Wednesday, September 14, 2016

Super Typhoon MERANTI (FERDIE) Update Number 011


Super Typhoon MERANTI (FERDIE) Update Number 011

Issued at: 1:00 PM PhT (05:00 GMT) Wednesday 14 September 2016
Next Update: Wednesday Evening, 14 September 2016       


Current Status

Extremely catastrophic tropical cyclone Super Typhoon MERANTI (FERDIE) has weakened slightly as it is about to exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility through the northwestern border.Its outer rain bands are still bringing moderate rains and occasional gusty winds across Extreme Northern Luzon.


The cyclone is now enhancing the Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) that will bring occasional light to moderate to at times heavy rains and thunderstorms along the western sections of Luzon.

Where is MERANTI (Ferdie)?

As of 11:00 AM PhT today, Sep 14...0300 GMT.  The eye was located over the northwestern part of theBashi Channel (near 22.0N 120.3E), about 245 km northwest of Basco, Batanes or 422 km north of LaoagCity, Ilocos Norte.

How strong is it?

Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 270 kphnear the center...Gustiness: 325 kph

Where is it heading?

Northwest @ 20 kph, towards Southeastern China.

What areas will be most affected?

Batanes and Babuyan Group of Islands and the northwestern portion of Ilocos Norte will still be affected by its outer circulation until this evening

Storm Surge Info


2-Day Forecast Outlook

STY MERANTI (FERDIE) is expected to move northwest throughout the outlook period. On the forecast track, MERANTI (FERDIE) will be moving across the southern part of the Taiwan Strait on its way to Southeastern China through Thursday morning (Sep 15). It will make landfall along the coast of Fujian Province, China by early Thursday morning and shall traverse thereafter the rugged terrain of Southeastern China through Friday morning (Sep 16).


STY MERANTI (FERDIE) shall rapidly weaken into a Tropical Storm with decreased maximum sustained winds of 85 kph after making landfall over Fujian Province on Thursday morning (Sep 15). Meranti shall then dissipate into an area of low pressure over Southeastern China by Friday morning.

2-Day Forecast Outlook Summary*

THURSDAY MORNING: Weakens into a Tropical Storm (TS) after making landfall along the coast of Fujian Province, China…about 74 km west-northwest of Xiamen City, China [8AM SEP 15: 24.7N 117.4E @ 85kph]. Confidence Level: HIGH.


FRIDAY MORNING: Dissipating over Southeastern China, just an area of low pressure…about 354 km west-northwest of Fuzhou City, China [8AM SEP 16: 27.0N 115.9 @ 35kph]. Confidence Level: LOW.

*Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Other Storm Info

- 24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near the center): 25 to 600 mm [Moderate to Extreme]

- Minimum Central Pressure: 907 millibars (hPa)

- Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 850 km (Medium)

- Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): 220 km from the center.

Additional Distances

Time/Date: 11:00 AM PhT Wed Sep 14, 2016
Location of Eye: Near 22.0
° N Lat 120.3° E Lon
Distance 1: 209 km NW of Itbayat, Batanes
Distance 2: 427 km NNW of 
Aparri, Cagayan
Distance 3: 382 km N of 
Pagudpud, Ilocos Norte
Distance 4: 70 km S of 
Kaohsiung City, Taiwan
Distance 5: 822 km N of Metro Manila

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: Leonilo C. Millanes for


Posted by: " (Michael V. Padua)" <>
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