Saturday, July 11, 2015

Typhoon CHAN-HOM (FALCON) Final Update

 


Typhoon CHAN-HOM (FALCON) Final Update



WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES

TYPHOON CHAN-HOM (FALCON) UPDATE NUMBER 007 [FINAL]

Issued at: 7:45 AM PhT (23:45 GMT) Saturday 11 July 2015

Typhoon CHAN-HOM (FALCON) approaching the shores of Zhejiang and Jiangsu Provinces as it weakened further...expected to pass close to the east of Shanghai, China late tonight or early Sunday morning. Strong winds and heavy rains to be felt across the area.

This cyclone, although far, will continue to enhance the Southwest Monsoon (Hanging Habagat) and will bring occasional to frequent rains with thunderstorms and moderate to strong winds of 20-60 kph across Western Visayas, MiMaRoPa and Western Luzon including Metro Manila today through Sunday (Jul 12). Residents are advised to take precautionary measures against possible flashfloods or landslides.

*This is the last and final update on TY Chan-Hom (Falcon).

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.


DIRECT CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be directly affected or that are being directly affected by the hazards generated by this current tropical cyclone.


None.


CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION

As of 5:00 AM PhT today, July 11...2100 GMT.

Classification/Name: TY CHAN-HOM (FALCON)
Location: Just along the coast of Northeastern Zhejiang Province (near 28.3N 123.1E)
About: 235 km southeast of Ningbo, China...or 370 km south-southeast of Shanghai, China
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 160 kph near the center...Gustiness: 195 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near and northeast of the center): 100 to 400 mm [Heavy]
Minimum Central Pressure: 956 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 1,000 km (Medium)
Area of Damaging Winds (95 kph or more): 215 km north and 165 km south from the center
Past Movement: North-Northwest @ 15 kph
Forecast Movement: North-Northwest @ 15 kph
Towards: Coastal Zhejiang-Yellow Sea Area


2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK

TY CHAN-HOM (FALCON) is expected to maintain its slow northwesterly track during the next 24 hours...and shall recurve to the north and north-northeast through the remainder of the outlook period. On the forecast track, CHAN-HOM will be passing very close to the shores of Eastern Zhejiang and Southeastern Jiangsu today...and shall pass close to the east of Shanghai by early Sunday morning (Jul 12). By early Monday morning, the weakening typhoon shall be over the Central Yellow Sea.

TY CHAN-HOM (FALCON) will continue on its weakening trend within the next 24 hours...and will continue to lose strength rapidly into a strong Tropical Storm (TS) by 48 hours as the system moves across the not-so-warm Yellow Sea. The Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 10-minute maximum sustained winds decreasing to 95 kph by Sunday early morning (Jul 12)...decreasing further rapidly to just 65 kph on Monday early morning (Jul 13).

The following is the 2-day forecast outlook summary* for this system:

SUNDAY EARLY MORNING: Passing very near the coast of Southeastern Jiangsu Province...weakens to a Tropical Storm (TS) as it moves northward...about 115 km east of Shanghai, China [2AM JUL 12: 31.1N 122.6E @ 95kph]. Confidence Level: HIGH.
MONDAY EARLY MORNING: Accelerating slightly north-northeastward across the central part of the Yellow Sea...dissipating and just barely a TS...about 305 km southwest of Seoul, South Korea [2AM JUL 13: 35.8N 124.4E @ 65kph]. Confidence Level: MEDIUM.

*Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.


ADDITIONAL DISTANCES

Time/Date: 5:00 AM PhT Sat Jul 11, 2015
Location of Eye: Near 28.3º N Lat 123.1º E Lon
Distance 1: 240 km ENE of Wenzhou, China
Distance 2: 395 km NNE of Taipei, Taiwan
Distance 3: 435 km NNW of Ishigakijima
Distance 4: 505 km WNW of Okinawa, Japan
Distance 5: 875 km NNE of Basco, Batanes

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for Weather.com.ph


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Typhoon CHAN-HOM (FALCON) Update #006

 


Typhoon CHAN-HOM (FALCON) Update Number 006



WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES

TYPHOON CHAN-HOM (FALCON) UPDATE NUMBER 006

Issued at: 6:45 PM PhT (10:45 GMT) Friday 10 July 2015
Next Update: Saturday Morning, 11 July 2015
Typhoon CHAN-HOM (FALCON) has slowed down as it continues to move in a northwesterly track towards Eastern China...seriously threatening Zhejiang Province.

This cyclone will continue to enhance the Southwest Monsoon (Hanging Habagat) and will bring occasional to frequent rains with thunderstorms and moderate to strong winds of 20-60 kph across Western Visayas, MiMaRoPa and Western Luzon including Metro Manila tonight through Saturday (Jul 11). Residents are advised to take precautionary measures against possible flashfloods or landslides.

Residents and visitors along Northern Taiwan, Southeastern and Eastern China, and the Southern Islands of Japan should closely monitor the development of TY CHAN-HOM (FALCON).

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.


DIRECT CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be directly affected or that are being directly affected by the hazards generated by this current tropical cyclone.


None.


CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION

As of 5:00 PM PhT today, July 10...0900 GMT.

Classification/Name: TY CHAN-HOM (FALCON)
Location: Over the southern part of the East China Sea (near 27.0N 124.2E)
About: 265 km north of Ishigakijima...or 360 km west-northwest of Okinawa, Japan
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 195 kph near the center...Gustiness: 230 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near and southwest of the center): 100 to 200 mm [Heavy]
Minimum Central Pressure: 941 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 1,000 km (Medium)
Area of Damaging Winds (95 kph or more): 230 km north and 185 km south from the center
Past Movement: Northwest @ 21 kph
Forecast Movement: Northwest @ 15 kph
Towards: Eastern China


2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK

TY CHAN-HOM (FALCON) is expected to slow down further while moving in a northwesterly track during the next 24 hours...turns north-northwest to north and north-northeast through the remainder of the outlook period. On the forecast track, CHAN-HOM will be traversing the East China Sea tonight until Saturday afternoon (Jul 11) when it makes landfall over the northeastern part of Zhejiang Province area.

TY CHAN-HOM (FALCON) shall begin with its weakening trend within the next 12 hours...and will continue to lose strength rapidly by 48 hours after the system makes landfall off Southeastern China. The Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 10-minute maximum sustained winds decreasing to 140 kph by Saturday afternoon (Jul 11)...decreasing further rapidly to 95 kph on Sunday afternoon (Jul 12).

The following is the 2-day forecast outlook summary* for this system:

SATURDAY AFTERNOON: Slows down and starts to weaken as it approaches the coast of Northern Zhejiang...about 145 km northeast of Wenzhou City, China [2PM JUL 11: 28.9N 121.8E @ 140kph]. Confidence Level: HIGH.
SUNDAY AFTERNOON: Continues to weaken after making landfall over the northern coast of Zhejiang Province...turns northward to north-northeastward...downgraded into a Tropical Storm (TS)...about 255 km northeast of Shanghai City, China [2PM JUL 12: 33.1N 122.9E @ 95kph]. Confidence Level: HIGH.

*Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.


ADDITIONAL DISTANCES

Time/Date: 5:00 PM PhT Fri Jul 10, 2015
Location of Eye: Near 27.0º N Lat 124.2º E Lon
Distance 1: 340 km NE of Taipei, Taiwan
Distance 2: 765 km NE of Basco, Batanes
Distance 3: 965 km NNE of Santa Ana, Cagayan
Distance 4: 540 km SE of Shanghai, China
Distance 5: 1430 km NNE of Metro Manila

Issued by: Leonilo C. Millanes for Weather.com.ph


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Typhoon CHAN-HOM (FALCON) Update #005

 


Typhoon CHAN-HOM (FALCON) Update Number 005



WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES

TYPHOON CHAN-HOM (FALCON) UPDATE NUMBER 005

Issued at: 7:45 AM PhT (11:45 GMT) Friday 10 July 2015
Next Update: Friday Evening, 10 July 2015

Typhoon CHAN-HOM (FALCON) has intensified rapidly as it passed in between the Islands of Okinawa and Ishigakijima early this morning...now outside of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR). This powerful typhoon is now a serious threat to Eastern China particularly Zhejiang Province.


This cyclone will continue to enhance the Southwest Monsoon (Hanging Habagat) and will bring occasional to frequent rains with thunderstorms and moderate to strong winds of 20-60 kph across Western Visayas, MiMaRoPa and Western Luzon including Metro Manila today through Saturday (Jul 10-11). Residents are advised to take precautionary measures against possible flashfloods or landslides.

Residents and visitors along Northern Taiwan, Southeastern and Eastern China, and the Southern Islands of Japan should closely monitor the development of TY CHAN-HOM (FALCON).

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.


DIRECT CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be directly affected or that are being directly affected by the hazards generated by this current tropical cyclone.


None.


CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION

As of 5:00 AM PhT today, July 10...2100 GMT.

Classification/Name: TY CHAN-HOM (FALCON)
Location: Over the southern part of the East China Sea (near 25.4N 125.9E)
About: 200 km northeast of Ishigakijima...or 225 km southwest of Okinawa, Japan
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 200 kph near the center...Gustiness: 240 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near and southwest of the center): 100 to 200 mm [Heavy]
Minimum Central Pressure: 937 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 1,000 km (Medium)
Area of Damaging Winds (95 kph or more): 295 km north and 205 km south from the center
Past Movement: Northwest @ 27 kph
Forecast Movement: Northwest @ 29 kph
Towards: Eastern China


2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK

TY CHAN-HOM (FALCON) is expected to continue moving on a generally fast northwesterly track within the next 24 hours...decreasing its forward speed as it turns north-northwest through the remainder of the outlook period. On the forecast track, CHAN-HOM will be traversing the East China Sea today until early Saturday morning. By Sunday early morning (Jul 11), the typhoon shall make landfall over northeastern part of Zhejiang Province area.

TY CHAN-HOM (FALCON) could still intensify within the next 12 hours before it starts to decay through 24 hours...and eventually weaken rapidly by 48 hours due to the system making landfall off Southeastern China. The Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 10-minute maximum sustained winds increasing to 205 kph by early Saturday morning (Jul 11)...and decreasing to 150 kph on the first morning hours of Sunday (Jul 12).

The following is the 3-day forecast outlook summary* for this system:

SATURDAY EARLY MORNING: Approaches the coast of Zhejiang Province as it starts to weaken...about 160 km west-southwest of Wenzhou City, China [2AM JUL 11: 27.8N 122.3E @ 195kph]. Confidence Level: HIGH.
SUNDAY EARLY MORNING: Continues to weaken as it slows down and turns northward...makes landfall over the northern coast of Zhejiang Province...about 65 km southwest of Ningbo City, China [2AM JUL 12: 29.4N 121.2E @ 140kph]. Confidence Level: HIGH.
MONDAY EARLY MORNING: Weakens into a Tropical Storm (TS) and recurves to the north-northeast slowly across the southeastern part of Jiangsu Province...about 185 km north-northeast of Shanghai City, China [2AM JUL 13: 32.7N 122.3E @ 95kph]. Confidence Level: LOW.

*Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.


ADDITIONAL DISTANCES

Time/Date: 5:00 AM PhT Fri Jul 10, 2015
Location of Eye: Near 25.4º N Lat 125.9º E Lon
Distance 1: 435 km E of Taipei, Taiwan
Distance 2: 685 km NE of Basco, Batanes
Distance 3: 855 km NNE of Santa Ana, Cagayan
Distance 4: 790 km SE of Shanghai, China
Distance 5: 1300 km NNE of Metro Manila

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for Weather.com.ph


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Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
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Friday, July 10, 2015

Typhoon CHAN-HOM (FALCON) Update #004

 


Typhoon CHAN-HOM (FALCON) Update Number 004



WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES

TYPHOON CHAN-HOM (FALCON) UPDATE NUMBER 004

Issued at: 7:45 PM PhT (11:45 GMT) Thursday 09 July 2015
Next Update: Friday Morning, 10 July 2015
Typhoon CHAN-HOM (FALCON) maintains its strength as it continues to move in a northwesterly track across the North Philippine Sea... The threat to Ryukyus, Northern Taiwan, and Southeastern China increases.

This cyclone will continue to enhance the Southwest Monsoon (Hanging Habagat) and will bring occasional to frequent rains with thunderstorms and moderate to strong winds of 20-60 kph across Western Visayas, MiMaRoPa and Western Luzon including Metro Manila today through Saturday (Jul 09-11). Residents are advised to take precautionary measures against possible flashfloods or landslides.

Meanwhile, Typhoon LINFA (EGAY) has weakened into a Tropical Storm (TS) after it made landfall along the eastern coast of Guandong Province, China. At 5:00 pm today, its center was located some 155 km east-northeast of Hongkong City, China or about 735 km west-northwest of Itbayat, Batanes (22.8N 115.0E)... with maximum sustained winds of 110 kph near the center and gustiness up to 140 kph. It was moving West-Northwest at 19 kph during the past 6 hours along the coasts of Guangdong Province, China.

Residents and visitors along Batanes Islands, Taiwan, Southeastern and Eastern China, and the Southern Islands of Japan should closely monitor the development of TY CHAN-HOM (FALCON).

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.


DIRECT CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be directly affected or that are being directly affected by the hazards generated by this current tropical cyclone.


None.


CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION

As of 5:00 PM PhT today, July 09...0900 GMT.

Classification/Name: TY CHAN-HOM (FALCON)
Location: Over the mid-northernmost part of the North Philippine Sea (near 23.9N 128.2E)
About: 740 km east-northeast of Basco, Batanes...or 290 km south-southeast of Okinawa, Japan
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 160 kph near the center...Gustiness: 195 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near and southwest of the center): 100 to 250 mm [Heavy]
Minimum Central Pressure: 956 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 1,000 km (Medium)
Area of Damaging Winds (95 kph or more): 175 km south and 220 km north from the center
Past Movement: Northwest @ 25 kph
Forecast Movement: Northwest @ 25 kph
Towards: Ryukyus


2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK

There is no change in its forecast outlook, TY CHAN-HOM (FALCON) is expected to continue moving on a generally northwest track.. On the forecast track, CHAN-HOM will be exiting the northern border of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) late tonight. By Friday through Saturday (Jul 11), the typhoon shall be traversing the East China Sea...and shall make landfall over the coast of Zhejiang Province on Saturday noon.

TY CHAN-HOM (FALCON) will continue to strengthen through the next 12 to 24 hours...and eventually weaken by 48 hours due to the system making landfall off Southeastern China. The Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 10-minute maximum sustained winds increasing to 195 kph by Friday afternoon (Jul 10)...and decreasing to 185 kph on Saturday afternoon.

The following is the 3-day forecast outlook summary* for this system:

FRIDAY AFTERNOON: Intensifies as it moves in a northwesterly track across the East China Sea...about 250 km north-northwest of Ishigakijima [2PM JUL 10: 26.7N 123.9E @ 195kph]. Confidence Level: HIGH.
SATURDAY AFTERNOON: Reaches its peak strength as it maintains its northwesterly track...makes landfall over the southern coast of Zhejiang Province...about 65 km north-northwest of Wenzhou City, China [2PM JUL 11: 28.5N 120.4E @ 185kph]. Confidence Level: HIGH.
SUNDAY AFTERNOON: Weakens and recurves to north and north-northeast slowly across Zhejiang Province...about 35 km north-northwest of Shanghai City, China [2PM JUL 12: 31.5N 121.3E @ 130kph]. Confidence Level: LOW.

*Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.


ADDITIONAL DISTANCES

Time/Date: 5:00 PM PhT Thu Jul 09, 2015
Location of Eye: Near 23.9º N Lat 128.2º E Lon
Distance 1: 400 km ESE of Ishigakijima
Distance 2: 745 km ENE of Itbayat, Batanes
Distance 3: 865 km NE of Santa Ana, Cagayan
Distance 4: 680 km ESE of Taipei, Taiwan
Distance 5: 1290 km NE of Metro Manila

Issued by: Leonilo C. Millanes for Weather.com.ph


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Thursday, July 09, 2015

Typhoon CHAN-HOM (FALCON) Update #003 [Corrected]

 


Typhoon CHAN-HOM (FALCON) Update Number 003 [Corrected]



WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES

TYPHOON CHAN-HOM (FALCON) UPDATE NUMBER 003

Issued at: 7:30 AM PhT (23:30 GMT) Thursday 09 July 2015
Next Update: Thursday Evening, 09 July 2015
Typhoon CHAN-HOM (FALCON) still on a northwesterly track across the North Philippine Sea...continues to intensify. The threat to Ryukyus, Northern Taiwan, and Southeastern China increases.

This cyclone will continue to enhance the Southwest Monsoon (Hanging Habagat) and will bring occasional to frequent rains with thundersorms and moderate to strong winds of 20-60 kph across Western Visayas, MiMaRoPa and Western Luzon including Metro Manila today through Saturday (Jul 09-11). Residents are advised to take precautionary measures against possible flashfloods or landslides.

Meanwhile, at 5:00 am today, Typhoon LINFA (EGAY) upgraded from Tropical Storm (TS) was located some 95 km southeast of Shantou City, China or about 520 km west-northwest of Itbayat, Batanes (22.7N 117.2E)... with maximum sustained winds of 120 kph near the center and gustiness up to 150 kph. It was moving West-Northwest at 11 kph during the past 6 hours in the general direction of the coastal areas of Guangdong Province, China. This typhoon is currently threatening Hong Kong and Macau.

Residents and visitors along Batanes Islands, Taiwan, Southeastern and Eastern China, and the Southern Islands of Japan should closely monitor the development of TY CHAN-HOM (FALCON).

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.


DIRECT CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be directly affected or that are being directly affected by the hazards generated by this current tropical cyclone.


None.


CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION

As of 5:00 AM PhT today, July 09...2100 GMT.

Classification/Name: TY CHAN-HOM (FALCON)
Location: Over the northeastern part of the North Philippine Sea (near 22.1N 130.0E)
About: 845 km east-northeast of Basco, Batanes...or 540 km south-southeast of Okinawa, Japan
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 160 kph near the center...Gustiness: 195 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near and southwest of the center): 100 to 250 mm [Heavy]
Minimum Central Pressure: 956 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 980 km (Medium)
Area of Damaging Winds (95 kph or more): 120 km south and 100 km north from the center
Past Movement: Northwest @ 23 kph
Forecast Movement: Northwest @ 25 kph
Towards: Northern Taiwan-Ryukyus Area


2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK

There is no change in its forecast outlook, TY CHAN-HOM (FALCON) is expected to continue moving on a generally northwest track...accelerating slightly during the second half of the outlook period. On the forecast track, CHAN-HOM will be passing over the northernmost part of the North Philippine Sea this morning through early Friday morning (Jul 09), exiting the northern border of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR). By early Saturday morning (Jul 11), the typhoon shall be off the coast of Zhejiang and Fujian Provinces as it prepares to make landfall.

TY CHAN-HOM (FALCON) will continue to strengthen through the next 12 to 24 hours...and eventually weaken by 48 hours due to the system making landfall off Southeastern China. The Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 10-minute maximum sustained winds increasing to 200 kph by early Friday morning (Jul 10)...and decreasing to 150 kph on Saturday.

The following is the 3-day forecast outlook summary* for this system:

FRIDAY EARLY MORNING: Continues to intensify as it moves close to Ishigakijima and Yaeyama Islands...exits PAR...about 160 km east-northeast of Ishigakijima [2AM JUL 10: 24.9N 125.8E @ 195kph]. Confidence Level: HIGH.
SATURDAY EARLY MORNING: Reaches its peak strength as it maintains its northwesterly track, prepares to make landfall near Zhejiang-Fujian Border...about 165 km southeast of Wenzhou City, China [2AM JUL 11: 27.1N 122.0E @ 200kph]. Confidence Level: MEDIUM.
SUNDAY EARLY MORNING: Weakens after making landfall...moving over land slowly across Zhejiang Province...about 65 km north-northwest of Wenzhou City, China [2AM JUL 12: 28.5N 120.4E @ 150kph]. Confidence Level: LOW.

*Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.


ADDITIONAL DISTANCES

Time/Date: 5:00 AM PhT Thu Jul 09, 2015
Location of Eye: Near 22.1º N Lat 130.0º E Lon
Distance 1: 645 km SE of Ishigakijima
Distance 2: 860 km ENE of Itbayat, Batanes
Distance 3: 900 km NE of Santa Ana, Cagayan
Distance 4: 915 km ESE of Taipei, Taiwan
Distance 5: 1255 km NE of Metro Manila

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for Weather.com.ph


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Typhoon CHAN-HOM (FALCON) Update #003

 


Typhoon CHAN-HOM (FALCON) Update Number 003



WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES

TYPHOON CHAN-HOM (FALCON) UPDATE NUMBER 003

Issued at: 7:30 AM PhT (23:30 GMT) Wednesday 08 July 2015
Next Update: Thursday Evening, 10 July 2015
Typhoon CHAN-HOM (FALCON) still on a northwesterly track across the North Philippine Sea...continues to intensify. The threat to Ryukyus, Northern Taiwan, and Southeastern China increases.

This cyclone will continue to enhance the Southwest Monsoon (Hanging Habagat) and will bring occasional to frequent rains with thundersorms and moderate to strong winds of 20-60 kph across Western Visayas, MiMaRoPa and Western Luzon including Metro Manila today through Saturday (Jul 09-11). Residents are advised to take precautionary measures against possible flashfloods or landslides.

Meanwhile, at 5:00 am today, Typhoon LINFA (EGAY) upgraded from Tropical Storm (TS) was located some 95 km southeast of Shantou City, China or about 520 km west-northwest of Itbayat, Batanes (22.7N 117.2E)... with maximum sustained winds of 120 kph near the center and gustiness up to 150 kph. It was moving West-Northwest at 11 kph during the past 6 hours in the general direction of the coastal areas of Guangdong Province, China. This typhoon is currently threatening Hong Kong and Macau.

Residents and visitors along Batanes Islands, Taiwan, Southeastern and Eastern China, and the Southern Islands of Japan should closely monitor the development of TY CHAN-HOM (FALCON).

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.


DIRECT CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be directly affected or that are being directly affected by the hazards generated by this current tropical cyclone.


None.


CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION

As of 5:00 AM PhT today, July 09...2100 GMT.

Classification/Name: TY CHAN-HOM (FALCON)
Location: Over the northeastern part of the North Philippine Sea (near 22.1N 130.0E)
About: 845 km east-northeast of Basco, Batanes...or 540 km south-southeast of Okinawa, Japan
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 160 kph near the center...Gustiness: 195 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near and southwest of the center): 100 to 250 mm [Heavy]
Minimum Central Pressure: 956 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 980 km (Medium)
Area of Damaging Winds (95 kph or more): 120 km south and 100 km north from the center
Past Movement: Northwest @ 23 kph
Forecast Movement: Northwest @ 25 kph
Towards: Northern Taiwan-Ryukyus Area


2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK

There is no change in its forecast outlook, TY CHAN-HOM (FALCON) is expected to continue moving on a generally northwest track...accelerating slightly during the second half of the outlook period. On the forecast track, CHAN-HOM will be passing over the northernmost part of the North Philippine Sea this morning through early Friday morning (Jul 09), exiting the northern border of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR). By early Saturday morning (Jul 11), the typhoon shall be off the coast of Zhejiang and Fujian Provinces as it prepares to make landfall.

TY CHAN-HOM (FALCON) will continue to strengthen through the next 12 to 24 hours...and eventually weaken by 48 hours due to the system making landfall off Southeastern China. The Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 10-minute maximum sustained winds increasing to 200 kph by early Friday morning (Jul 10)...and decreasing to 150 kph on Saturday.

The following is the 3-day forecast outlook summary* for this system:

FRIDAY EARLY MORNING: Continues to intensify as it moves close to Ishigakijima and Yaeyama Islands...exits PAR...about 160 km east-northeast of Ishigakijima [2AM JUL 10: 24.9N 125.8E @ 195kph]. Confidence Level: HIGH.
SATURDAY EARLY MORNING: Reaches its peak strength as it maintains its northwesterly track, prepares to make landfall near Zhejiang-Fujian Border...about 165 km southeast of Wenzhou City, China [2AM JUL 11: 27.1N 122.0E @ 200kph]. Confidence Level: MEDIUM.
SUNDAY EARLY MORNING: Weakens after making landfall...moving over land slowly across Zhejiang Province...about 65 km north-northwest of Wenzhou City, China [2AM JUL 12: 28.5N 120.4E @ 150kph]. Confidence Level: LOW.

*Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.


ADDITIONAL DISTANCES

Time/Date: 5:00 AM PhT Thu Jul 09, 2015
Location of Eye: Near 22.1º N Lat 130.0º E Lon
Distance 1: 645 km SE of Ishigakijima
Distance 2: 860 km ENE of Itbayat, Batanes
Distance 3: 900 km NE of Santa Ana, Cagayan
Distance 4: 915 km ESE of Taipei, Taiwan
Distance 5: 1255 km NE of Metro Manila

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for Weather.com.ph


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Wednesday, July 08, 2015

Typhoon CHAN-HOM (FALCON) Update #002

 

Typhoon CHAN-HOM (FALCON) Update Number 002





WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES

TYPHOON CHAN-HOM (FALCON) UPDATE NUMBER 002

Issued at: 7:45 PM PhT (11:45 GMT) Wednesday 08 July 2015
Next Update: Thursday Morning, 09 July 2015
Typhoon CHAN-HOM (FALCON) has slightly strengthened as it moves along the open waters of the North Philippine Sea. This system is forecast to threaten the Ryukyus, Northern Taiwan, and Southeastern China this weekend.

This cyclone will continue to enhance the Southwest Monsoon (Hanging Habagat) and will bring occasional to frequent rains with moderate to strong winds of 20-60 kph across Western Visayas and Western Luzon including Metro Manila tonight through Saturday (Jul 09-11). Residents are advised to take precautionary measures against possible flashfloods or landslides.

Meanwhile, at 5:00 pm today, Tropical Storm LINFA (EGAY) was located some 180 km west-southwest of Kaohsiung City, Taiwan or about 365 km west-northwest of Itbayat, Batanes (22.2N 118.6E)... with maximum sustained winds of 95 kph near the center and gustiness up to 120 kph. It was moving Northwestward at 06 kph during the past 6 hours in the general direction of Southern China.

Residents and visitors along Extreme Northern Luzon, Taiwan, Southeastern and Eastern China, and the Southern Islands of Japan should closely monitor the development of TY CHAN-HOM (FALCON).

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.


DIRECT CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be directly affected or that are being directly affected by the hazards generated by this current tropical cyclone.


None.


CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION

As of 5:00 PM PhT today, July 08...0900 GMT.

Classification/Name: TY CHAN-HOM (FALCON)
Location: Over the northeastern part of the North Philippine Sea (near 20.7N 131.9E)
About: 1,045 km east-northeast of Santa Ana, Cagayan...or 1,040 km east of Basco, Batanes
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 150 kph near the center...Gustiness: 185 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near and southwest of the center): 100 to 300 mm [Heavy to Extreme]
Minimum Central Pressure: 959 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 980 km (Medium)
Area of Damaging Winds (95 kph or more): 120 km east and 100 km west from the center
Past Movement: Northwest @ 26 kph
Forecast Movement: Northwest @ 21 kph
Towards: Northern Taiwan-Ryukyus Area


2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK

TY CHAN-HOM (FALCON) is expected to maintain its northwesterly track...accelerating slightly during the second half of the outlook period. On the forecast track, CHAN-HOM will be passing over the northeastern part of the North Philippine Sea this evening through Thursday night (Jul 09)...exiting the northern border of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) by Friday early morning (Jul 10).

TY CHAN-HOM (FALCON) will continue to strengthen throughout the forecast outlook, with a possibility of becoming a minimal Super Typhoon. The Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 10-minute maximum sustained winds increasing to 205 kph by Friday afternoon (Jul 10).

The following is the 3-day forecast outlook summary* for this system:

THURSDAY AFTERNOON: Continues to intensify as it moves across the North Philippine Sea on a northwesterly track...about 735 km east-northeast of Basco, Batanes [2PM JUL 09: 23.2N 128.4E @ 185kph]. Confidence Level: HIGH.
FRIDAY AFTERNOON: Reaches its peak strength as it maintains its northwesterly track, passing north of Ishigakijima-Yaeyama Islands...outside the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR)...about 250 km northeast of Taipei, Taiwan [2PM JUL 10: 26.2N 123.8E @ 205kph]. Confidence Level: HIGH.
SATURDAY AFTERNOON: Weakens as it makes landfall over the coast of Southeastern China...about 25 km northwest of Wenzhou City, China [2PM JUL 11: 28.1N 120.5E @ 150kph]. Confidence Level: MEDIUM.

*Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.


ADDITIONAL DISTANCES

Time/Date: 5:00 PM PhT Wed Jul 08, 2015
Location of Eye: Near 20.7º N Lat 131.9º E Lon
Distance 1: 770 km SE of Okinawa, Japan
Distance 2: 895 km ESE of Ishigakijima
Distance 3: 1115 km ENE of Tuguegarao City, Cagayan
Distance 4: 1160 km ESE of Taipei, Taiwan
Distance 5: 1345 km NE of Metro Manila

Issued by: Leonilo C. Millanes for Weather.com.ph

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Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
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