Thursday, November 03, 2016

Tropical Disturbance 90W (LPA) StormWatch No. 01


Tropical Disturbance 90W (LPA) StormWatch No. 01

Issued at: 8:00 PM PhT (12:00 GMT) Wednesday 02 November 2016
Next Update: Thursday Evening, 03 November 2016


Current Status and Outlook

The broad Tropical Disturbance 90W (LPA) which has been spotted for days now over the Western Pacific Ocean is currently  developing just north of Yap State in Western Micronesia.

This LPA is likely to become a Tropical Depression within the next 06 to 24 hours.

Where is the LPA?

As of 5:00 PM PhT today, November 02...0900 GMT. The center was located over the sea north of Western Micronesia (near 13.2N 138.1E), about 411 km north of Colonia, Yap or 1,505 km east of Bicol Region, PHL. 

How strong is it?

Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 35 kph near the center...Gustiness: 50 kph

Where is it heading?

It was moving WNW @ 11 kph, towards the Easternmost part of the Central Philippine Sea.

Forecast Highlights

- This potential storm is forecast to enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) between November 03 to 07 based on the current Global Typhoon Models output.

- LPA is not yet a threat to the country for the next 3 to 4 days.

- The Global Typhoon Models are not in good agreement on where the potential storm will really go.  In the coming days, a much clearer picture on its track will arise as these models try to converge.

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for


Posted by: " (Michael V. Padua)" <>
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