Friday, March 26, 2010

TS OMAIS (AGATON) - Final Update

 


for Friday, 26 March 2010 [6:37 PM PhT]

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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Fri March 26 2010):

Ending the 6-hrly advisories (except 12 AM PhT) on TS OMAIS (AGATON).


OMAIS (AGATON) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 45 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 65 kph

TROPICAL STORM OMAIS [AGATON/02W/1001]
T2K E-MAIL ADVISORY NUMBER 014 (FINAL)

6:00 PM PhT (10:00 GMT) Fri 26 March 2010
Source: T2K Analysis/JTWC Warning #019 (Final)
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2010)

  • OMAIS (AGATON) regains Tropical Storm strength but is losing tropical characteristics...becoming Extratropical as it merges with a passing Frontal System south of Japan.

    *This is the Final Advisory on the Philippines' first tropical cyclone of 2010.

    *Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.


    Current Storm Information

    Time/Date: 6:00 PM PhT Fri Mar 26 2010
    Location of Center: 18.8º N Lat 132.3º E Lon
    Distance 1: 965 km (520 nm) SSE of Okinawa, Japan
    Distance 2: 1,095 km (590 nm) ESE of Basco, Batanes
    Distance 3: 1,120 km (605 nm) ENE of Aparri, Cagayan
    Distance 4: 1,145 km (618 nm) SW of Iwo To
    Distance 5: 1,290 km (697 nm) NE of Metro Manila
    MaxWinds (1-min avg):
    65 kph (30 kts) near the center
    Peak Wind Gusts: 85 kph (40 kts)
    6-hr Rain Amounts (near the center): 220 mm [Heavy]
    Minimum Central Pressure: 998 millibars (hPa)
    Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: TS
    Present Movement: NNE @ 20 kph (11 kts)
    Towards: Central Philippine Sea
    Size (in Diameter): 295 km (160 nm) / Small
    Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 12 ft (3.6 m)
    Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0 feet [0 m]
    T2K Final TrackMap #008 (for Public):
    6 PM PhT Fri Mar 26

    + Forecast Outlook: OMAIS (AGATON) is expected to complete Extratropical transition w/in the next 12 to 24 hours [2PM MAR 27: 19.3N 133.3E...1,190 km ESE of Basco, Batanes].

    + Effects & Hazards: OMAIS' decaying rainbands remain over the sea...no effects & hazards are in place. 6-hr total rainfall amounts of 5 up to 100 mm (light to moderate rain) can be expected along the its rainbands...with isolated amounts of up to 220 mm (heavy rain) situated along the northeastern periphery of OMAIS' (AGATON) center. Click here to view the latest NOAA's eTRaP graphic on the storm's rainfall amount.

    + Current NE Monsoon Intensity: MODERATE >> Partly Sunny to mostly cloudy skies with occasional drizzles-showers-rains can be expected along the following affected areas: BATANES GROUP, CAGAYAN, ISABELA, AURORA, QUEZON, BICOL REGION & NORTHERN SAMAR. Light to moderate NE winds (not in excess of 45 kph) can be expected along these areas. Large ocean waves of 10 to 12 feet along the beach-front areas of the affected areas are likely to occur beginning today until Monday.

    [Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!] 
    External Links for TS OMAIS (AGATON)

    View NOAA-CIRA's
    Latest Wind Analysis
    JTWC Final Tracking Chart:
    wp0210.gif
    Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 2 PM Fri Mar 26
    TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 24 hrs Ahead
    Zoomed Satellite Pic:
    NOAA's Near Real-Time
    Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop



  • JTWC (US NAVY / AIR FORCE) 12 & 24 HR. FORECAST & REMARKS:

    2 AM (18 GMT) 27 MARCH: 18.8N 132.6E / 45-65 KPH (XT) / NE @ 07 KPH 
    2 PM (06 GMT) 27 MARCH: 19.3N 133.3E / 35-55 KPH (XT)

  • REMARKS (for Meteorologists): 2 PM (06 GMT) FRI 26 MARCH POSITION: 18.2N 131.9E.

    *THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY INTERACTING WITH A
    BAROCLINIC BOUNDARY AND IS RAPIDLY LOSING ITS TROPICAL
    CHARACTERISTICS. ENHANCED POLEWARD OUTFLOW AHEAD OF THE SUPPORTING
    UPPER LEVEL TROUGH HAS HELPED SUSTAIN DEEP, ALBEIT SHEARED
    CONVECTION. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR HAS ELEVATED TO NEAR 40 KNOTS
    ACCORDING TO THE LATEST CIMMS ANALYSIS. DVORAK ESTIMATES RANGE FROM
    30 TO 35 KNOTS FROM PGTW AND RJTD, THROUGH PGTW IS NO LONGER
    CLASSIFYING THE SYSTEM AS TROPICAL. AMSU TEMPERATURE CROSS SECTIONS
    FROM 252000Z INDICATE THAT THE WARM CORE IS SHEARED SEVERAL DEGREES
    FROM THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC), AND A COOLER
    TEMPERATURE ANOMALY HAS BEGUN TO DEVELOP OVER THE LLCC. THE INITIAL
    POSITION IS CONSISTENT WITH A 260429 AMSU-B MICROWAVE IMAGE, WHICH
    SHOWS THE LLCC LAGGING BEHIND THE SHEARED CONVECTION TO THE
    SOUTHWEST. THE LLCC IS FORECAST TO TRACK ALONG THE BAROCLINIC
    BOUNDARY TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST AND WILL INCORPORATE INTO THE
    BOUNDARY WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS BECOMING FULLY
    EXTRATROPICAL. THIS IS A CHANGE IN PHILOSOPHY FROM THE PREVIOUS
    FORECAST, WHICH HAD CALLED FOR DISSIPATION. THIS IS THE FINAL
    WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER
    (NAVMARFCSTCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF
    REGENERATION..
    (
    more)

    >> OMAIS, meaning: Palauan word for "wandering around"Name contributed by: United States of America.
    _______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

    PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.):
     
    > 2 PM (06 GMT) FRI 26 MARCH: 18.3N 132.3E / NE @ 17 kph / 55 kph

    :: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website at: 
       
    http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcupdate.shtml   
    _______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________


    RECENT TYPHOON2000.COM TRACKING CHART
    :

    _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

     
    RECENT MTSAT-1R "DAY & NIGHT VISION" SATELLITE IMAGE:


    > Image source:  NOAA SATELLITE CENTER 
    ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

    RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION


    > Image source:  Wunderground.com (http://www.wunderground.com/)
    ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
    LATEST 6 HR. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS / ENSEMBLE TROPICAL RAINFALL POTENTIAL (eTRaP) 



    > Image source:  NOAA Satellite & Information Service (http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/etrap.html)
    ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
    NOTE:
     
      * - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.
    __________________________________________________________________________________________

    >> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

       
    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
       
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
        http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
        http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
        http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
    __________________________________________________________________________________________

    For the complete details on TS OMAIS (AGATON)...go visit our website @:

    >
    http://www.typhoon2000.com
    http://www.maybagyo.com

    :: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at: 
       
    http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm


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