for Wednesday, 31 December 2014 [9:00 AM PhT]
WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES
TROPICAL DEPRESSION JANGMI (SENIANG) UPDATE NUMBER 012
Issued at: 8:15 AM PhT (00:15 GMT) Wednesday 31 December 2014
Next Update: Wednesday Afternoon, 31 December 2014
Tropical Depression JANGMI (SENIANG) continues to drift slowly west-southwestward across the Sulu Sea...expected to reach Southern Palawan on New Year's Eve.
This cyclone will continue to enhance the Northeast Monsoon (Hanging Amihan) - bringing cooler, windy and mostly cloudy conditions with occasional slight to moderate rains along the northern and eastern sections of Luzon including the Bicol Region and Northern Visayas..
Residents and visitors along Palawan should closely monitor the development of Jangmi (Seniang).
Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.
CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be affected or that are being affected by the hazards generated by the current tropical cyclone.
- Heavy to Extreme Rains (100 mm or more): North-central parts of Palawan including Calamian Group - until Wednesday evening (Dec 31).
- Heavy Rains (50 mm to 100 mm): Northernmost and South-Central part of Palawan, Eastern portions Camarines Sur, Albay, Sorsogon, and Northern Samar - until Wednesday evening (Dec 31).
- Moderate to Heavy Rains (30 mm to 50 mm): Rest of Bicol, Southern Quezon, Marinduque, Romblon and Tablas, Western Panay, Calamian Group, portions of Northen part of Samar - until Wednesday evening (Dec 31).
CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION
As of 5:00 AM PhT today, Dec 31...2100 GMT.
Classification/Name: TD Jangmi (Seniang)
Location: Over the Central part of Sulu Sea (near 9.6N 120.3E)
About: 165 km southwest of Cuyo Island...or 175 km east of Puerto Princesa City, Palawan
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 55 kph near the center...Gustiness: 75 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near and west of the center): 50 to 300 mm [Moderate to Extreme]
Minimum Central Pressure: 1000 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 900 km (Medium)
Area of Damaging Winds (95 kph or more): None
Past Movement: West-Southwest @ 13 kph
Forecast Movement: West-Southwest @ 16 kph
Towards: Southern Palawan
2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*
TD Jangmi (Seniang) is expected to move west-southwest throughout the forecast outlook. On the forecast track, TD Jangmi (Seniang) will slowly traverse the Sulu Sea and shall be moving along the coasts of Southern Palawan on Thursday night. It shall emerge over the West Philippine Sea/South China Sea by Thursday morning and exits the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) by Thursday afternoon.
TD Jangmi (Seniang) is expected to reintensify after 36 to 48 hours. Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 10-minute maximum sustained winds increasing to 75 kph on Thursday afternoon.
The following is the 3-day forecast outlook summary for this system:
THURSDAY EARLY MORNING: Tracking along the southeastern coasts of Southern Palawan......maitains strength...about 25 km SSW of Bataraza, Palawan [2AM JAN 01: 8.3N 117.5E @ 55kph].
FRIDAY EARLY MORNING: Over the South China Sea...slightly accelerates and reintensifies as it exits PAR...about 475 km west-southwest of Balabac, Palawan [2AM JAN 02: 7.0N 112.9E @ 75kph].
SATURDAY EARLY MORNING: Maintains strength...moving steadily WSW across the southern part of the South China Sea...about 630 km west-northwest of Brunei [2AM JAN 03: 5.4N 108.5E @ 75kph].
*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above hazards summary and forecast outlook changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
Time/Date: 5:00 AM PhT Wed Dec 31, 2014
Location of Center: Near 9.6º N Lat 120.3º E Lon
Distance 1: 195 km SSW of Pamalican Island
Distance 2: 275 km WSW of Kabankalan City
Distance 3: 155 km SE of Taytay City
Distance 4: 280 km WSW of Iloilo City
Distance 5: 305 km WSW of Bacolod City
Distance 6: 310 km SW of Boracay
CURRENT TRACKING MAP:
CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 INFRARED (IR) SATELLITE IMAGE:
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
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Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
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