Sunday, August 23, 2015

Typhoon GONI (INENG) Update Number 019

 

Typhoon GONI (INENG) Update Number 019



WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES

TYPHOON GONI (INENG) UPDATE NUMBER 019

Issued at: 7:30 PM PhT (11:30 GMT) Sunday 23 August 2015
Next Update: Monday Morning, 24 August 2015

Typhoon GONI (INENG) has moved northeastward during the past 6 hours as it regained back its strength...about to exit the northern border of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR). Its southwestern outer rainbands has already left the Batanes and Babuyan Group of Islands, however, cloudiness associated with the enhanced monsoon will continue to bring on-and-off rains across the area.

GONI will continue to enhance the Southwest Monsoon (Hanging Habagat) bringing occasional to frequent rains with thunderstorms across Western Luzon, Palawan incl. Calamian Group, Cuyo and Pamalican Islands, Panay, Lubang Island, Mindoro, Batangas, Cavite, Laguna, and Metro Manila today and through the next two days. Residents are advised to take precautionary measures against possible flashfloods or landslides especially during heavy downpour.

Residents and visitors along Taiwan, Ryukyus, and Western Japan should closely monitor the development of TY GONI (INENG).

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.


DIRECT CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be directly affected or that are being directly affected by the hazards generated by this current tropical cyclone.


RAINFALL [together with the effect of the Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) being directly enhanced by GONI (INENG)]

  • Heavy Rains (50 mm to 100 mm): Batanes and Babuyan Group of Islands, Cordillera Administrative Region (CAR), Ilocos Provinces, some portions of La Union, Western Zambales, Westernmost part of Pangasinan and Occidental Mindoro - Today through Monday Morning.
  • Moderate to Heavy Rains (30 mm to 50 mm): Rest of Pangasinan, Northern Palawan incl. the Calamian Group of Islands, Western Panay incl. Iloilo City and portions of Negros Occidental incl. Bacolod City - Today through Monday Morning.


CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION

As of 5:00 PM PhT today, August 23...0900 GMT.

Classification/Name: TY GONI (INENG)
Location: Over the northern part of the East Taiwan Sea or along the Yaeyama Islands (near 24.1N 123.8E)
About: 441 km north-northeast of Basco, Batanes...or 67 km southwest of Ishigakijima
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 160 kph near the center...Gustiness: 195 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near the center): 100 to 200 mm [Heavy]
Minimum Central Pressure: 956 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 520 km (Small)
Area of Damaging Winds 100 kph or more wind gusts): 140 km from the center
Past Movement: Northeast @ 12 kph
Forecast Movement: Northeast @ 26 kph
Towards: Ryukyus


2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK

TY GONI (INENG) is expected to move northeastward during the next 24 hours...accelerating and turning to the north-northeast on the remainder of the outlook period. On the forecast track, GONI will be passing just to the north of Okinawa on Monday afternoon (Aug 24). It shall then make landfall over the Northwestern Kyushu on Tuesday morning (Aug 25)...and emerging over the Sea of Japan Tuesday afternoon.

TY GONI (INENG) will continue to regain strength within 24 hours...and shall start weakening anew at the end of the outlook period. The Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 10-minute maximum sustained winds increasing back to 175 kph on Monday afternoon (Aug 24)...and decreasing to 140 kph on Tuesday afternoon (Aug 25).

The following is the 2-day forecast outlook summary* for this system:

MONDAY AFTERNOON: Continues to re-intensify as it passes to the north of Okinawa and the Ryukyus...about 163 km north-northwest of Okinawa, Japan [2PM AUG 24: 27.9N 127.3E @ 175kph]. Confidence Level: HIGH.
TUESDAY AFTERNOON: Turns north-northeastward...increases its forward speed while moving across the Northeastern part of Kyushu, Japan...starts to weaken...becoming an Extratropical Cyclone...about 149 km north-northeast of Fukuoka, Japan [2PM AUG 25: 34.8N 130.8E @ 140kph]. Confidence Level: HIGH.

*Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.


ADDITIONAL DISTANCES

Time/Date: 5:00 PM PhT Sun Aug 23, 2015
Location of Eye: Near 24.1º N Lat 123.8º E Lon
Distance 1: 224 km E of Hualien City, Taiwan
Distance 2: 244 km ESE of Taipei, Taiwan
Distance 3: 420 km NE of Itbayat, Batanes
Distance 4: 482 km WSW of Okinawa, Japan
Distance 5: 1093 km NNE of Metro Manila

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for Weather.com.ph

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Typhoon GONI (INENG) Update Number 018

 

Typhoon GONI (INENG) Update Number 018



WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES

TYPHOON GONI (INENG) UPDATE NUMBER 018

Issued at: 8:15 AM PhT (00:15 GMT) Sunday 23 August 2015
Next Update: Sunday Evening, 23 August 2015

Typhoon GONI (INENG) is now moving generally northward across the East Taiwan Sea...farther away from the Batanes Group of Islands. Its southwestern outer rainbands are still bringing occasional rains across the Batanes and Babuyan Group of Islands.

GONI will continue to enhance the Southwest Monsoon (Hanging Habagat) bringing occasional to frequent rains with thunderstorms across Western Luzon, Palawan incl. Calamian Group, Cuyo and Pamalican Islands, Panay, Lubang Island, Mindoro, Batangas, Cavite, Laguna, and Metro Manila today and through the next two days. Residents are advised to take precautionary measures against possible flashfloods or landslides especially during heavy downpour.

Residents and visitors along Taiwan, Ryukyus, and Western Japan should closely monitor the development of TY GONI (INENG).

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.


DIRECT CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be directly affected or that are being directly affected by the hazards generated by this current tropical cyclone.


RAINFALL [together with the effect of the Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) being directly enhanced by GONI (INENG)]

  • Heavy Rains (50 mm to 100 mm): Batanes and Babuyan Group of Islands, Cordillera Administrative Region (CAR), Ilocos Provinces, some portions of La Union, Western Zambales, Westernmost part of Pangasinan and Occidental Mindoro - Today through Monday Morning.
  • Moderate to Heavy Rains (30 mm to 50 mm): Rest of Pangasinan, Northern Palawan incl. the Calamian Group of Islands, Western Panay incl. Iloilo City and portions of Negros Occidental incl. Bacolod City - Today through Monday Morning.


CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION

As of 5:00 AM PhT today, August 23...2100 GMT.

Classification/Name: TY GONI (INENG)
Location: Over the mid-easternmost part of the East Taiwan Sea (near 22.9N 123.3E)
About: 309 km north-northeast of Basco, Batanes...or 205 km southwest of Ishigakijima
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 140 kph near the center...Gustiness: 175 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near the center): 100 to 250 mm [Heavy]
Minimum Central Pressure: 963 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 500 km (Small)
Area of Damaging Winds 100 kph or more wind gusts): 140 km from the center
Past Movement: North @ 19 kph
Forecast Movement: North-Northeast to Northeast @ 15 kph
Towards: Ryukyus


2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK

TY GONI (INENG) is expected to move north-northeast during the next 24 hours...accelerating and turning to the northeast on the remainder of the outlook period. On the forecast track, GONI will be moving out of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) early Monday morning (Aug 24). It shall then traverse the East China Sea...and will be approaching the western coast of Kyushu, Japan on Tuesday early morning (Aug 25).

TY GONI (INENG) will slightly regain strength within 24 hours...and shall start weakening anew at the end of the outlook period. The Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 10-minute maximum sustained winds increasing back to 165 kph on Monday early morning (Aug 24)...and decreasing to 160 kph on Tuesday early morning (Aug 24).

The following is the 2-day forecast outlook summary* for this system:

MONDAY EARLY MORNING: Slightly re-intensifies while crossing the northern border of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) ...about 93 km northeast of Ishigakijima [2AM AUG 24: 25.3N 124.8E @ 165kph]. Confidence Level: HIGH.
TUESDAY EARLY MORNING: Turns northeastward...increases its forward speed while moving across the eastern part of the East China Sea on its way to western Japan...starts to decay...about 137 km west-southwest of Kagoshima City, Japan [2AM AUG 25: 25.3N 124.8E @ 160kph]. Confidence Level: HIGH.

*Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.


ADDITIONAL DISTANCES

Time/Date: 5:00 AM PhT Sun Aug 23, 2015
Location of Eye: Near 22.9º N Lat 123.3º E Lon
Distance 1: 280 km NNE of Itbayat, Batanes
Distance 2: 452 km NNE of Calayan Is., Cagayan
Distance 3: 516 km NNE of Santa Ana, Cagayan
Distance 4: 598 km SW of Okinawa, Japan
Distance 5: 965 km NNE of Metro Manila

Issued by: Leonilo C. Millanes for Weather.com.ph

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Typhoon GONI (INENG) Update Number 017

 

Typhoon GONI (INENG) Update Number 017



WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES

TYPHOON GONI (INENG) UPDATE NUMBER 017

Issued at: 1:30 AM PhT (17:30 GMT) Sunday 23 August 2015
Next Update: Sunday Morning, 23 August 2015

Typhoon GONI (INENG) has moved a little bit faster towards the north-northeast in the general direction of Yaeyama and Ryukyu Islands...farther away from Batanes...likely to move out of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) Sunday night. Its southwestern outer rainbands is still bringing occasional rains with strong winds across Batanes and Babuyan Group of Islands. The vast network of WeatherPhilippines Automated Weather Stations (AWS) across Ilocos Provinces and Cagayan have recorded 200 to 400 mm of accumulated rainfall (24-hours) during the close passage of GONI.

GONI will continue to enhance the Southwest Monsoon (Hanging Habagat) bringing occasional to frequent rains with thunderstorms across Western Luzon, Palawan incl. Calamian Group, Cuyo and Pamalican Islands, Panay, Lubang Island, Mindoro, Batangas, Cavite, Laguna, and Metro Manila today and through the next two to three days. Residents are advised to take precautionary measures against possible flashfloods or landslides especially during heavy downpour.

Residents and visitors along Taiwan, Ryukyus, and Western Japan should closely monitor the development of TY GONI (INENG).

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.


DIRECT CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be directly affected or that are being directly affected by the hazards generated by this current tropical cyclone.


RAINFALL [together with the effect of the Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) being directly enhanced by GONI (INENG)]

  • Heavy to Extreme Rains (100 mm or more): Cordillera Administrative Region (CAR), Ilocos Provinces, and some portions of La Union - Tonight through Sunday Evening.
  • Heavy Rains (50 mm to 100 mm): Western Zambales, Westernmost part of Pangasinan, and the Rest of Northern Luzon (except for Isabela and Northern Aurora) - Tonight through Sunday Evening.
  • Moderate to Heavy Rains (30 mm to 50 mm): Rest of Pangasinan, Nueva Vizcaya, and other parts of Central Luzon - Tonight through Sunday Evening.

WINDS
  • Tropical Storm Force Winds (Gusts of 75-100 kph): Batanes Group of Islands - Until Early Sunday Morning.

STORM SURGE
  • Possible coastal storm surge flooding of 1.2-1.7 m (4-5 ft) above normal tide levels...accompanied by large and dangerous battering waves can be expected along the coastal, inland lakes and beach front areas of Batanes Group of Islands - today. Minimal damage is likely on this type of storm surge. Danger from Rip Currents or Rip Tides can be expected along the beach-front areas of Extreme Northern Luzon. (click here to know more about Storm Surge).


CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION

As of 11:00 PM PhT yesterday, August 22...1500 GMT.

Classification/Name: TY GONI (INENG)
Location: Over the northeastern part of Bashi Channel (near 21.9N 123.2E)
About: 208 km northeast of Basco, Batanes...or 310 km south-southwest of Ishigakijima
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 140 kph near the center...Gustiness: 175 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near the center): 100 to 300 mm [Heavy to Extreme]
Minimum Central Pressure: 963 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 500 km (Small)
Area of Damaging Winds 100 kph or more wind gusts): 130 km from the center
Past Movement: North-Northeast @ 19 kph
Forecast Movement: North-Northeast to Northeast @ 17 kph
Towards: Yaeyama-Ryukyus Area


2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK

TY GONI (INENG) is expected to continue moving north-northeast with increasing forward speed during the next 24 hours...turning slightly to the northeast on the remainder of the outlook period. On the forecast track, GONI will pass over the Yaeyama Island Chain by late Sunday afternoon or evening (Aug 23)...before moving out of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR). On Monday evening (Aug 24), GONI shall be over the northern part of Ryukyus as it approaches the western coast of Kyushu, Japan.

TY GONI (INENG) will slightly regain strength within 24 hours...and shall start weakening anew at the end of the outlook period. The Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 10-minute maximum sustained winds increasing back to 165 kph on Sunday evening...and decreasing to 160 kph on Monday evening (Aug 24).

The following is the 3-day forecast outlook summary* for this system:

SUNDAY EVENING: Slightly re-intensifies while passing across the Yaeyama Island Chain and exiting PAR...about 67 km east-northeast of Ishigakijima [8PM AUG 23: 24.9N 124.7E @ 165kph]. Confidence Level: HIGH.
MONDAY EVENING: Turns slightly to northeastward...increases its forward speed while moving across Northern Ryukyus...starts to decay...about 281 km southwest of Kagoshima City, Japan [8PM AUG 24: 29.6N 128.8E @ 160kph]. Confidence Level: HIGH.
TUESDAY EVENING: Significantly accelerates while crossing Kyushu and Westernmost Honshu...starts transitioning into an Extra-Tropical (Middle-Latitude) Cyclone while over the Sea of Japan...just a Tropical Storm...about 201 km north of Hiroshima, Japan [2PM AUG 25: 36.2N 132.6E @ 110kph]. Confidence Level: MEDIUM.

*Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.


ADDITIONAL DISTANCES

Time/Date: 11:00 PM PhT Sat Aug 22, 2015
Location of Eye: Near 21.9º N Lat 123.2º E Lon
Distance 1: 190 km NE of Itbayat, Batanes
Distance 2: 339 km NNE of Calayan Is., Cagayan
Distance 3: 392 km NNE of Santa Ana, Cagayan
Distance 4: 692 km SW of Okinawa, Japan
Distance 5: 841 km NNE of Metro Manila

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for Weather.com.ph

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Saturday, August 22, 2015

Typhoon GONI (INENG) Update Number 016

 

Typhoon GONI (INENG) Update Number 016



WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES

TYPHOON GONI (INENG) UPDATE NUMBER 016

Issued at: 7:15 PM PhT (11:15 GMT) Saturday 22 August 2015
Next Update: Sunday Early Morning, 23 August 2015

Typhoon GONI (INENG) is now starting to move slowly north-northeastward away from the Batanes Group...However, its southwestern inner and outer rainbands will continue to bring stormy weather across the area including Extreme Northern Luzon this evening. The WeatherPhilippines Automated Weather Station (AWS) No. 980638 - Basco Airport BSO (Philippine Airlines) - has recorded wind gusts of 102 down to 87 km/hr between 3:00 PM to 6:00 PM (07:00-10:00 GMT) today.

GONI will continue to enhance the Southwest Monsoon (Hanging Habagat) bringing occasional to frequent rains with thunderstorms across Western Luzon, Palawan incl. Calamian Group, Cuyo and Pamalican Islands, Panay, Lubang Island, Mindoro, Batangas, Cavite, Laguna, and Metro Manila today and through the next two to three days. Residents are advised to take precautionary measures against possible flashfloods or landslides especially during heavy downpour.

Residents and visitors along Extreme Northern Luzon, Taiwan, Ryukyus, and Western Japan should closely monitor the development of TY GONI (INENG).

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.


DIRECT CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be directly affected or that are being directly affected by the hazards generated by this current tropical cyclone.


RAINFALL [together with the effect of the Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) being directly enhanced by GONI (INENG)]

  • Heavy to Extreme Rains (100 mm or more): Batanes Group of Islands, Calayan Island, Northern and Central Cagayan, Cordillera Administrative Region (CAR), Ilocos Provinces, and some portions of La Union - Today.
  • Heavy Rains (50 mm to 100 mm): Zambales, Western Pangasinan, and the Rest of Northern Luzon (except for Isabela and Northern Aurora) - Today.
  • Moderate to Heavy Rains (30 mm to 50 mm): Rest of Pangasinan, Nueva Vizcaya, and other parts of Central Luzon - Today.

WINDS
  • Tropical Storm Force Winds (Gusts of 75-100 kph): Batanes Group of Islands and Babuyan Island - Today.

STORM SURGE
  • Possible coastal storm surge flooding of 1.2-1.7 m (4-5 ft) above normal tide levels...accompanied by large and dangerous battering waves can be expected along the coastal, inland lakes and beach front areas of Batanes Group of Islands - today. Minimal damage is likely on this type of storm surge. Danger from Rip Currents or Rip Tides can be expected along the beach-front areas of Extreme Northern Luzon. (click here to know more about Storm Surge).


CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION

As of 5:00 PM PhT today, August 22...0900 GMT.

Classification/Name: TY GONI (INENG)
Location: Over the eastern part of Bashi Channel (near 20.9N 122.9E)
About: 104 km east-northeast of Basco, Batanes...or 425 km south-southwest of Ishigakijima
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 140 kph near the center...Gustiness: 175 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near the center): 100 to 300 mm [Heavy to Extreme]
Minimum Central Pressure: 963 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 520 km (Small)
Area of Damaging Winds 100 kph or more wind gusts): 130 km from the center
Past Movement: North-Northeast @ 10 kph
Forecast Movement: North-Northeast @ 19 kph
Towards: Yaeyama-Ryukyus Area


2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK

TY GONI (INENG) is expected to move north-northeastward with increasing forward speed during the next 24 hours...turning slightly to the northeast on the remainder of the outlook period. On the forecast track, GONI shall be traversing the northern part of the Bashi Channel and East Taiwan Sea tonight through Sunday. It will be over the Yaeyama Island Chain by Sunday afternoon (Aug 23)...before moving out of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR). By Monday afternoon (Aug 24), GONI shall be passing just to the north of Okinawa while heading towards the Northern part of Ryukyu Islands.

TY GONI (INENG) will slightly regain strength throughout the outlook period. The Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 10-minute maximum sustained winds increasing to 165 kph on Sunday afternoon through Monday (Aug 24).

The following is the 3-day forecast outlook summary* for this system:

SUNDAY AFTERNOON: Slightly reintensifies and gains speed...passing across the Yaeyama Island Chain and about to exit PAR...about 24 km south of Ishigakijima [2PM AUG 23: 24.3N 124.2E @ 165kph]. Confidence Level: HIGH.
MONDAY AFTERNOON: Turns slightly to northeastward...maintaining its fast speed and strength across the East China Sea...passing just north of Okinawa and across the Northern Ryukyus...about 200 km north of Okinawa, Japan [2PM AUG 24: 28.3N 127.9E @ 165kph]. Confidence Level: HIGH.
TUESDAY AFTERNOON: Significantly accelerates as it starts transitioning into an Extra-Tropical (Middle-Latitude) Cyclone while crossing Western Japan...just barely a Typhoon...about 55 km west of Hiroshima, Japan [2PM AUG 25: 34.4N 131.8E @ 140kph]. Confidence Level: MEDIUM.

*Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.


ADDITIONAL DISTANCES

Time/Date: 5:00 PM PhT Sat Aug 22, 2015
Location of Eye: Near 20.9º N Lat 122.9º E Lon
Distance 1: 115 km E of Itbayat, Batanes
Distance 2: 230 km NE of Calayan Is., Cagayan
Distance 3: 277 km NNE of Santa Ana, Cagayan
Distance 4: 729 km NNE of Metro Manila
Distance 5: 798 km SW of Okinawa, Japan

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for Weather.com.ph

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Typhoon GONI (INENG) Update Number 015

 

Typhoon GONI (INENG) Update Number 015



WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES

TYPHOON GONI (INENG) UPDATE NUMBER 015

Issued at: 1:00 PM PhT (05:00 GMT) Saturday 22 August 2015
Next Update: Saturday Evening, 22 August 2015

Typhoon GONI (INENG) continues to move slowly in a generally northerly track...passing very close to the east of the Batanes Group of Islands. Its innermost rainbands and circulation are currently causing stormy weather across the area. The WeatherPhilippines Automated Weather Station (AWS) based in Basco National Airport, Batanes (PAL) has recorded wind gusts of 83 km/hr at 12:00 PM (04:00 GMT) today.

GONI will continue to enhance the Southwest Monsoon (Hanging Habagat) bringing occasional to frequent rains with thunderstorms across Palawan incl. Calamian Group, Cuyo and Pamalican Islands, Panay, Lubang Island, Mindoro, Batangas, Cavite, Laguna, and Metro Manila today and through the next two to three days. Residents are advised to take precautionary measures against possible flashfloods or landslides especially during heavy downpour.

Residents and visitors along Extreme Northern Luzon, Taiwan and Ryukyus should closely monitor the development of TY GONI (INENG).

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.


DIRECT CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be directly affected or that are being directly affected by the hazards generated by this current tropical cyclone.


RAINFALL [Together with the effect of the Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) being directly enhanced by GONI (INENG)]

  • Heavy to Extreme Rains (100 mm or more): Batanes Group of Islands, Calayan Island, Northern and Central Cagayan, Cordillera Administrative Region (CAR), Ilocos Provinces, and some portions of La Union - Today.
  • Heavy Rains (50 mm to 100 mm): Zambales, Western Pangasinan, and the Rest of Northern Luzon (except for Isabela and Northern Aurora) - Today.
  • Moderate to Heavy Rains (30 mm to 50 mm): Rest of Pangasinan, Nueva Vizcaya, and other parts of Central Luzon - Today.

WINDS
  • Strong Tropical Storm Force Winds (Gusts of 100-130 kph): Batanes Group of Islands - Today.
  • Tropical Storm Force Winds (Gusts of 75-100 kph): Babuyan Islands - Today.

STORM SURGE
  • Possible coastal storm surge flooding of 1.2-1.7 m (4-5 ft) above normal tide levels...accompanied by large and dangerous battering waves can be expected along the coastal, inland lakes and beach front areas of Batanes Group of Islands - today. Minimal damage is likely on this type of storm surge. Danger from Rip Currents or Rip Tides can be expected along the beach-front areas of Extreme Northern Luzon. (click here to know more about Storm Surge).


CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION

As of 11:00 AM PhT today, August 22...0300 GMT.

Classification/Name: TY GONI (INENG)
Location: Over the southeastern part of Bashi Channel (near 20.4N 122.6E)
About: 63 km east of Basco, Batanes...or 215 km north-northeast of Santa Ana, Cagayan
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 150 kph near the center...Gustiness: 185 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near the center): 100 to 300 mm [Heavy to Extreme]
Minimum Central Pressure: 959 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 450 km (Small)
Area of Damaging Winds 100 kph or more wind gusts): 140 km from the center
Past Movement: North @ 11 kph
Forecast Movement: North-Northeast @ 17 kph
Towards: Batanes-Ryukyus Area


2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK

TY GONI (INENG) is expected to move north-northeastward with increasing forward speed during the next 24 hours...turning slightly to northeast on the remainder of the outlook period. On the forecast track, GONI shall be traversing Bashi Channel and East Taiwan Sea today through Sunday...before moving out of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) by Sunday evening (Aug 23)...on its way to the northern islands of Ryukyus.

TY GONI (INENG) will slightly regain strength throughout the outlook period. The Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 10-minute maximum sustained winds increasing to 165 kph on Sunday morning (Aug 23).

The following is the 3-day forecast outlook summary* for this system:

SUNDAY MORNING: Slightly reintensifies and gains speed...passing across the southeastern part of East Taiwan Sea...about 383 km north-northeast of Basco, Batanes [8AM AUG 23: 23.4N 124.0E @ 165kph]. Confidence Level: HIGH.
MONDAY MORNING: Turns slightly to northeast...maintaining its speed and strength...exits the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) and emerges over the East China Sea...about 141 km west-northwest of Okinawa, Japan [8AM AUG 24: 26.7N 126.4E @ 165kph]. Confidence Level: HIGH.
TUESDAY MORNING: Significantly accelerates as it turns more to the northeast, passing close to the west of Okinawa... weakens...about 72 km northeast of Kagoshima, Japan [8AM AUG 25: 32.2N 130.9E @ 140kph]. Confidence Level: MEDIUM.

*Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.


ADDITIONAL DISTANCES

Time/Date: 11:00 AM PhT Sat Aug 22, 2015
Location of Eye: Near 20.4º N Lat 122.6º E Lon
Distance 1: 168 km NE of Calayan Is., Cagayan
Distance 2: 252 km NNE of Aparri, Cagayan
Distance 3: 94 km ESE of Itbayat, Batanes
Distance 4: 325 km NNE of Tuguegarao City, Cagayan
Distance 5: 678 km NNE of Metro Manila

Issued by: Leonilo C. Millanes for Weather.com.ph

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Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
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Typhoon GONI (INENG) Update Number 014

 

Typhoon GONI (INENG) Update Number 014



WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES

TYPHOON GONI (INENG) UPDATE NUMBER 014

Issued at: 6:30 AM PhT (22:30 GMT) Saturday 22 August 2015
Next Update: Saturday Afternoon, 22 August 2015

Typhoon GONI (INENG) continues to weaken as it starts to move northward slowly...closer to the east of the Batanes Group of Islands. Its innermost rainbands will be passing across the area today. The WeatherPhilippines Automated Weather Station (AWS) based in Basco National Airport, Batanes (PAL) has recorded wind gusts of 120 km/hr at 12:00 AM (16:00 GMT) today.

GONI will enhance the Southwest Monsoon (Hanging Habagat) bringing occasional to frequent rains with thunderstorms across Palawan incl. Calamian Group, Cuyo and Pamalican Islands, the western sections of Negros Occidental, Western Visayas, Lubang Island, Mindoro, Batangas, Cavite, Laguna, and Metro Manila today and through the next two to three days. Residents are advised to take precautionary measures against possible flashfloods or landslides especially during heavy downpour.

Residents and visitors along Extreme Northern Luzon, Taiwan and Ryukyus should closely monitor the development of TY GONI (INENG).

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.


DIRECT CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be directly affected or that are being directly affected by the hazards generated by this current tropical cyclone.


RAINFALL

  • Heavy to Extreme Rains (100 mm or more): Batanes Group of Islands, Calayan Island, Northern and Central Cagayan, Cordillera Administrative Region (CAR), Ilocos Provinces, and some portions of La Union - Today.
  • Heavy Rains (50 mm to 100 mm): Zambales, Western Pangasinan, and the Rest of Northern Luzon (except for Isabela and Northern Aurora) - Today.
  • Moderate to Heavy Rains (30 mm to 50 mm): Rest of Pangasinan, Nueva Vizcaya, and other parts of Central Luzon - Today.

WINDS
  • Strong Tropical Storm Force Winds (Gusts of 100-130 kph): Batanes Group of Islands, Calayan Island, and the Northeasternmost part of Cagayan particularly Port Santa Ana - Today.
  • Tropical Storm Force Winds (Gusts of 75-100 kph): Rest of Northern and Northwestern Cagayan incl. Babuyan Islands - Today.

STORM SURGE
  • Possible coastal storm surge flooding of 1.8-2.6 m (6-8 ft) above normal tide levels...accompanied by large and dangerous battering waves can be expected along the coastal, inland lakes and beach front areas of Extreme Northern Luzon especially the Batanes Group of Islands - today. Moderate damage is likely on this type of storm surge. Danger from Rip Currents or Rip Tides can be expected along the beach-front areas of Northern and Central Luzon. (click here to know more about Storm Surge).


CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION

As of 5:00 AM PhT today, August 22...2100 GMT.

Classification/Name: TY GONI (INENG)
Location: Over the border of Balintang and Bashi Channel (near 19.8N 122.5E)
About: 94 km southeast of Basco, Batanes...or 148 km north-northeast of Santa Ana, Cagayan
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 160 kph near the center...Gustiness: 195 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near the center and to the east): 100 to 300 mm [Heavy to Extreme]
Minimum Central Pressure: 956 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 600 km (Small)
Area of Damaging Winds 100 kph or more wind gusts): 140 km from the center
Past Movement: North @ 08 kph
Forecast Movement: North-Northeast @ 16 kph
Towards: Batanes Area


2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK

TY GONI (INENG) is expected to move north-northeastward slowly during the next 24 hours...turning to northeast on the remainder of the outlook period. On the forecast track, GONI shall be passing across the southeastern part of East Taiwan Sea on Sunday early morning (Aug 23)...and shall be moving out of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) late Sunday evening (Aug 23) on its way to the northern islands of Ryukyus.

TY GONI (INENG) will slightly regain strength throughout the outlook period. The Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 10-minute maximum sustained winds increasing to 165 kph on Sunday early morning (Aug 23).

The following is the 3-day forecast outlook summary* for this system:

SUNDAY EARLY MORNING: Slightly reintensifies and gains speed...passing across the southeastern part of East Taiwan Sea...about 299 km northeast of Basco, Batanes [2AM AUG 23: 22.6N 123.8E @ 165kph]. Confidence Level: HIGH.
MONDAY EARLY MORNING: Turns slightly to northeast...maintaining its speed and strength...exits the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR)...about 179 km northeast of Ishigakijima, Japan [2AM AUG 24: 25.6N 125.6E @ 165kph]. Confidence Level: HIGH.
TUESDAY EARLY MORNING: Significantly accelerates as it turns more to the northeast...passing close to the west of Okinawa...starts to weaken again...about 159 km southwest of Kagoshima, Japan [2AM AUG 25: 30.3N 129.9E @ 150kph]. Confidence Level: MEDIUM.

*Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.


ADDITIONAL DISTANCES

Time/Date: 5:00 AM PhT Sat Aug 22, 2015
Location of Eye: Near 19.8º N Lat 122.5º E Lon
Distance 1: 119 km NE of Calayan Is., Cagayan
Distance 2: 187 km NNE of Aparri, Cagayan
Distance 3: 133 km SE of Itbayat, Batanes
Distance 4: 248 km NNE of Tuguegarao City, Cagayan
Distance 5: 610 km NNE of Metro Manila

Issued by: Leonilo C. Millanes for Weather.com.ph

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Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
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