Wednesday, September 07, 2011

TD NORU [16W] - Final Update

 


for Wednesday, 07 September 2011 [7:10 AM PhT]

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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Wednesday September 07 2011):

Ending the 6-hrly web and e-mail updates (except 12:00 Midnight) on NORU (16W).


NORU (16W) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): -- km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): -- km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): -- km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): -- km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): -- km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): -- km/hr
:: Click here to see Multi-Agency Forecast Tracks


EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE NORU [16W/1113]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 011 **FINAL**

5:00 AM PhT (21:00 GMT) Wed 07 September 2011
Source: T2K Analysis/JTWC TC Warning #014/SatFixes
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2011)
NORU (16W) becomes an Extratropical Cyclone as it moves closer to Kuril Islands.

*This is the last and final advisory on NORU.

Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.


CURRENT STORM INFORMATION

Time/Date: 5:00 AM PhT Wed September 07 2011
Location of Center: 44.8º N Lat 152.0º E Lon
Distance 1: 222 km South of Kuril Islands
Distance 2: 872 km ENE of Sapporo, Japan
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 55 kph (30 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 75 kph (40 kts)
Present Movement: NNE @ 35 kph (19 kts)
Towards: Kuril Islands
12-18hr Rainfall Accum (near center): 100 mm (Medium)
Rainrate (near center): 15-25 mm/hr (Mod-Heavy)
Minimum Central Pressure: 1000 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Tropical Depression
Size (in Diameter): 835 km [Large]
Wind Area Distribution (in Knots): Current Wind Profile
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 17 ft
Possible Storm Surge Height: 0 ft [0 m]
Final Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 9 PM JST Tue Sep 06


1-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK & ANALYSIS*

NORU (16W) is expected to resume a straight Northerly track during the next 24 hours...On the forecast track, the center of NORU will pass along the Kuril Islands today.

Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min. avg) are near 55 km/hr (30 knots) with higher gusts.

*Please be reminded that the 2-Day Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects-hazards, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!


JTWC (US NAVY & AIR FORCE) REMARKS:

REMARKS (for Meteorologists): 8 PM (12 GMT) TUE 06 SEPTEMBER POSITION: 41.3N 150.6E.
*TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 16W (NORU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 425 NM EAST
OF MISAWA AIR BASE, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 19 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. THE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION PROCESS IS NEARLY COMPLETE
AND THE FULLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLCC) IS SEPARATING FROM
WHAT REMAINS OF THE CONVECTION. A COMPARISON BETWEEN THE LAST TWO
AMSUB RADIAL CROSS SECTIONS SHOW THAT THE MID-LEVEL COLD ANOMALY IS
EXPANDING AND THE WARM CORE ANOMALY HAS BEEN FORCED DOWNWARDS TO
NEAR TO THE SURFACE. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE BELOW THE MINIMUM
VALUES NECESSARY TO SUPPORT A WARM CORE SYSTEM. AN UNUSUALLY STRONG
AND POLEWARD HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM THAT IS PART OF A BLOCKING PATTERN
OVER THE WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC IS DRIVING TD 16W INTO THE SEA OF
OKHOTSK. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON
WARNING CENTER (NAVMARFCSTCEN).  THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY
MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.(
more info)

>> NORU, meaning: Roe DeerName contributed by: RO Korea.
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

RECENT WUNDERGROUND.COM (JTWC) TRACKING CHART
:

 
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 

RECENT MULTI-AGENCY TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TRACKING CHART:


_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 

RECENT MTSAT-2 "DAY & NIGHT VISION" SATELLITE IMAGE
:


> Image source:  NOAA SATELLITE CENTER: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/mtsat/flt/t1/rgb.jpg 
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION:  



> Image source:  Wunderground.com Tropical Page (http://www.wunderground.com/tropical)
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

LATEST 12-18HR. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS / ENSEMBLE TROPICAL RAINFALL POTENTIAL (eTRaP)
:  




> Image source:
  NOAA Satellite & Information Service (
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/etrap.html)
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
 
NOTE:
 
  * - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.
__________________________________________________________________________________________

>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

   
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
   
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

For the complete details on TD NORU (16W)...go visit our website @:

>
http://www.typhoon2000.com
http://www.maybagyo.com

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at: 
   
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm


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