoon2000.com
    http://www.maybagyo.com

    :: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at: 
       
    http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm


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