Thursday, October 20, 2016

Typhoon HAIMA (LAWIN) Final Update


Typhoon HAIMA (LAWIN) Final Update

Issued at: 7:15 PM PhT (11:15 GMT) Thursday 20 October 2016


Current Status and Outlook

Typhoon HAIMA (LAWIN) has moved out of the northwestern border of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) as it maintains its track and intensity while over the South China Sea.

This typhoon is no longer a threat to the country, but its easternmost outer rainbands will still bring occasional rains and gusty winds across La Union and Ilocos Provinces today.

*This is now the Final Update on this tropical cyclone.

Where is Haima (Lawin)?

As of 5:00 PM PhT today, October 20...1100 GMT.  The center was located along northern part of the South China Sea (near 19.4N 118.2E), about 286 km northwest of Laoag City, Cagayan or 526 km southeast of Hong Kong, China. 

How strong is it?

Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 155 kph near the center...Gustiness: 190 kph.

Where is it heading?

It was moving Northwest @ 21 kph, towards Southern China.

Potential Landfall Area


What Philippine areas will be most affected?*


*Where Damaging Winds of  >100 km/hr will be expected.


Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+


2-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**

FRIDAY AFTERNOON: Preparing to make landfall over Guangdong Province, Southern China…just a strong Tropical Storm…about 112 km east-northeast of Hong Kong, China [2PM OCT 21: 22.6N 115.2E @ 105kph].Confidence Level:  HIGH.

SATURDAY AFTERNOON: Dissipates into an area of low pressure while moving northeastward across the inner part of Eastern China…about 126 km north-northeast of Hong Kong, China [2PM OCT 22: 27.4N 116.2E @ 30kph].  Confidence Level:  LOW.

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Other Storm Info

- 24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near the center): 25 to 450 mm [Moderate to Extreme]

- Minimum Central Pressure: 956 millibars (hPa)

- Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 865 km (Medium)

- Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts):150 km from  the center.

Additional Distances

Time/Date: 5:00 PM PhT Thu Oct 20, 2016
Location of Center/Eye: Near 19.4º N Lat 118.2º E Lon
Distance 1: 306 km NW of Vigan City, Ilocos Sur 
Distance 2: 416 km WSW of Basco, Batanes
Distance 3: 471 km SSE of Shantou, China
Distance 4: 570 km SE of Macao, China
Distance 5: 626 km NNW of Metro Manila

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for


Posted by: " (Michael V. Padua)" <>
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