Wednesday, December 03, 2014

Typhoon HAGUPIT Update #003

 



for Wednesday, 03 December 2014 [8:54 PM PhT]

WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES

TYPHOON HAGUPIT UPDATE NUMBER 003
Issued at: 7:00 PM PhT (11:00 GMT) Wednesday 03 December 2014
Next Update: Thursday Morning, 04 December 2014


HAGUPIT has accelerated and strengthens further as it passes south of Yap, Ulithi...remains a threat to Eastern Philippines particularly Eastern Visayas this weekend.

Residents and visitors along Republic of Palau and Eastern Philippines (from Eastern Luzon down to Eastern Mindanao) should closely monitor the development of Hagupit.

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.


CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be affected or that are being affected by the hazards generated by the current tropical cyclone.


None for the next 2 days.


CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION

As of 5:00 PM PhT today...0900 GMT...Dec 03.

Classification/Name: TY Hagupit
Location: Over Yap-Palau Area (near 8.5N 137.5E)
About: 130 km southwest of Yap Island...or 1,270 km east-southeast of Siargao Island
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 175 kph near the center...Gustiness: 215 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near and west of the center): 100 to 300 mm [Heavy to Extreme]
Minimum Central Pressure: 948 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 980 km (Medium)
Area of Damaging Winds (95 kph or more): 95 km from the Center
Past Movement: West-Northwest @ 36 kph
Forecast Movement: West-Northwest @ 27 kph
Towards: Philippine Sea


2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*

TY Hagupit is expected to slow down as it continues to move in a west-northwest track throughout the outlook period. On the forecast track, TY Hagupit will be entering the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) by Thursday early morning...and shall traverse the southeastern part of the Philippine Sea through Friday.

TY Hagupit is expected to continue gaining strength throughout the outlook period as it moves over the warmer sea surface temperatures (SSTs) of the Philippine Sea. Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 10-minute maximum sustained winds increasing rapidly to 215 kph (at near-Super Typhoon strength) by Thursday afternoon.

The following is the 3-day forecast outlook summary for this system:

THURSDAY AFTERNOON: Continues to intensify as it traverses the southeastern part of the Philippine Sea...about 740 km east-northeast of Siargao Island [2PM DEC 04: 10.7N 132.8E @ 215kph].
FRIDAY AFTERNOON: Slightly loses strength after intensifying into a Super Typhoon as it slows down and moving across the central part of the Philippine Sea...about 425 km east-northeast of Guiuan, Eastern Samar [2PM DEC 05: 11.8N 129.5E @ 215kph].
SATURDAY AFTERNOON:Slows down significantly as it slightly turns to the west across the western-central part of the Philippine Sea, closer to Eastern Samar...about 295 km east-northeast of Borongan City, Eastern Samar [2PM DEC 06: 12.0N 128.1E @ 200kph].

*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above hazards summary and forecast outlook changes every 6 to 12 hrs!


ADDITIONAL DISTANCES

Time/Date: 5:00 PM PhT Wed Dec 03, 2014
Location of Eye: Near 8.5º N Lat 137.5º E Lon
Distance 1: 275 km E of P.A.R.
Distance 2: 360 km NE of Koror, Palau
Distance 3: 960 km SW of Hagatna, Guam
Distance 4: 1325 km ESE of Surigao City
Distance 5: 1320 km ESE of Guiuan, Eastern Samar

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CURRENT TRACKING MAP:

http://weather.com.ph/images/20141203123441.gif

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CURRENT UW-CIMSS/MTSAT-2 SATELLITE ANIMATION:

http://weather.com.ph/images/20141203112151.GIF

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CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 INFRARED (IR) SATELLITE IMAGE
:


http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/22W/imagery/rbtop0-lalo.gif


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NOTE:

>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

   
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
   
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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For the complete details on TY HAGUPIT...go visit our website @:

>
http://www.typhoon2000.com
http://www.maybagyo.com

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http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm


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Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
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