Tuesday, November 08, 2011

TD 24W [Unnamed] - Update #002

 


for Tuesday, 08 November 2011 [7:20 AM PhT]

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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Saturday Oct 15 2011):

Now issuing the 6-hrly web, email, & iTyphoon app updates (except 12:00 Midnight) on 24W (UNNAMED) as the system develops near Vietnam's east coast..


24W (UNNAMED) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 45 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): -- km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): -- km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): -- km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): -- km/hr

+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 45 km/hr


TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W [UNNAMED]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 002

5:00 AM PhT (21:00 GMT) Tue 08 November 2011
Source: T2K Analysis/JTWC TC Warning #003/SatFixes
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2011)
Tropical Depression 24W (UNNAMED) continues to move closer to Hainan Island as it intensified slightly.

Residents and visitors along Hainan & Vietnam should closely monitor the progress of 24W (UNNAMED).

Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.


CURRENT STORM INFORMATION

Time/Date: 5:00 AM PhT Tue November 08 2011
Location of Center: 17.4º N Lat 108.7º E Lon
Distance 1: 123 km SW of Sanya, Hainan Is.
Distance 2: 154 km NNE of Da Nang, Vietnam
Distance 3: 154 km NE of Hue, Vietnam
Distance 4: 189 km South of Dongfang, Hainan Is.
Distance 5: 503 km SE of Hanoi, Vietnam
Distance 6: 1241 km West of Vigan City, PH
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 55 kph (30 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 75 kph (45 kts)
Present Movement: WNW @ 24 kph (13 kts)
Towards: Hainan Island
12-18hr Rainfall Accum (near center): 120 mm (Med-High)
Minimum Central Pressure: 1000 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Tropical Depression
Size (in Diameter): --- km (--- nm) [Average]
Wind Area Distribution (in Knots): Current Wind Profile
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 11 ft
Possible Storm Surge Height: 0 ft [0 m]
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 AM HKT Tue Nov 08


36-HOUR FORECAST OUTLOOK & ANALYSIS*

24W (UNNAMED) is expected to move Northward during the next 12 hrs...with a sudden turn to the NE to ENE through 36 hours. Little change on its forward speed is likely during the next 36 hours. On the forecast track, the core of the depression will cross Hainan Island tonight and dissipate Wednesday afternoon.

Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min. avg) have increased to near 55 km/hr (30 knots) with higher gusts. 24W (UNNAMED) is a Tropical Depression (TD) on the Saffir-Simpson Tropical Cyclone Scale...and is likely to reach minimal Tropical Storm strength within the next 06 to 12 hours.

The following is the summary of the 36-hour forecast outlook on this system:

TUESDAY AFTERNOON:  Upgraded to a weak Tropical Storm (TS) as it bears down the coast of SW Hainan [2PM NOV 08: 18.2N 108.6E @ 65kph].
WEDNESDAY EARLY MORNING:  Dissipating over Hainan...turns ENE [2AM NOV 09: 19.0N 109.1E @ 45kph].
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON:  Dissipated as a remnant low along the northeastern portion of Hainan Island [2PM NOV 09: 19.5N 110.5E @ 30kph].


EFFECTS & HAZARDS SUMMARY

Below is the summary of the storm's parts and its hazards affecting specific areas:

CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST (CDO) - over water (Southern part of the Gulf of Tonkin). Near-Tropical Storm Conditions w/ Near-Tropical Storm Force Winds (55-61 kph) will be expected along the developing CDO. (click here to know more about CDO).
RAINBANDS - its western & northern bands affecting & spreading across North Central Vietnam and Hainan Island. Tropical Depression Conditions w/ moderate to strong winds (25-44 kph) will be expected along these bands (click here to know more about Rainbands).
12-18HR TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATION - from 5 up to 100 mm (low to medium rainfall) can be expected along areas affected by the rainbands (see above)...with isolated amounts of 101 to 120 mm (medium to high) along areas near the center of 24W (UNNAMED). (click to open NOAA's eTRaP graphic).

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects-hazards, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!


External Links for TD 24W (UNNAMED)

View NOAA-CIRA's: Latest Full Wind Analysis
JTWC Latest Tracking Chart: wp2411.gif
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 1.5 days Ahead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: NOAA's Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop


_____________________________________________________________________________

NOTE:

>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

   
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
   
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

For the complete details on TD 24W (Unnamed)...go visit our website @:

>
http://www.typhoon2000.com
http://www.maybagyo.com

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