Sunday, October 17, 2010

MEGI [JUAN] now an extremely catastrophic Super Typhoon...[Update #013A]

 


for Saturday, 16 October 2010 [3:15 PM PhT]

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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Sunday Oct 16 2010):

Now issuing 3-hrly web, SMS & email advisories on MEGI (JUAN). The HOURLY POSITION ESTIMATE will start once the system is less than 200 km away from land.


MEGI (JUAN) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 270 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 215 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 195 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 205 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 215 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 230 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 200 km/hr

SUPER TYPHOON MEGI [JUAN/15W/1013]
T2K INTERMEDIATE E-MAIL ADVISORY NUMBER 013A

3:00 PM PhT (07:00 GMT) Sun 17 October 2010
Sources: T2K Extrap Analysis/JTWC Wrng #017/SatFix/Recon
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2010)
MEGI (JUAN) is now an extremely catastrophic Super Typhoon as its wind speed increases to 270 km/hr...Northern Luzon in full danger as the howler continues tracking westward.

Residents and visitors along Northern and Central Luzon particularly Cagayan and Isabela should closely monitor the progress of MEGI (JUAN).

Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.

CURRENT STORM INFORMATION

Time/Date: 3:00 PM PhT Sun Oct 17 2010
Location of Eye: 18.5º N Lat 125.9º E Lon
Distance 1: 445 km (240 nm) East of Aparri, Cagayan
Distance 2: 475 km (257 nm) SE of Basco, Batanes
Distance 3: 455 km (245 nm) ENE of Tuguegarao City
Distance 4: 455 km (245 nm) ENE of Ilagan, Isabela
Distance 5: 475 km (257 nm) NE of Casiguran, Aurora
Distance 6: 560 km (303 nm) ENE of Laoag City
Distance 7: 670 km (362 nm) NE of Metro Manila
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 270 kph (145 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 325 kph (175 kts)
Present Movement: West @ 22 kph (12 kts)
Towards: Cagayan-Isabela Area
24-hr Rain Amounts (near center): 350 mm (Heavy)
Minimum Central Pressure: 908 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Category 5
Size (in Diameter): 740 km (400 nm) / Large
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 32 ft (9.7 m)
Possible Storm Surge Height: >18 ft [>5.5 m]
T2K TrackMap #005 (for Public): 12 PM PhT Sun Oct 17
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RECENT TYPHOON2000 TRACKING CHART
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RECENT MULTI-AGENCY TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TRACKING CHART
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RECENT MTSAT-1R "DAY & NIGHT VISION" SATELLITE IMAGE
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> Image source:  NOAA SATELLITE CENTER 
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RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION**Note: Satellite loop finally aligned!


> Image source:  Wunderground.com (http://www.wunderground.com/)
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LATEST 24 HR. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS / ENSEMBLE TROPICAL RAINFALL POTENTIAL (eTRaP)
 



> Image source:  NOAA Satellite & Information Service (http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/etrap.html)
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NOTE:
 
  * - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.
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>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

   
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
   
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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For the complete details on STY MEGI (JUAN)...go visit our website @:

>
http://www.typhoon2000.com
http://www.maybagyo.com

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