Tuesday, April 05, 2011

TD 95W [AMANG] - Update #005

 


for Tuesday, 05 April 2011 [7:08 AM PhT]

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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Monday April 04 2011):

Currently issuing 6-hrly web and e-mail updates (except 12 AM) on TD 95W (AMANG).


95W (AMANG) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 35 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 95W [AMANG]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 005

6:00 AM PhT (22:00 GMT) Tue 05 April 2011
Sources: T2K Extrap Analysis/JMA TC Warning/SatFixes
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2011)
Tropical Depression 95W (AMANG) losing organization as it accelerates towards the NE, across the Northwest Pacific Ocean.

Residents and visitors along the Northern Mariana Islands should closely monitor the progress of 95W.

Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.

CURRENT STORM INFORMATION

Time/Date: 6:00 AM PhT Tue Apr 05 2011
Location of Center: 14.3º N Lat 137.9º E Lon
Distance 1: 315 km (170 nm) East of P.A.R.
Distance 2: 750 km (405 nm) WNW of Guam, CNMI
Distance 3: 1,470 km (794 nm) ENE of Bicol Region, PH
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 55 kph (30 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 75 kph (40 kts)
Present Movement: NE @ 26 kph (14 kts)
Towards: NW Pacific Ocean
Minimum Central Pressure: 1002 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: N/A
Size (in Diameter): --- km (--- nm) / N/A
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 10 ft (3.0 m)
Possible Storm Surge Height: 0 ft [0 m]
JMA TrackMap (for Public): 5:00 AM PhT Tue Apr 05

FORECAST OUTLOOK ANALYSIS (up to 24 hours)*

95W (AMANG) is expected to continue moving northeastward across the Northwest Pacific Ocean for the next 24 hours and intensify...reaching Tropical Storm strength [5AM APR 06: 16.6N 144.6E @ 65kph].

Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min. avg) are near 55 km/hr (30 knots) with higher gusts. 95W (AMANG) is a Tropical Depression on the Saffir-Simpson Tropical Cyclone Scale.

*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Extended Forecast Track have an average error of 250 km on Day 3...450 km on Day 4...and 650 km on Day 5, while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

EFFECTS & HAZARDS SUMMARY

95W's circulation remains over water (NW Pacific Ocean) and is not affecting any land areas. Below are the summary of the depression's parts and its hazards affecting specific areas:

OUTER / INNER RAINBANDS - remains over water and are not affecting any land areas. Light to moderate winds (<55 kph) w/ occasional rains can be expected along these bands today. (click here to know more about Rainbands).

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, extended forecast, effects-hazards, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!


External Links for TD 95W (AMANG)

View NOAA-CIRA's Latest Wind Analysis

Zoomed Satellite Pic: NOAA's Near Real-Time

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RECENT JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY'S TRACKING CHART
:


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RECENT MULTI-AGENCY TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TRACKING CHART
:

**NOT YET AVAILABLE**
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RECENT MTSAT-1R "DAY & NIGHT VISION" SATELLITE IMAGE
:


> Image source:  NOAA SATELLITE CENTER 
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RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION:  

**NOT YET AVAILABLE**

> Image source:  Wunderground.com (http://www.wunderground.com/)
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LATEST 24 HR. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS / ENSEMBLE TROPICAL RAINFALL POTENTIAL (eTRaP)
 


**NOT YET AVAILABLE**

> Image source:  NOAA Satellite & Information Service (http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/etrap.html)
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NOTE:
 
  * - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.
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>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

   
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
   
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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For the complete details on TD 95W (AMANG)...go visit our website @:

>
http://www.typhoon2000.com
http://www.maybagyo.com

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at: 
   
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm


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