Wednesday, October 06, 2010

TD 14W [UNNAMED] - Update #04

 


for Wednesday, 06 October 2010 [12:30 PM PhT]

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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Wednesday Oct 06 2010):

Currently issuing 6-hrly web & email advisories (except 12 AM PhT) on TD 14W (UNNAMED).


14W (UNNAMED) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 45 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 50 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 45 km/hr

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W [UNNAMED]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 004 **RELOCATED**

12:00 PM PhT (04:00 GMT) Wed 06 October 2010
Sources: T2K Analysis/JMA Warning/SatFix
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2010)
Tropical Depression 14W (UNNAMED) has been relocated near the west coast of Hainan...barely moving. Occasional rains continues across Hainan and Western Guangdong.

Residents and visitors along Gulf of Tonkin, Hainan and Western Guangdong should closely monitor the progress of 14W.

Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.

CURRENT STORM INFORMATION

Time/Date: 12:00 PM PhT Wed Oct 06 2010
Location of Center: 18.6º N Lat 108.1º E Lon
Distance 1: 85 km (45 nm) WSW of Dongfang, Hainan
Distance 2: 240 km (130 nm) NNE of Hue, Vietnam
Distance 3: 360 km (195 nm) SE of Hanoi, Vietnam
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 55 kph (30 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 75 kph (40 kts)
Present Movement: Quasi-Stnry (01 kt)
Towards: Gulf of Tonkin-Hainan
18-hr Rain Amounts (near center): 140 mm (Moderate)
Minimum Central Pressure: 1008 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: TD
Size (in Diameter): --- km (--- nm) / N/A
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 6 ft (1.8 m)
Possible Storm Surge Height: 0 ft [0 m]
Wunder Final TrackMap (for Public): 8 AM PhT Wed Oct 06

ANALYSIS & FORECAST OUTLOOK (up to 24 hours)*

None.

Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min. avg) are near 55 km/hr (30 knots) with higher gusts.

*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Extended Forecast Track have an average error of 250 km on Day 3...450 km on Day 4...and 650 km on Day 5, while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

EFFECTS & HAZARDS

14W's weak rain bands will continue to bring wet weather across Hainan Island...the Gulf of Tonkin...and Western Guangdong today. Moderate to strong winds of up to 50 km/hr can be expected within the inner bands of 14W (click here to view the latest NOAA-CIRA's Wind Analysis). 18-hr total rainfall amounts of 5 up to 75 mm (light rain) can be expected along its outer and inner bands...with isolated amounts of up to 140 mm (moderate) near the center of 14W (Click here to view the latest NOAA's eTRaP graphic on the storm's rainfall amount).

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, extended forecast, effects-hazards, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!


External Links for TD 14W (UNNAMED)

View NOAA-CIRA's Latest Wind Analysis

JTWC Latest Tracking Chart: wp1410.gif
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: Near Real-Time
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 24 hrs Ahead
NASA-JAXA TMI Page: Latest Rainrate 01
EORC-JAXA TRMM Page: Latest Rainrate 02
Zoomed Satellite Pic: NOAA's Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
     


JTWC (US NAVY & AIR FORCE) REMARKS:

REMARKS (for Meteorologists): 8 AM (00 GMT) WED 06 OCTOBER POSITION: 20.2N 110.2E.
*TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 14W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 260 NM WEST-
SOUTHWEST OF HONG KONG, CHINA, HAS TRACKED EASTWARD AT 02 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. TD 14W IS RAPIDLY DISIPATING AS A TROPICAL
CYCLONE.  THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON
WARNING CENTER (NAVMARFCSTCEN).  THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONI-
TORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION..
.(more)
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RECENT WEATHERUNDERGROUND TRACKING CHART
:


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RECENT MULTI-AGENCY TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TRACKING CHART
:

*NOT YET AVAILABLE.
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RECENT MTSAT-1R "DAY & NIGHT VISION" SATELLITE IMAGE
:


> Image source:  NOAA SATELLITE CENTER 
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RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION


> Image source:  Wunderground.com (http://www.wunderground.com/)
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LATEST 18 HR. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS / ENSEMBLE TROPICAL RAINFALL POTENTIAL (eTRaP)
 



> Image source:  NOAA Satellite & Information Service (http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/etrap.html)
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NOTE:
 
  * - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.
__________________________________________________________________________________________

>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

   
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
   
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

For the complete details on TD 14W (UNNAMED)...go visit our website @:

>
http://www.typhoon2000.com
http://www.maybagyo.com

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at: 
   
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm


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